Proper-Estate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$638

Unrealized P&L

+$417

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

375

Trades

6,239

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-28 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Sports

50% 14% +$1,702

Other

38% 28% -$997

Politics

6% 60% +$124

Tech

5% 17% -$196

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$10

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	-1,313	-$244	0¢	$-5	+$240	07-26 15:01
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-1,308	-$81	0¢	$-1	+$80	07-25 14:53
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	-91	-$97	0¢	$-0	+$97	07-25 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	185	$2.5K	34,916	42,916	-8,000	No	+$1,297	07-15 03:16
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	244	$1.8K	30,462	36,433	-5,972	No	+$456	10-10 20:25
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	149	$1.1K	7,674	8,987	-1,313	open	—	07-26 15:01
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	192	$903	13,522	14,022	-500	No	+$48	07-26 14:09
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	54	$701	2,151	2,242	-91	open	—	07-25 20:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	219	$685	17,829	18,537	-708	No	-$207	05-28 13:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	20	$641	897	896	+1	No	-$90	04-13 17:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$594	1,114	1,149	-35	No	+$20	04-11 22:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$570	670	190	+480	Yes	+$131	03-30 05:31
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	35	$560	980	788	+192	No	+$11	06-28 10:31
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	19	$558	1,300	597	+703	No	-$81	03-31 17:25
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	11	$542	571	150	+421	Yes	+$158	04-12 17:04
f1 japanese grand prix driver pole position antonelli 2026 03 28	58	$501	800	812	-12	Yes	+$135	03-28 06:42
f1 japanese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 29	17	$500	594	574	+20	No	+$98	03-29 05:19
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	39	$490	1,690	1,690	+0	open	—	08-22 12:17
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	44	$476	1,466	1,455	+11	No	+$234	05-03 17:38
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	117	$466	14,312	15,555	-1,243	No	+$170	08-26 14:06
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	48	$425	2,637	3,945	-1,308	open	—	07-25 14:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	12	$422	647	140	+507	Yes	-$184	04-02 10:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$403	572	0	+572	Yes	+$169	04-10 19:20
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	20	$386	658	658	+0	No	-$1	07-09 08:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	13	$325	600	600	+0	open	—	05-23 21:36
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	180	$308	10,683	10,656	+26	No	+$55	08-23 07:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$300	650	650	+0	No	+$15	07-19 21:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	9	$274	460	130	+330	Yes	-$126	04-02 10:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 12c	17	$268	578	566	+11	Yes	+$257	04-11 05:42
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	28	$263	906	905	+0	No	+$97	05-23 20:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	30	$258	2,030	2,760	-730	No	+$70	06-03 13:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	8	$254	322	322	+0	No	-$5	04-07 23:30
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	2	$235	300	0	+300	Yes	+$65	03-26 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:36:20	Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa957d9…
10-28 19:36:20	Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9c8229…
10-28 19:36:19	Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7aa160…
10-28 19:36:19	Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x48fe85…
10-28 19:36:19	Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x293907…
10-28 08:17:29	Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4964a4…
10-26 07:08:29	Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe09989…
10-26 07:08:29	Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x8cf99d…
10-26 07:08:29	Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4c3ed7…
10-19 09:47:33	Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xbdee99…
10-19 09:47:33	Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1267e2…
10-17 15:44:36	Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x09f28d…
10-16 13:03:06	Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xbcabe7…
10-11 14:11:16	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe04381…
10-11 14:11:16	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x94ce9c…
10-11 14:11:16	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x882e62…
10-11 14:11:16	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x72f7d7…
10-11 14:11:16	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x59674e…
10-11 14:11:16	Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x01eb1b…
10-11 13:47:40	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc3c465…
10-10 20:25:12	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	323	2¢	$6	0x982a56…
10-10 19:48:09	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x77d631…
10-10 19:48:09	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2dcf27…
10-10 19:48:07	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,499	2¢	$30	0x20a2dd…
10-10 17:20:27	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,179	2¢	$24	0x7e6e6d…
10-10 17:19:04	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x925906…
10-10 17:16:04	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xedbfe3…
10-10 17:05:21	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x933ade…
10-10 16:21:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xf03993…
10-10 16:02:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf288a1…
10-10 16:02:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xd38fc5…
10-10 16:02:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x941689…
10-10 16:02:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x69843b…
10-10 16:02:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2242f7…
10-10 16:02:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x09a952…
10-10 15:49:54	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x2d7d55…
10-10 15:42:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8b30e5…
10-10 15:42:22	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa5808e…
10-10 15:41:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xcad0da…
10-10 15:41:12	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x30e264…
10-10 15:40:28	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$1	0xd5506d…
10-10 15:37:22	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x115acf…
10-10 15:36:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe74555…
10-10 15:36:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x334872…
10-10 15:18:04	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$2	0x30cabc…
10-10 14:53:25	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0xa23ca5…
10-10 14:53:22	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x625077…
10-10 14:53:07	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xdb72a5…
10-10 14:53:07	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x04f369…
10-10 14:52:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8cf13e…
10-10 14:52:06	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xff4f56…
10-10 14:51:46	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0x139309…
10-10 14:35:27	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	616	2¢	$10	0x7b624f…
10-10 10:19:19	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xb30870…
10-10 10:13:36	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	412	2¢	$7	0xf2b8c5…
10-10 10:10:06	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	625	2¢	$10	0x11c77a…
10-04 14:39:10	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x52f2a3…
09-29 11:12:26	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x06894c…
09-28 02:19:21	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x287098…
09-12 17:06:33	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x3501ae…
09-12 15:01:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x5c3706…
09-11 11:31:27	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x2b92ed…
09-11 09:49:52	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x589d9d…
09-11 02:01:07	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x479334…
09-09 15:12:49	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,900	0¢	$10	0x06f780…
09-06 13:48:55	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa0247e…
09-06 13:48:55	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3006dd…
09-06 13:48:54	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc5373f…
09-06 13:48:54	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x72ed43…
09-06 13:48:54	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x64b33d…
09-06 13:48:54	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x024d99…
09-06 13:48:52	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x66bae5…
09-06 13:48:52	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0707bb…
09-03 08:56:51	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xc96c4a…
09-03 08:56:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	302	1¢	$2	0x4263cf…
09-02 16:11:36	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaab8eb…
09-02 14:41:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xbd5c0c…
09-02 14:39:09	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3540ae…
09-01 13:23:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x4375a9…
09-01 03:30:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0xd0a917…
09-01 03:30:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc34b04…
09-01 03:30:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6c6273…
08-28 05:34:10	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x458e30…
08-28 05:32:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xf576ee…
08-28 05:31:31	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xbdcfab…
08-28 05:31:31	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6cdd71…
08-28 02:00:01	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6b79ee…
08-28 01:45:33	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x40e0ab…
08-28 01:44:30	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9355c3…
08-28 01:44:30	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x0c8bc1…
08-28 01:44:28	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf38e2d…
08-28 01:44:15	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5fab60…
08-28 01:41:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf5e40e…
08-28 01:41:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x49fa6e…
08-28 01:41:51	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7e4506…
08-28 01:40:19	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x042a3c…
08-28 01:34:13	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x47c0da…
08-28 01:29:55	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x53115a…
08-28 01:27:57	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf16abb…
08-28 01:27:57	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x8f3393…