Nonstop-Argument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

108

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-28 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$6

Politics

28% 100% +$8

Crypto

11% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$188	144	72	+72	Yes	+$7	10-25 23:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$162	110	56	+54	No	+$1	08-30 05:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$140	71	71	+0	No	+$1	09-07 12:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$127	64	64	+0	No	+$0	08-14 11:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$106	66	66	+0	No	+$0	10-18 01:34
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	1	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	10-06 04:09
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$67	67	0	+67	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:30
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$1	08-17 14:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	08-16 02:27
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	1	$61	63	0	+63	Yes	+$2	10-12 22:03
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-16 00:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	08-22 01:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-31 12:17
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$44	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	07-30 01:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-28 17:55
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	06-29 20:05
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-15 12:06
will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-29 12:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	09-30 19:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	09-27 14:04
Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-28 19:56
will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	03-30 23:29
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-28 05:20
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	09-20 06:59
will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-24 00:06
Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-23 00:01
nvda above 130 on january 30 2026	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	01-10 04:28
amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-11 17:31
nvda above 250 on february 27 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-21 01:11
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-14 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:20:44	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x59c83e…
10-25 23:18:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	72	91¢	$66	0x43ddad…
10-18 01:34:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	81¢	$53	0x64c9b7…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	81¢	$53	0xc76c91…
10-12 22:03:38	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x396813…
10-08 21:41:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89c024…
10-06 04:09:37	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x8d6664…
10-05 13:28:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	72	85¢	$62	0x67986c…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	72	84¢	$61	0xfb8994…
09-30 19:38:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xdd1943…
09-28 17:55:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4101ac…
09-27 14:04:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf1698f…
09-25 06:52:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c6d53…
09-23 00:01:25	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac6f41…
09-22 14:30:24	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x1e3083…
09-20 06:59:34	Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x59112a…
09-16 00:45:57	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x18d1c8…
09-11 08:25:48	Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3a566…
09-10 05:33:52	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77049e…
09-07 12:18:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$70	0xd0ab3c…
09-04 14:17:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0x97aa4b…
08-30 05:41:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x8991c4…
08-27 17:45:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xaa8208…
08-26 21:20:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x118c3f…
08-26 00:15:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a984e…
08-24 01:20:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x82007a…
08-23 23:23:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x553fca…
08-22 01:41:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x1b9bda…
08-21 16:40:01	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x1c9163…
08-21 01:16:21	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x51563a…
08-20 22:25:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x341ea0…
08-17 14:45:09	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x964114…
08-16 02:27:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x838bcd…
08-14 11:53:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x35a03c…
08-11 10:36:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x5e2c35…
08-10 08:39:57	will wti dip to 40 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb10727…
08-08 19:56:54	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd760ca…
08-05 11:11:56	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf50c93…
07-31 14:07:32	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x422e51…
07-30 01:26:32	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x1422bd…
07-29 11:01:42	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x636d3e…
07-29 03:47:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc42bb…
07-28 16:38:43	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb4f887…
07-27 19:43:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd55b02…
07-27 06:38:58	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x48f712…
07-26 08:58:12	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40ed99…
07-26 00:55:07	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9addc2…
07-22 11:02:06	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd26b8f…
07-17 09:33:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x961014…
07-11 21:14:49	will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3ae505…
07-04 14:12:34	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd0b3b4…
06-29 20:05:55	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x028c9e…
06-29 12:03:53	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xc67253…
05-31 12:17:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb3a687…
05-27 22:25:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd5de11…
05-23 10:09:47	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05fa61…
05-15 12:06:49	Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x2429ef…
05-14 12:44:39	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x049f98…
05-10 16:49:02	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x855fc8…
05-09 15:45:08	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd33317…
05-09 14:06:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x444a78…
05-09 00:25:01	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce60b3…
05-08 16:08:49	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb6318e…
05-07 15:53:54	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x697dab…
05-07 13:55:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71b4f2…
05-05 19:52:06	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf514d1…
05-05 17:30:16	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23072b…
05-05 08:59:16	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x224b5e…
04-28 19:56:38	Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x12c11b…
04-27 16:29:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2a729c…
04-26 02:16:22	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9b04a…
04-25 15:30:10	Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x68065e…
04-23 19:11:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4718aa…
04-21 05:35:26	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xad8fd2…
04-20 08:01:22	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa697cc…
04-19 12:18:00	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x34589d…
04-18 15:22:54	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4cbdaf…
04-18 08:09:50	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x3fc10b…
04-17 15:00:18	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2b3877…
04-14 08:41:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x47afd5…
04-13 22:35:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xea487c…
04-05 17:36:09	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x29a426…
03-30 23:29:35	will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4e656e…
03-28 23:08:28	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x128bf2…
03-28 00:38:23	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x854705…
03-26 16:32:55	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x15be22…
03-24 23:36:05	msft above 480 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa99737…
03-23 15:09:17	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbf0fd…
03-20 23:44:03	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x44754d…
03-19 21:44:11	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x261f3a…
03-18 23:29:57	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50834d…
03-17 00:50:19	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x808ab3…
03-16 02:02:11	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce13fe…
03-15 03:34:33	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1fada4…
03-14 14:19:29	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x911ad5…
03-11 21:40:41	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90ea1b…
03-11 06:52:57	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedf0a7…
03-09 21:59:59	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x79f5b6…
03-08 12:19:19	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x13b219…
03-03 06:30:57	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1d3ce1…