Weak-Husband — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$537

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,133

lifetime

Volume

$168.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 04-24 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

79% — —

Other

21% 33% $-537

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	279	$43.8K	41,925	36,585	+5,339	open	—	01-31 13:48
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	46	$8.3K	7,383	3,093	+4,290	open	—	02-27 14:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	31	$6.8K	6,657	1,700	+4,957	open	—	01-28 17:57
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	142	$5.5K	5,450	5,569	-118	open	—	01-25 13:06
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	30	$4.6K	3,810	3,800	+10	open	—	02-02 10:39
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	17	$4.4K	4,490	1,305	+3,185	open	—	01-15 03:48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	64	$3.2K	2,463	2,368	+95	open	—	01-29 11:05
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$2.5K	2,809	0	+2,809	open	—	01-16 09:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	31	$2.5K	1,942	1,639	+303	open	—	04-07 22:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	29	$2.4K	9,297	9,297	+0	open	—	02-28 21:53
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$2.3K	1,423	1,423	+0	open	—	01-25 15:30
will trump visit greenland by march 31	13	$2.3K	1,150	1,230	-80	open	—	02-10 22:03
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	01-16 22:02
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-25 23:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$1.9K	1,381	1,381	+0	open	—	03-04 09:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$1.8K	976	996	-20	open	—	02-26 19:18
will the us strike syria next 492	17	$1.7K	1,954	1,954	+0	open	—	01-19 00:44
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	5	$1.7K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-02 17:23
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	17	$1.7K	1,913	1,513	+400	open	—	02-06 20:13
peter mandelson charged by march 31	6	$1.6K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	03-26 15:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$1.5K	2,900	400	+2,500	open	—	04-07 22:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	45	$1.4K	8,820	6,820	+2,000	open	—	03-03 20:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	22	$1.3K	838	659	+179	open	—	02-23 07:13
kristi noem out by march 31	6	$1.3K	912	912	+0	open	—	02-20 21:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	13	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-21 21:41
nothing ever happens khamenei	14	$1.2K	780	780	+0	open	—	02-15 13:57
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	37	$1.2K	1,467	1,467	+0	open	—	01-29 22:59
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026	16	$1.2K	1,315	0	+1,315	open	—	02-23 20:00
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	12	$1.2K	964	964	+0	open	—	04-05 00:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.2K	898	449	+449	open	—	03-29 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 19:38:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	728	7¢	$52	0x6c8b42…
04-24 19:37:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	411	2¢	$6	0x2bd863…
04-22 11:24:24	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	SELL	66	9¢	$6	0xe9ea3e…
04-20 12:14:30	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x5e3660…
04-16 18:04:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	161	74¢	$119	0xaa70c0…
04-16 17:12:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	676	15¢	$101	0x757e68…
04-16 17:12:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	212	15¢	$32	0xbf6030…
04-16 17:12:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x09a13b…
04-16 17:11:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x197109…
04-16 17:11:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x62ef67…
04-16 17:10:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	68	15¢	$10	0xd556b1…
04-16 17:09:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x9afcee…
04-16 17:09:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xdbd702…
04-16 17:08:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x234eec…
04-16 17:08:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xfab394…
04-16 17:07:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	600	15¢	$90	0xf21aa1…
04-16 17:07:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	137	15¢	$20	0x5197e6…
04-16 15:49:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,235	8¢	$99	0x9ff73c…
04-16 15:49:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0xbbb248…
04-16 15:48:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	92	8¢	$7	0x29dd74…
04-16 15:48:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x5727e2…
04-16 15:48:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x9c3bb5…
04-16 15:44:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xc43ce5…
04-16 15:44:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	327	7¢	$23	0xa90379…
04-16 15:44:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x4c9b9f…
04-15 17:09:36	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x3c88b4…
04-15 14:32:24	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x4922c1…
04-15 11:34:50	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	361	88¢	$318	0x99da06…
04-15 11:34:10	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x97d310…
04-15 11:34:04	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x51335b…
04-15 11:33:12	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x144910…
04-15 11:32:50	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	76	39¢	$29	0x42e37d…
04-15 11:30:58	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x0f27e2…
04-15 11:30:46	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xac2db1…
04-15 11:30:32	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x57bc34…
04-15 11:27:32	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	Yes	SELL	64	84¢	$53	0x9a309e…
