Arctic-Rag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

545

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-11 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 52% $-2

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	2	$207	117	117	+0	open	—	04-26 20:46
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 juv	4	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	04-06 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	3	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 21:14
eth updown 5m 1776502200	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 08:54
btc updown 5m 1775538900	4	$19	36	9	+28	open	—	04-07 05:19
btc updown 5m 1775799300	5	$17	45	0	+45	open	—	04-10 05:39
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	2	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	04-26 13:56
btc updown 5m 1776304800	3	$16	28	0	+28	open	—	04-16 02:04
btc updown 5m 1776286500	2	$16	38	0	+38	open	—	04-15 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 19:21
btc updown 5m 1775541600	3	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-07 06:04
btc updown 5m 1775541000	3	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-07 05:54
bitcoin up or down april 5 3pm et	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-05 20:02
btc updown 5m 1775772300	2	$13	10	9	+0	open	—	04-09 22:10
btc updown 5m 1775540700	3	$13	21	0	+21	open	—	04-07 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 00:13
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 11am et	2	$12	9	8	+0	open	—	04-06 15:53
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 9am et	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-06 14:03
btc updown 5m 1776489300	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-18 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:10
btc updown 5m 1776234600	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-15 06:34
btc updown 5m 1776288000	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-15 21:24
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 14:19
btc updown 5m 1776289500	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-15 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776029100	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-12 21:29
btc updown 5m 1775774700	4	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-09 22:49
btc updown 5m 1776054900	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-13 04:39
btc updown 5m 1776128100	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-14 00:59
btc updown 5m 1776189600	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-14 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 23:01:39	ethereum up or down june 11 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21597c…
06-07 14:04:43	ethereum up or down june 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x49ca6e…
06-06 22:13:18	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x394a8c…
06-06 05:16:39	ethereum up or down june 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5e933c…
06-05 07:00:58	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e7879…
06-03 09:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x4a72d1…
06-03 09:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x586ef1…
06-02 14:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9020f7…
06-01 12:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x821b40…
06-01 11:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x93f464…
06-01 07:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5a1801…
05-31 16:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x11d429…
05-31 16:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe7c516…
05-31 12:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2d46e7…
05-31 11:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6de9bf…
05-31 01:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2948fa…
05-30 17:47:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4ed144…
05-30 15:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeb624c…
05-28 07:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x123201…
05-26 03:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x610204…
05-18 17:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa6cbf9…
05-18 10:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x62cda9…
05-18 08:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc2aac1…
05-18 08:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x51199b…
05-18 08:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa89bc3…
05-18 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc961f6…
05-18 08:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21339a…
05-17 23:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0daee8…
05-17 23:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe74434…
05-17 23:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3eac73…
05-17 23:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3d52d5…
05-17 07:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x473ad2…
05-17 07:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4d547e…
05-16 17:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x374a5c…
05-16 16:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x080d25…
05-16 13:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x551cba…
05-16 12:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd5eb96…
05-16 11:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc8bb54…
05-13 20:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x054dfb…
05-12 22:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcb2d09…
05-12 21:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8789ee…
05-12 20:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x1594ed…
05-12 20:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd353e3…
05-12 20:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7d16cc…
05-12 18:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf43354…
05-11 21:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5ee10b…
05-11 20:30:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x21440f…
05-11 20:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa5b356…
05-10 22:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x539265…
05-10 22:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x750d4d…
05-10 21:40:21	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2d35e7…
05-10 21:31:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd9ab89…
05-10 21:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3b4f76…
05-10 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x24c01d…
05-10 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd729eb…
05-10 21:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x36e100…
05-10 20:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0bd2ad…
05-10 19:21:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8ae5e9…
05-10 17:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb82b83…
05-10 16:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa1b7e0…
05-10 16:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x58b4e1…
05-10 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x623b53…
05-10 16:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x73d376…
05-10 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x349607…
05-10 15:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2457a5…
05-10 04:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6a5320…
05-09 22:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x549c7c…
05-09 22:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd85978…
05-09 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe428ec…
05-09 22:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x58f266…
05-09 21:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf27762…
05-09 21:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x80d36c…
05-09 21:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95f4bc…
05-09 21:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x76e27f…
05-07 18:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe75238…
05-06 22:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1b7b39…
05-06 22:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2f4576…
05-05 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xad5b36…
05-05 20:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3399e5…
05-05 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x12f179…
05-03 00:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa3f640…
05-03 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa2b334…
05-02 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3bc3b2…
05-02 21:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6bc1f2…
05-02 20:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf278f7…
05-02 20:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe0c53f…
05-02 20:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf172a9…
05-02 15:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf8edda…
05-02 15:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x75373a…
05-01 21:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc3239f…
04-27 23:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3d4a89…
04-27 23:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x71d686…
04-27 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa6dd17…
04-27 23:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x05f9eb…
04-26 23:00:50	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4be979…
04-26 21:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x14ed74…
04-26 21:52:16	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x395b9c…
04-26 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc0d0d7…
04-26 21:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xada23c…
04-26 20:46:42	Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	No	SELL	117	86¢	$100	0x8b12ec…