Shady-Hut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

4,452

Trades

17,695

lifetime

Volume

$100.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 09-16 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$1,211

Politics

1% 56% -$164

Other

0% 40% +$30

Tech

0% 0% -$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 682 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC	3	$1.1K	552	552	+0	Down	+$2	04-12 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	55	$556	1,180	0	+1,180	Up	-$36	04-28 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:40 UTC	6	$452	440	425	+15	Down	+$0	04-07 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	74	$442	842	0	+842	Up	+$48	04-28 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:35 UTC	4	$419	405	390	+15	Down	+$27	04-07 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:45 UTC	4	$416	396	382	+14	Down	+$24	04-07 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:05 UTC	15	$393	285	282	+3	Down	-$21	04-09 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	28	$389	790	0	+790	Up	+$67	04-28 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:10 UTC	17	$382	482	116	+365	Up	-$311	04-10 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	42	$375	810	0	+810	Down	+$76	04-28 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:45 UTC	11	$356	254	251	+3	Down	-$63	04-09 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	19	$336	393	55	+337	Up	-$27	04-10 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:45 UTC	20	$336	387	333	+54	Up	-$170	04-10 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:50 UTC	3	$319	395	173	+222	Up	-$75	04-07 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	26	$314	540	0	+540	Up	-$111	04-28 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	44	$292	701	0	+701	Down	-$79	04-28 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	28	$285	365	221	+144	Up	+$91	05-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:40 UTC	3	$284	158	156	+2	Down	+$26	04-09 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	65	$282	475	0	+475	Down	-$24	04-27 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:55 UTC	4	$279	308	140	+169	Down	-$37	04-07 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:05 UTC	4	$273	166	164	+3	Up	+$17	04-10 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	59	$268	1,179	0	+1,179	Down	+$47	04-28 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	35	$261	709	0	+709	Down	+$53	04-28 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	23	$258	642	0	+642	Up	-$186	04-28 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:35 UTC	4	$252	164	163	+1	Up	+$12	04-10 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	22	$246	476	0	+476	Down	+$44	04-28 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:00 UTC	4	$243	163	159	+4	Down	+$5	04-09 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	70	$243	1,176	0	+1,176	Down	-$27	04-27 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:10 UTC	5	$243	164	160	+4	Down	+$5	04-09 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:25 UTC	4	$240	157	154	+3	Down	+$2	04-10 10:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 14:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xed35a6…
09-16 14:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6aee0a…
09-16 13:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xd25e44…
09-04 11:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8b4340…
09-04 11:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x86ae28…
09-04 11:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x48c237…
09-04 11:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc28bb1…
09-04 11:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x3d925e…
09-04 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf71ac1…
09-04 11:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xaec9bb…
09-04 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x1a59fc…
09-04 11:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6a0ea9…
09-04 11:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xfc9c4b…
09-04 11:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4dbc85…
09-04 11:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x0159d7…
09-04 11:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x44a64f…
09-04 11:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa01af8…
09-04 11:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa7fe76…
09-04 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xca8e1f…
09-04 11:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x1617f2…
09-04 11:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xea4089…
09-04 11:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9ee2c7…
09-04 11:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x14e329…
09-04 11:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xeb6ec3…
09-04 11:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x919849…
09-04 11:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x10d5dc…
09-04 11:06:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4ab34f…
09-04 11:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x37de79…
09-04 11:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6b1e40…
09-04 11:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf337dd…
09-04 11:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x483604…
09-04 11:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x253e12…
09-04 10:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5c654e…
09-04 10:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x4921f3…
09-04 10:52:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf9501a…
09-04 10:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0d10cf…
09-04 10:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb4622b…
09-04 10:46:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb8973b…
09-04 10:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x92991f…
09-04 10:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x549a8b…
09-04 10:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x29ea00…
09-04 10:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdd0f37…
09-04 10:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x37f4c1…
09-04 10:32:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x18d571…
09-04 10:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2af871…
09-04 10:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc55974…
09-04 10:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xe5b64a…
09-04 10:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x146dd5…
09-04 10:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf90065…
09-04 10:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x887a6a…
09-04 10:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdecccd…
09-04 10:21:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x66a8ab…
09-04 10:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xea8856…
09-04 10:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd05e0b…
09-04 10:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfe19b4…
09-04 10:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9a24bb…
09-04 10:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x578bde…
09-04 10:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x544d77…
09-04 10:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xb5fd7d…
09-04 10:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xb0e71b…
09-04 10:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf18196…
09-04 10:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7f22a4…
09-04 10:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7a3a98…
09-04 10:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x95926e…
09-04 10:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x45c130…
09-04 10:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa47d75…
09-04 10:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xe839ae…
09-04 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf64f6a…
09-04 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7d31a0…
09-04 10:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1ab986…
09-04 10:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x103a93…
09-04 10:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xa5002c…
09-04 10:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x89ce4b…
09-04 09:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xecffdb…
09-04 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbea7f8…
09-04 09:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x124c7c…
09-04 09:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xefd64b…
09-04 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9b029e…
09-04 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x726f89…
09-04 09:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x8b47e8…
09-04 09:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xbdf9a9…
09-04 09:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x8d4a58…
09-04 09:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x89f1dc…
09-04 09:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb06eef…
09-04 09:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xab641e…
09-04 09:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7c091c…
09-04 09:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x31d42a…
09-04 09:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xce11ac…
09-04 09:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x607d34…
09-04 09:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x5967e9…
09-04 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x74e7d4…
09-04 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x3b7ffd…
09-04 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x2934a8…
09-04 09:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0de56b…
09-04 09:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa5199f…
09-04 09:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x2f5fcc…
09-04 09:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0d6a07…
09-04 09:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x393074…
09-04 09:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x441333…
09-04 09:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x152529…