04-15 11:25:50	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	Yes	SELL	63	84¢	$53	0x35972d…
04-15 11:25:08	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe9a8e0…
04-15 11:19:50	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	Yes	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x1b5fac…
04-15 11:18:06	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x88a6b3…
04-14 20:28:50	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x7f1ef2…
04-14 16:56:58	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	Yes	SELL	193	29¢	$56	0xcbf346…
04-14 14:36:15	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x1d51b6…
04-14 14:36:07	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	Yes	BUY	153	18¢	$28	0x882d76…
04-12 19:57:03	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	SELL	199	21¢	$42	0x9754b1…
04-12 14:21:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	95	75¢	$71	0x9a33e2…
04-12 13:15:29	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xcdac4d…
04-11 11:00:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb11886…
04-11 01:25:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x38e1f3…
04-10 20:20:35	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	SELL	386	28¢	$108	0x9ecc23…
04-10 20:19:17	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xf751b0…
04-10 17:47:45	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	108	22¢	$23	0x57a8db…
04-10 15:53:29	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	SELL	738	50¢	$369	0x81553f…
04-10 15:29:41	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	738	27¢	$199	0xddcb71…
04-09 21:36:51	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5f1df1…
04-09 20:33:35	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	405	31¢	$125	0x44c636…
04-09 20:12:47	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb8fe0e…
04-09 20:07:07	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x5785f5…
04-09 19:54:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	65¢	$63	0x08cb54…
04-09 19:51:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x307126…
04-09 19:46:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$41	0x3a225f…
04-09 19:16:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xf6d92a…
04-09 19:16:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4cb5ba…
04-09 19:16:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x479d10…
04-09 19:16:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x0b7c0e…
04-09 19:16:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	935	6¢	$52	0xd77dac…
04-09 19:16:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x31a9ae…
04-09 19:15:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xed57cf…
04-09 19:14:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x80cbc2…
04-09 19:13:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x67953a…
04-09 19:07:29	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x44e6bf…
04-09 18:51:57	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	436	32¢	$140	0x4cfc62…
04-09 11:53:25	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	142	69¢	$99	0x94d08d…
04-09 11:53:03	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x127eb7…
04-09 11:49:39	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0x77e648…
04-09 11:44:01	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xef2014…
04-09 11:43:47	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x4f7bb6…
04-09 11:42:17	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xcf515f…
04-09 11:41:21	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5e4bf4…
04-09 11:40:37	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4ea6c4…
04-09 11:39:35	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4cd721…
04-09 11:39:15	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x7a4eae…
04-08 22:24:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0xd30bb1…
04-08 22:05:01	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xbbb8cd…
04-08 22:03:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x52682d…
04-08 22:03:27	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x42ff67…
04-08 22:03:05	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x017a04…
04-08 22:02:15	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x61bb6b…
04-08 21:45:07	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	BUY	120	38¢	$46	0x25526a…
04-08 21:43:01	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	BUY	273	36¢	$97	0x1214bf…
04-08 02:00:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x24e271…
04-07 23:28:39	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0x5a8824…
04-07 23:28:09	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0xdee1ca…
04-07 22:51:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	800	30¢	$240	0x419210…
04-07 22:42:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,200	40¢	$480	0xabb7aa…
04-07 22:39:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	600	11¢	$66	0xe1d16d…
04-07 22:39:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	196	73¢	$143	0x252ed9…
04-07 22:38:57	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	SELL	67	14¢	$9	0xd9e76a…
04-07 22:38:37	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	35¢	$65	0x154ab2…
04-07 22:28:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	122	66¢	$81	0x74437c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	233	$144.5K	12,937	05-29 22:12
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	227	$286.3K	26,679	03-30 01:44
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	225	$613.3K	49,493	05-03 20:36
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	224	$38.0M	57,900	06-01 06:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	217	$1.98M	36,625	06-01 00:34
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	213	$58.3K	26,533	04-27 02:25
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	205	$38.4K	10,752	05-25 21:58
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	185	$40.9K	2,845	05-31 20:09