Unsteady-Precedence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

147

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-07 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$50	363	356	+7	Down	$-11	05-06 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 14:10
btc updown 15m 1776979800	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 21:45
btc updown 15m 1776971700	2	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	04-23 19:28
btc updown 15m 1776955500	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 14:57
btc updown 15m 1776969000	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	5	$33	22	14	+7	Up	$-1	05-10 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$31	17	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-26 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-25 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$27	14	14	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$27	33	0	+33	open	—	04-26 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-26 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$27	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 14:25
btc updown 15m 1777046400	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-26 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$26	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$25	14	14	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$25	13	13	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$24	13	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:25
btc updown 15m 1777028400	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 11:10
btc updown 15m 1777042800	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$21	27	0	+27	Down	$-21	05-11 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:14:04	btc updown 15m 1780848000	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xbb6351…
06-07 16:12:04	btc updown 15m 1780848000	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x32cb02…
05-18 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x00eb31…
05-18 12:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x46932e…
05-18 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x0bc485…
05-17 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x15d283…
05-17 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2749a9…
05-17 18:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe4dcef…
05-17 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x183248…
05-17 17:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x15a83e…
05-17 16:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcdb4cf…
05-17 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf569de…
05-15 17:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x092e81…
05-15 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x8c0784…
05-15 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7e0b9d…
05-15 16:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xa6fe57…
05-15 16:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xfeec22…
05-15 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xefd45c…
05-15 16:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xeb84a9…
05-15 15:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x266978…
05-15 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xddf54d…
05-15 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x6577ff…
05-15 15:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5112c5…
05-15 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x75f5ae…
05-15 14:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x3fac62…
05-15 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x7b1c2c…
05-15 14:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xb5be0c…
05-15 14:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xcafb46…
05-15 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xf16439…
05-15 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0xb77059…
05-15 13:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$6	0xb39f21…
05-15 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc13bf8…
05-15 12:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xdd4c04…
05-15 12:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7a6220…
05-15 00:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x2deefd…
05-15 00:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x0e66b4…
05-15 00:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6fefb0…
05-14 23:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdcea8b…
05-14 23:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x465ee7…
05-14 23:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x085498…
05-14 22:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa7ebdf…
05-14 21:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x42adf0…
05-14 21:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xef2565…
05-14 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x810ba6…
05-14 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xec51d2…
05-14 21:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x08f8e4…
05-14 20:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x32ebb1…
05-14 20:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd6f99d…
05-14 20:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xbd4724…
05-14 20:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x6f922e…
05-14 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf9078e…
05-14 19:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x284044…
05-14 19:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe0a865…
05-14 18:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe98792…
05-14 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xda0edd…
05-14 18:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd93513…
05-14 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5a0dca…
05-14 17:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb5a551…
05-14 17:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x4032f3…
05-14 17:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xf437ee…
05-14 17:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x334deb…
05-14 17:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x701a04…
05-14 17:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x6de3a9…
05-14 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa7f2ac…
05-14 15:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x364a9c…
05-14 15:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x885a34…
05-14 15:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc49093…
05-14 15:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x39fbed…
05-14 15:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x997afe…
05-14 15:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xa22929…
05-13 17:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x1f36ba…
05-13 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x1c37a5…
05-13 17:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf1b9ac…
05-13 17:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x5f2291…
05-13 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xf6ff3d…
05-13 16:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xfb6d48…
05-13 16:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb2c2f6…
05-13 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xe56b6f…
05-13 16:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x1b816c…
05-13 15:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x3e0f25…
05-13 15:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xeb35f4…
05-13 15:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x306e40…
05-13 15:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x670771…
05-13 15:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x2fa2df…
05-13 14:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe61e26…
05-13 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x910ce1…
05-13 14:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x9e12ba…
05-13 13:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x1afc97…
05-13 13:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x40f10c…
05-13 13:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0xcd2482…
05-13 13:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x62bc89…
05-13 12:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbce642…
05-13 12:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x43b8e8…
05-13 12:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x29162b…
05-13 11:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf52797…
05-13 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe0245b…
05-13 11:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfe210b…
05-13 10:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x18f446…
05-13 10:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xeb3ede…
05-13 04:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa93f8…