Major-Swing — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved (90d)

514

Trades (90d)

1,657

5,571 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$17.4K

$46.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-29 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

99% 53% +$451

Sports

0% 69% +$14

Crypto

0% 59% -$7

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?	26	$580	343	343	+0	Yes	+$24	06-18 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?	58	$389	377	377	+0	No	+$38	07-09 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?	5	$369	191	191	+0	Yes	-$2	06-09 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?	17	$356	740	740	+0	No	-$9	07-30 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?	8	$330	188	188	+0	No	+$10	06-18 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	18	$313	192	192	+0	Yes	+$13	06-07 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?	25	$298	267	236	+31	Yes	-$5	06-27 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	32	$284	223	223	+0	Yes	+$17	06-22 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	37	$281	273	273	+0	Yes	+$16	07-19 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	4	$272	144	144	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	15	$267	157	157	+0	Yes	+$8	06-28 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 7?	8	$267	142	142	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	15	$253	144	144	+0	No	+$5	06-24 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	34	$252	212	212	+0	No	-$12	07-09 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?	55	$248	302	272	+30	No	+$6	07-03 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?	29	$245	282	282	+0	No	-$15	07-02 05:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 26?	4	$245	136	136	+0	No	+$11	06-26 20:28
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12?	5	$239	148	148	+0	No	+$7	10-12 20:01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 25?	9	$238	158	136	+23	Yes	-$10	06-25 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?	32	$224	212	212	+0	No	+$3	07-18 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 22?	8	$220	120	120	+0	No	+$9	06-22 22:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	10	$218	125	125	+0	No	+$4	06-13 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 7?	2	$214	114	114	+0	No	+$15	10-08 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?	2	$213	118	118	+0	No	+$23	06-25 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 3?	8	$213	125	125	+0	No	+$34	10-03 18:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	17	$212	143	143	+0	No	+$8	06-09 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?	3	$210	107	107	+0	No	+$3	06-23 04:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	06-23 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 4?	2	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$11	10-04 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 30?	6	$208	115	115	+0	No	+$2	07-30 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x4076b9…
10-29 13:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5c0a3e…
10-29 03:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x42d77d…
10-29 02:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	75	68¢	$51	0x0ac077…
10-29 02:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x966399…
10-29 01:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	75	81¢	$60	0xadb9d0…
10-29 01:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x26e5f9…
10-29 01:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x6dcb7b…
10-29 01:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xff70a7…
10-28 22:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x08ef6e…
10-28 22:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x5c5668…
10-28 21:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x5519f0…
10-28 21:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xe7a7cf…
10-28 18:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf50aba…
10-28 18:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x771635…
10-28 18:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 28?	No	SELL	64	80¢	$51	0x06bc12…
10-28 17:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x3936be…
10-28 16:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 28?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x743158…
10-28 16:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x6fb174…
10-28 16:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xdd0950…
10-28 16:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x67377d…
10-28 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8c2514…
10-28 15:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xa8c90f…
10-28 15:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xabd727…
10-28 15:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 28?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xeba382…
10-28 15:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5ca5d8…
10-28 14:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xdef594…
10-28 05:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xbf68b3…
10-28 00:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x8d7098…
10-27 21:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0xb81428…
10-27 21:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xeef66f…
10-27 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	65	66¢	$43	0xca962f…
10-27 18:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x5b3bf5…
10-27 17:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x09bf25…
10-27 15:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x2b93b1…
10-27 15:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb2c453…
10-27 15:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xebe1e4…
10-27 14:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x987735…
10-27 14:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$2	0x8a04eb…
10-27 14:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x956c10…
10-27 05:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf11af9…
10-27 04:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3bac1c…
10-27 02:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8fa674…
10-27 01:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x16c634…
10-26 23:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xadb758…
10-26 20:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63fb1a…
10-26 20:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x2e9e8a…
10-26 20:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x48dd55…
10-26 19:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xfd8631…
10-26 19:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xbab82a…
10-26 19:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x77e3eb…
10-26 19:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x1b8735…
10-26 18:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x379d2e…
10-26 17:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x95baac…
10-26 17:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe1b5a4…
10-26 16:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x96e670…
10-26 15:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x37bf55…
10-26 02:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0xccedcd…
10-26 01:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x5a1670…
10-26 00:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x727404…
10-25 23:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x45dd63…
10-25 21:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5e2cc0…
10-25 20:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbe83c8…
10-25 20:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x7045db…
10-25 19:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x7d350e…
10-25 19:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3956b7…
10-25 19:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x25159a…
10-25 18:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1be9c3…
10-25 18:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xb5c722…
10-25 18:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8b9dc3…
10-25 18:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x7dd77c…
10-25 14:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x52ecc5…
10-25 06:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x5f795e…
10-25 04:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0xe456d6…
10-25 04:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0xa8f561…
10-25 03:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xdf15a3…
10-25 03:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xe4577f…
10-25 02:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x456425…
10-25 02:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb72b8c…
10-25 02:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xee672a…
10-25 00:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdaae7b…
10-24 21:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x342732…
10-24 19:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x151d47…
10-24 17:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x56e2f1…
10-24 17:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xe08586…
10-24 16:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 24?	No	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x9a8447…
10-24 06:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 24?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4feb76…
10-24 06:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x47a24a…
10-24 04:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5c0266…
10-24 04:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	No	SELL	27	80¢	$22	0xca834f…
10-24 03:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xab82ad…
10-24 03:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x9a685f…
10-24 02:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x158c54…
10-24 01:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	No	SELL	56	76¢	$42	0x04ad6f…
10-24 01:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	56	77¢	$43	0x66ad72…
10-24 00:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x644d53…
10-23 23:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfa72c6…
10-23 23:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x79d205…
10-23 23:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x957167…
10-23 21:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xcdbefc…