Realized P&L
-$7.28K
Unrealized P&L
-$566
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
299
Trades
3,165
lifetime
Volume
$169.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$49
1 position
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-12 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Politics
79%
47%
-$3,596
Other
21%
35%
-$3,660
Tech
0%
0%
-$17
Sports
0%
0%
-$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? | Yes | +1,099 | $615 | 4¢ | $49 | -$566 | 07-12 08:52 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314 | 279 | $43.8K | 41,925 | 36,585 | +5,339 | Yes | -$881 | 01-31 13:48 |
| will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026 | 46 | $8.3K | 7,383 | 3,093 | +4,290 | No | -$3,295 | 02-27 14:00 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 31 | $6.8K | 6,657 | 1,700 | +4,957 | No | +$651 | 01-28 17:57 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848 | 142 | $5.5K | 5,450 | 5,569 | -118 | No | +$166 | 01-25 13:06 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 30 | $4.6K | 3,810 | 3,800 | +10 | No | -$647 | 02-02 10:39 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 17 | $4.4K | 4,490 | 1,305 | +3,185 | No | +$1,320 | 01-15 03:48 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | 64 | $3.2K | 2,463 | 2,368 | +95 | No | +$56 | 01-29 11:05 |
| us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991 | 2 | $2.5K | 2,809 | 0 | +2,809 | No | +$337 | 01-16 09:14 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 31 | $2.5K | 1,942 | 1,639 | +303 | No | -$41 | 04-07 22:39 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 29 | $2.4K | 9,297 | 9,297 | +0 | Yes | -$67 | 02-28 21:53 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 6 | $2.3K | 1,423 | 1,423 | +0 | No | +$60 | 01-25 15:30 |
| will trump visit greenland by march 31 | 13 | $2.3K | 1,150 | 1,230 | -80 | No | -$15 | 02-10 22:03 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 2 | $2.1K | 1,111 | 1,111 | +0 | No | +$103 | 01-16 22:02 |
| gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849 | 2 | $2.0K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Yes | +$4 | 01-25 23:43 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 4 | $1.9K | 1,381 | 1,381 | +0 | Yes | -$89 | 03-04 09:29 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 11 | $1.8K | 976 | 996 | -20 | No | +$2 | 02-26 19:18 |
| will the us strike syria next 492 | 17 | $1.7K | 1,954 | 1,954 | +0 | No | -$476 | 01-19 00:44 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | 5 | $1.7K | 2,000 | 1,000 | +1,000 | Yes | +$229 | 04-02 17:23 |
| will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28 | 17 | $1.7K | 1,913 | 1,513 | +400 | Yes | -$165 | 02-06 20:13 |
| peter mandelson charged by march 31 | 6 | $1.6K | 1,115 | 1,115 | +0 | No | +$554 | 03-26 15:26 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 10 | $1.5K | 2,900 | 400 | +2,500 | Yes | -$1,034 | 04-07 22:51 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 45 | $1.4K | 8,820 | 6,820 | +2,000 | Yes | -$82 | 03-03 20:54 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | 22 | $1.3K | 838 | 659 | +179 | Yes | +$23 | 02-23 07:13 |
| kristi noem out by march 31 | 6 | $1.3K | 912 | 912 | +0 | Yes | -$89 | 02-20 21:13 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 13 | $1.3K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Yes | -$34 | 03-21 21:41 |
| nothing ever happens khamenei | 14 | $1.2K | 780 | 780 | +0 | No | +$31 | 02-15 13:57 |
| si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269 | 37 | $1.2K | 1,467 | 1,467 | +0 | No | +$6 | 01-29 22:59 |
| us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 | 16 | $1.2K | 1,315 | 0 | +1,315 | Yes | +$131 | 02-23 20:00 |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | 12 | $1.2K | 964 | 964 | +0 | Yes | +$332 | 04-05 00:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 2 | $1.2K | 898 | 449 | +449 | No | +$163 | 03-29 16:11 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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