Arctic-Rag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

397

Trades

579

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-24 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 44% -$160

Other

19% 42% -$36

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	2	$207	117	117	+0	No	-$6	04-26 20:46
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 juv	4	$53	29	29	+0	Yes	+$4	04-06 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	3	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 21:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:50 UTC	2	$20	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	04-18 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:15 UTC	4	$19	36	9	+28	Down	-$10	04-07 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:35 UTC	5	$17	45	0	+45	Up	-$17	04-10 05:39
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	2	$17	19	19	+0	No	-$9	04-26 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:00 UTC	3	$16	28	0	+28	Up	+$12	04-16 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:55 UTC	2	$16	38	0	+38	Down	+$22	04-15 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:00 UTC	3	$15	17	0	+17	Down	+$2	04-07 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:50 UTC	3	$15	19	0	+19	Up	+$4	04-07 05:54
bitcoin up or down april 5 3pm et	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	04-05 20:02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	07-10 21:33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	2	$14	12	12	+0	No	$0	07-11 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:05 UTC	2	$13	10	9	+0	Up	+$5	04-09 22:10
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	05-04 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:45 UTC	3	$13	21	0	+21	Down	+$3	04-07 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 00:13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$12	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:55
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 11am et	2	$12	9	8	+0	Up	+$4	04-06 15:53
Kash Patel out by December 31?	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-12 17:55
New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	4	$11	30	0	+30	Under	-$11	10-24 23:03
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 9am et	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	04-06 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:15 UTC	1	$10	25	0	+25	Down	-$10	04-18 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:30 UTC	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	+$15	04-15 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:20 UTC	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	-$10	04-15 21:24
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	04-25 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:23:38	Will New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbb92df…
10-24 23:03:06	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x54eff4…
10-24 23:03:06	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x194d70…
10-24 22:15:51	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xca4992…
10-24 22:12:09	New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4d24ed…
10-24 19:14:26	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x99dc00…
10-24 18:52:14	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2219e0…
10-24 18:20:03	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbac584…
10-24 18:18:09	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe81be8…
10-24 16:41:32	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa1d64d…
10-24 16:40:51	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdb1d06…
07-11 21:55:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x14752c…
07-11 10:22:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xc72dc9…
07-10 21:33:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf40e92…
07-10 19:59:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe2eabe…
07-07 19:55:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x6ac233…
07-05 22:51:52	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0c4e24…
07-05 17:26:52	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0x600d74…
06-13 22:57:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x94cfb9…
06-13 22:43:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9b4f4f…
06-11 23:01:39	ethereum up or down june 11 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21597c…
06-11 23:00:28	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xd5f79a…
06-11 23:00:03	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x6b260d…
06-11 22:59:42	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbce80c…
06-11 22:48:51	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xc7ac95…
06-07 14:04:43	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x49ca6e…
06-06 22:13:18	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x394a8c…
06-06 05:16:39	ethereum up or down june 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5e933c…
06-05 07:00:58	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e7879…
06-03 09:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x4a72d1…
06-03 09:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x586ef1…
06-02 14:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9020f7…
06-01 12:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x821b40…
06-01 11:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x93f464…
06-01 07:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5a1801…
05-31 16:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x11d429…
05-31 16:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe7c516…
05-31 12:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2d46e7…
05-31 11:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6de9bf…
05-31 01:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2948fa…
05-30 17:47:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4ed144…
05-30 15:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeb624c…
05-28 07:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x123201…
05-26 03:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x610204…
05-18 17:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa6cbf9…
05-18 10:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x62cda9…
05-18 08:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc2aac1…
05-18 08:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x51199b…
05-18 08:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa89bc3…
05-18 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc961f6…
05-18 08:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21339a…
05-17 23:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0daee8…
05-17 23:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe74434…
05-17 23:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3eac73…
05-17 23:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3d52d5…
05-17 07:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x473ad2…
05-17 07:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4d547e…
05-16 17:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x374a5c…
05-16 16:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x080d25…
05-16 13:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x551cba…
05-16 12:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd5eb96…
05-16 11:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc8bb54…
05-13 20:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x054dfb…
05-12 22:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcb2d09…
05-12 21:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8789ee…
05-12 20:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x1594ed…
05-12 20:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd353e3…
05-12 20:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7d16cc…
05-12 18:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf43354…
05-12 17:55:25	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xd652b9…
05-12 17:55:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x404757…
05-11 21:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5ee10b…
05-11 20:30:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x21440f…
05-11 20:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa5b356…
05-10 22:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x539265…
05-10 22:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x750d4d…
05-10 21:40:21	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2d35e7…
05-10 21:31:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd9ab89…
05-10 21:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3b4f76…
05-10 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x24c01d…
05-10 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd729eb…
05-10 21:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x36e100…
05-10 20:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0bd2ad…
05-10 19:21:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8ae5e9…
05-10 17:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb82b83…
05-10 16:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa1b7e0…
05-10 16:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x58b4e1…
05-10 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x623b53…
05-10 16:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x73d376…
05-10 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x349607…
05-10 15:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2457a5…
05-10 04:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6a5320…
05-09 22:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x549c7c…
05-09 22:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd85978…
05-09 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe428ec…
05-09 22:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x58f266…
05-09 21:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf27762…
05-09 21:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x80d36c…
05-09 21:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95f4bc…
05-09 21:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x76e27f…