Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
190
Trades
250
lifetime
Volume
$1.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$106
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-31 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
64% 48% -$22
Politics
22% 50% -$11
Sports
13% 67% +$38
Crypto
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +35 $20 34¢ $12 -$8 10-27 04:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26 $10 42¢ $11 +$1 10-27 22:04
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +36 $4 16¢ $6 +$2 10-29 17:27
No one announced as next James Bond? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-31 08:23
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) Rockets — +11 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 10-31 17:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-30 16:51
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 10-30 22:32
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 10-30 09:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-30 16:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +17 $5 29¢ $5 $0 10-31 02:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +17 $5 29¢ $5 $0 10-31 03:27
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) Bucks +10 $5 46¢ $5 $0 10-31 06:44
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) Bucks +9 $5 50¢ $5 $0 10-31 06:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-29 08:08
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +9 $4 46¢ $4 +$0 10-29 17:16
Cavaliers vs. Bucks Bucks +19 $5 20¢ $4 -$1 10-31 05:49
Kings vs. Grizzlies Kings +20 $5 18¢ $4 -$2 10-31 22:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-29 13:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3 $3 97¢ $3 $0 10-29 15:57
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +8 $2 26¢ $2 $0 11-01 00:31
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 142.5 Over +10 $5 13¢ $1 -$4 10-31 16:29
Hawks vs. Pelicans Hawks +8 $5 15¢ $1 -$4 10-31 13:34
Spread: Hawks (-4.5) Hawks +10 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 10-31 13:40
Spread: 76ers (-1.5) Hornets +10 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-31 13:39