Grizzled-Calm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

1,149

Trades

1,699

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-04 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

57% 62% +$83

Crypto

37% 73% -$32

Sports

6% 59% -$62

Politics

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$477	278	278	+0	Yes	+$78	07-07 18:06
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	3	$261	141	141	+0	Yes	+$21	07-02 02:07
Will Real Madrid win on 2026-07-28?	2	$235	135	135	+0	Yes	+$35	07-28 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$200	239	0	+239	Down	+$39	09-18 14:59
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	2	$178	118	118	+0	Yes	+$58	06-15 04:31
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$150	177	0	+177	Yes	+$27	06-23 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$150	190	0	+190	Up	-$150	09-18 15:13
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	3	$135	381	381	+0	No	-$135	07-07 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$131	76	76	+0	Up	+$21	09-18 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$130	71	71	+0	Up	+$10	09-18 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$125	166	0	+166	Down	-$125	09-18 15:07
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$123	63	63	+0	Yes	+$3	06-18 04:08
wta cocciar tauson 2026 07 27	2	$121	61	61	+0	Elisabetta Cocciaretto	+$1	07-27 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$121	66	66	+0	Up	+$11	09-18 16:20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$120	185	0	+185	Yes	+$65	06-20 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$117	62	62	+0	Up	+$7	09-18 14:21
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$115	65	65	+0	Yes	+$15	07-01 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$107	57	57	+0	Up	+$7	09-18 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$107	67	67	+0	Up	+$27	09-18 16:05
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	2	$104	65	65	+0	Yes	+$24	06-22 03:10
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$100	250	0	+250	Yes	+$150	07-05 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	+$54	09-18 14:51
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$100	189	0	+189	No	-$100	06-24 05:33
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$100	149	0	+149	Yes	+$49	06-15 04:33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$100	173	0	+173	No	-$100	07-10 18:20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$100	159	0	+159	Yes	+$59	07-07 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$96	73	41	+32	Down	-$14	09-18 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$95	51	51	+0	Down	+$5	09-18 19:00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1	$90	108	0	+108	Yes	+$18	06-23 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$88	92	28	+64	Up	-$32	09-18 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 12:49:38	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb8d760…
10-04 12:48:56	atp rocha montes 2026 10 04	Henrique Rocha	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3bf271…
10-04 12:31:07	atp rocha montes 2026 10 04	Henrique Rocha	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8b0c94…
10-04 10:04:05	atp medvede cerundo 2026 10 04	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x91cc63…
10-04 10:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb5dc97…
10-04 10:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa2d7e1…
10-04 09:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfec3ce…
10-04 09:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x71e296…
10-04 09:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x320023…
10-04 09:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x06053f…
10-04 04:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x827a01…
10-04 04:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x87fbc6…
10-04 04:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbac49c…
10-04 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf80704…
10-04 04:29:05	Will United States win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x42ca14…
10-04 03:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x670394…
10-04 03:21:25	Will United States win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfd4a8f…
10-03 18:00:38	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x099fd7…
10-03 17:58:54	Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3bd63a…
10-03 16:50:42	Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x95fb2b…
10-03 15:47:42	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaf60ef…
10-03 13:54:41	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x96d5df…
10-03 13:54:06	wta andree boisson 2026 10 03	Lois Boisson	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xcb364e…
10-03 12:52:17	wta andree boisson 2026 10 03	Lois Boisson	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x55ec27…
10-03 12:51:36	wta andree boisson 2026 10 03	Lois Boisson	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7e40e1…
10-03 12:20:08	wta andree boisson 2026 10 03	Lois Boisson	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc02cf9…
10-03 11:54:38	China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa	Xinran Sun	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7dfb46…
10-03 11:40:08	China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa	Xinran Sun	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3d182c…
10-03 11:39:39	China Open: Iva Jovic vs Harriet Dart	Iva Jovic	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d13ea…
10-03 10:44:00	China Open: Iva Jovic vs Harriet Dart	Iva Jovic	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x809ff5…
10-03 10:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf7a180…
10-03 10:29:45	China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50d4ef…
10-03 09:43:35	China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x17b45a…
10-03 09:41:50	China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6f57fd…
10-03 07:58:50	China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x81c8fe…
10-03 07:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x964491…
10-03 07:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x39ab63…
10-03 07:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x12d7ba…
10-03 06:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x05991a…
10-03 06:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x318c82…
10-03 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96cf10…
10-03 05:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x195dd6…
10-03 04:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x955dea…
10-03 04:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x28346b…
10-03 04:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x73209c…
10-03 04:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x36dbef…
10-03 03:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x250982…
10-03 03:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdcb242…
10-03 03:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x71202d…
10-03 03:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa04a1d…
10-03 03:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb990a3…
10-03 03:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x75ad61…
10-03 03:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9be36a…
10-03 03:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x542e5e…
10-03 03:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa0e154…
10-02 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3ff9f…
10-02 18:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf29134…
10-02 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x91a520…
10-02 18:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4048ee…
10-02 17:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf54adf…
10-02 17:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb7c232…
10-02 17:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x559ab9…
10-02 17:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x422900…
10-02 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6cd274…
10-02 17:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd95220…
10-02 17:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf1556d…
10-02 16:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3839c5…
10-02 16:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xd2d3eb…
10-02 16:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xebd15d…
10-02 16:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf08b7f…
10-02 16:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8e6351…
10-02 16:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xee4798…
10-02 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7319c2…
10-02 16:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0667be…
10-02 16:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8478ad…
10-02 16:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2cc95a…
10-02 15:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x021cc0…
10-02 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xae19bc…
10-02 15:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x81ec77…
10-02 12:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x32ba42…
10-02 12:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xabdb9a…
10-02 12:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8ce2c5…
10-02 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xec6a86…
10-02 12:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x913568…
10-02 12:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb691f8…
10-02 12:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x814dfc…
10-02 12:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0aef3c…
10-02 12:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc279f9…
10-02 12:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x817a7a…
10-02 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ca230…
10-02 12:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x472d98…
10-02 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x06cfe7…
10-02 11:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x10d6aa…
10-02 11:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7edd4d…
10-02 11:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x948acf…
10-02 11:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xef0d9e…
10-02 11:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x77801e…
10-02 11:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbdd338…
10-02 11:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5eaf6a…
10-02 11:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bd0e0…