Shady-Tshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

287

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x653402…
10-27 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62d593…
10-26 05:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63ebcc…
10-24 06:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99f6d4…
10-23 07:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8b623…
10-21 08:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bc3d9…
10-19 06:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60e12e…
10-18 07:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x233d10…
10-17 07:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7eae74…
10-16 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefeef7…
10-15 06:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf44f93…
10-14 07:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa602d8…
10-13 05:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc21f33…
10-12 04:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8534cb…
10-11 03:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9c176…
10-08 05:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0de9f…
10-07 08:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c9c0b…
10-06 07:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf29ab5…
10-04 08:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfef396…
10-03 04:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01f593…
10-02 07:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16ff04…
10-02 03:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x505d6f…
10-01 07:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc109fe…
09-30 09:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf883ed…
09-29 08:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd134d2…
09-28 08:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7724…
09-27 02:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ee5ab…
09-25 07:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86cc5e…
09-24 06:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581872…
09-23 05:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29cac0…
09-22 06:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc03636…
09-21 08:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7db80b…
09-20 03:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0ca75…
09-19 06:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcadbb…
09-18 01:11:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52b075…
09-17 03:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbb722…
09-16 08:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcb6cf…
09-15 23:35:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c266b…
09-15 02:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fc3ed…
09-14 02:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa9118…
09-13 12:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f5ba8…
09-12 08:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b53f6…
09-11 06:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43c29f…
09-10 01:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x525667…
09-09 01:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3fd88…
09-08 01:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31931f…
09-07 01:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x878b29…
09-06 01:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78fa9c…
09-05 09:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87a2f0…
09-04 08:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x085338…
09-03 01:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e9e93…
09-01 01:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd97a1…
08-30 01:01:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53e255…
08-29 05:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea82d2…
08-28 01:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53bfb7…
08-27 01:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x86e6b2…
08-26 02:03:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1994a…
08-25 08:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b291e…
08-24 07:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31afc6…
08-23 07:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7a351…
08-22 06:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74d981…
08-21 01:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef7406…
08-20 05:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80dca8…
08-19 07:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0504a2…
08-18 01:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72eed5…
08-17 06:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc35188…
08-16 10:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x785316…
08-15 02:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x961f19…
08-14 06:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29a187…
08-13 00:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefb2e1…
08-12 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe598ec…
08-11 00:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb63dc…
08-10 00:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x136e0f…
08-09 07:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9539a8…
08-09 00:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25616a…
08-08 07:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd94513…
08-07 00:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee04ae…
08-06 00:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e5f53…
08-05 00:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0041c3…
08-04 03:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a0513…
08-03 00:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e1cd4…
08-02 00:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x628c1e…
08-01 00:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f3895…
07-31 07:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05e23f…
07-30 00:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd327f…
07-29 01:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59b3f7…
07-28 00:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71d09c…
07-27 07:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45dee1…
07-26 01:10:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0262e2…
07-25 00:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xede50c…
07-24 01:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa78aca…
07-23 01:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb453af…
07-22 01:34:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cd4f5…
07-20 23:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14e2c0…
07-19 22:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9db798…
07-18 22:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb201fa…
07-17 23:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaea1c7…
07-17 01:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48371d…
07-16 08:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf48485…
07-15 21:40:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x546e77…