Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

+$61

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$8.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$211

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-27

last 11-15 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 42% -$355

Other

6% 100% +$252

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes		+488	$100	36¢	$174	+$74	10-27 13:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes		+243	$50	16¢	$38	-$12	10-27 16:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$455	334	334	+0	Down	+$55	11-14 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$396	211	211	+0	Up	-$4	11-14 12:28
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$372	355	355	+0	Yes	+$252	10-29 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$307	184	184	+0	Down	+$57	11-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$307	260	260	+0	Down	+$57	11-14 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$303	179	179	+0	Up	+$53	11-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$294	204	204	+0	Up	+$44	11-14 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$291	262	262	+0	Up	+$41	11-14 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$272	185	185	+0	Up	+$22	11-15 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$248	160	125	+35	Down	-$2	11-14 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$247	169	169	+0	Up	-$3	11-15 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$242	161	161	+0	Up	+$42	11-14 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$239	160	160	+0	Down	-$11	11-14 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$235	136	136	+0	Down	+$35	11-14 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$234	135	135	+0	Down	+$34	11-15 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$222	125	125	+0	Down	+$22	11-15 16:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$208	170	170	+0	open	—	11-15 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$207	224	224	+0	Down	-$93	11-14 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$205	195	195	+0	Down	+$45	11-15 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$161	191	191	+0	Up	-$34	11-15 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$132	83	83	+0	Up	+$32	11-14 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$132	83	83	+0	Up	+$32	11-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$125	156	0	+156	Up	-$125	11-14 15:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$125	211	211	+0	open	—	10-27 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$118	70	70	+0	Up	+$18	11-14 13:29
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	2	$114	887	0	+887	No	-$114	10-27 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$110	107	107	+0	Down	+$10	11-15 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$110	61	61	+0	Up	+$10	11-15 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	7	$109	117	117	+0	Down	-$21	11-15 15:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	1	$100	488	0	+488	open	—	10-27 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 16:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x90ad7e…
11-15 16:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xbb82c8…
11-15 16:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x31981e…
11-15 16:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	138	99¢	$136	0x7a7235…
11-15 16:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xa3d8dc…
11-15 16:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0x8d7bb8…
11-15 16:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x400c99…
11-15 16:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0x073cc2…
11-15 16:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xcec126…
11-15 15:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x394b4d…
11-15 15:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x5f1497…
11-15 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x8253cd…
11-15 15:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xbff17d…
11-15 15:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe9846c…
11-15 15:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xf3732b…
11-15 15:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x28cb56…
11-15 15:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd4ae1c…
11-15 15:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	148	53¢	$79	0x5f78d8…
11-15 15:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc12b00…
11-15 15:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x584194…
11-15 15:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe2aafb…
11-15 15:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	61	59¢	$36	0xa2432b…
11-15 15:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	130	21¢	$27	0xd1a72d…
11-15 15:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	191	51¢	$98	0xc48da6…
11-15 15:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x703a4c…
11-15 15:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xabfc73…
11-15 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x986d7b…
11-15 15:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2340ca…
11-15 15:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	85	15¢	$13	0x3ad55e…
11-15 15:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6dab0f…
11-15 15:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdc17e3…
11-15 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x297cc0…
11-15 15:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd5d970…
11-15 15:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x73545a…
11-15 15:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x43abc6…
11-15 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x5665c8…
11-15 15:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0e1702…
11-15 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x761927…
11-15 15:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xc81b59…
11-15 14:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc86159…
11-15 14:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	54	40¢	$22	0x136cb2…
11-15 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xfd430d…
11-15 14:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x4ac3fd…
11-15 14:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xc06027…
11-15 14:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x2ce16e…
11-15 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x58e0f6…
11-15 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x3c845b…
11-15 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x780a21…
11-15 14:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0xf68c38…
11-15 14:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x9ff277…
11-15 14:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x445b77…
11-15 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x5c091c…
11-15 14:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa3c67e…
11-15 14:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1827cd…
11-15 14:29:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	170	63¢	$108	0xb849e2…
11-15 13:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x99ec4e…
11-15 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3e0b18…
11-15 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x277840…
11-15 10:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x1b56e6…
11-15 10:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x423c29…
11-15 10:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x6627a4…
11-15 10:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x1bb3d1…
11-15 10:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x751dbb…
11-15 10:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x9f73af…
11-15 10:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x720e00…
11-15 10:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x12d82e…
11-15 09:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x3be294…
11-15 09:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcdb60d…
11-15 09:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x189573…
11-15 09:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x09622b…
11-15 09:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	69	33¢	$23	0x7a0a7c…
11-15 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x5a4898…
11-15 09:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x835d2c…
11-15 09:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x459948…
11-15 09:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x3dd3b9…
11-15 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0x77ac89…
11-15 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf0f774…
11-15 09:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0xc1bc24…
11-15 09:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xaf6b13…
11-15 09:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x3d7103…
11-15 09:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x953965…
11-14 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	103	9¢	$9	0x9b1980…
11-14 16:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x42b9fa…
11-14 16:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x488944…
11-14 16:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x92f189…
11-14 16:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x5ce05f…
11-14 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x30f204…
11-14 16:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x0e2c22…
11-14 16:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x56bc80…
11-14 16:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xc409a5…
11-14 16:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x2c7ff9…
11-14 16:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x114e40…
11-14 15:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x30f86f…
11-14 15:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xc46dd6…
11-14 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x37573a…
11-14 15:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x6c8b49…
11-14 15:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x8737c6…
11-14 15:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0xb116d1…
11-14 15:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x25ce02…
11-14 15:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xfdecef…