Hidden-Guideline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$420

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-22 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 100% +$1

Other

7% 25% $-2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776367500	3	$11	9	9	+1	open	—	04-16 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 12:13
btc updown 5m 1776458100	7	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-17 20:40
btc updown 5m 1776465600	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776073800	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-24 15:48
btc updown 5m 1776466200	4	$5	10	10	+1	open	—	04-17 22:53
btc updown 5m 1776270900	4	$5	25	23	+2	open	—	04-15 16:39
btc updown 5m 1784721000	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	07-22 11:55
btc updown 5m 1776520800	5	$5	8	6	+2	open	—	04-18 14:04
btc updown 5m 1776459000	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776519900	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776464100	4	$5	12	11	+1	open	—	04-17 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 14:38
btc updown 5m 1776463800	4	$5	6	5	+0	open	—	04-17 22:13
btc updown 5m 1777050300	4	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-24 17:10
btc updown 5m 1776458700	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 20:48
btc updown 5m 1776456600	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-17 20:15
btc updown 5m 1776450000	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 18:25
btc updown 5m 1776197400	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776464400	4	$4	9	8	+0	open	—	04-17 22:23
btc updown 5m 1784736000	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	07-22 16:05
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 14:08
btc updown 5m 1776593700	4	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	04-19 10:19
btc updown 5m 1776195900	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-14 19:50
btc updown 5m 1776268500	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-15 16:00
btc updown 5m 1776459300	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 21:00
btc updown 5m 1776447300	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 17:40
btc updown 5m 1776460500	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 21:20
btc updown 5m 1776461100	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-17 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:46:19	btc updown 5m 1784742300	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x262a76…
07-22 17:46:06	btc updown 5m 1784742300	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9ed27c…
07-22 16:06:42	btc updown 5m 1784736300	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb6543a…
07-22 16:06:04	btc updown 5m 1784736300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89971b…
07-22 16:05:04	btc updown 5m 1784736000	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7abb64…
07-22 16:04:51	btc updown 5m 1784736000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2e88f1…
07-22 16:04:01	btc updown 5m 1784736000	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x33c5bd…
07-22 16:03:09	btc updown 5m 1784736000	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc5ad01…
07-22 15:56:24	btc updown 5m 1784735700	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x20ecf2…
07-22 15:55:22	btc updown 5m 1784735700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb98d2b…
07-22 15:53:22	btc updown 5m 1784735400	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xe6bd06…
07-22 15:52:37	btc updown 5m 1784735400	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd77804…
07-22 15:52:27	btc updown 5m 1784735400	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x06cdb5…
07-22 15:52:19	btc updown 5m 1784735400	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x23d39e…
07-22 12:16:09	btc updown 5m 1784722500	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0xeb95a3…
07-22 12:15:49	btc updown 5m 1784722500	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe93c15…
07-22 12:13:30	btc updown 5m 1784722200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8c09e1…
07-22 12:11:52	btc updown 5m 1784722200	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd1fd58…
07-22 12:10:49	btc updown 5m 1784722200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8deea3…
07-22 12:07:06	btc updown 5m 1784721900	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0203c0…
07-22 12:01:54	btc updown 5m 1784721600	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfb8c60…
07-22 11:56:21	btc updown 5m 1784721300	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x344e02…
07-22 11:55:06	btc updown 5m 1784721000	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x11284c…
07-22 11:52:45	btc updown 5m 1784721000	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x50a18f…
07-22 09:12:37	btc updown 5m 1784711400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaa7b1e…
07-22 09:08:25	btc updown 5m 1784711100	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x62f607…
07-22 09:06:09	btc updown 5m 1784711100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ba619…
07-22 09:01:51	btc updown 5m 1784710800	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x1f2a55…
07-22 09:01:12	btc updown 5m 1784710800	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x82b82d…
07-20 10:21:04	btc updown 5m 1784542800	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x11010a…
07-19 20:31:52	btc updown 5m 1784493000	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2199e8…
07-19 18:49:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd5e92d…
07-19 16:11:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x6293a3…
07-19 16:09:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x308f4a…
06-03 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xde34f0…
06-03 13:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x25e883…
05-27 19:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x76cb69…
05-26 21:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x87810d…
05-26 21:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x69d8b0…
05-26 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x103df6…
05-26 13:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x43ece9…
05-26 13:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6a325c…
05-26 13:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x3764e8…
05-26 13:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb70a14…
05-26 13:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x90e813…
05-26 13:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e9d50…
05-25 16:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x784561…
05-25 16:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee8794…
05-25 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6c5605…
05-25 16:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb821e9…
05-25 14:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x8e52f0…
05-25 14:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5e191e…
05-25 13:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2515e3…
05-25 13:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3b9081…
05-24 16:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x46fa6e…
05-24 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x00d50d…
05-24 15:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xee2c7b…
05-24 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x7d0f19…
05-24 15:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd7d086…
05-24 15:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xe9df5f…
05-24 15:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x101447…
05-24 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xa39590…
05-24 15:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xda3ff9…
05-22 18:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x334be9…
05-20 14:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x73d7ed…
05-20 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x91ae30…
05-20 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f7b5d…
05-20 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0b17a8…
05-20 11:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6d1c05…
05-15 18:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x56129e…
05-15 18:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x69b484…
05-14 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe48beb…
05-13 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x4a357e…
05-13 22:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf08219…
05-13 13:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd83df8…
05-13 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x919a31…
05-12 12:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xb2cbc0…
05-12 12:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x59ada6…
04-25 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x42b125…
04-25 21:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xba98fb…
04-25 17:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb38bd8…
04-25 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x10b3c0…
04-25 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf1abed…
04-25 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdf96c5…
04-25 16:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa47052…
04-24 19:57:56	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 btts	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x994003…
04-24 19:32:34	btc updown 5m 1777059000	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xa98136…
04-24 19:31:58	btc updown 5m 1777059000	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9960c4…
04-24 19:29:20	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 btts	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x74be8e…
04-24 17:18:36	btc updown 5m 1777050900	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xc4e0d0…
04-24 17:17:24	btc updown 5m 1777050900	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc25f1c…
04-24 17:12:20	btc updown 5m 1777050600	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x99f624…
04-24 17:11:04	btc updown 5m 1777050600	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd45ba2…
04-24 17:10:20	btc updown 5m 1777050300	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc38903…
04-24 17:09:08	btc updown 5m 1777050300	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x29d124…
04-24 17:06:46	btc updown 5m 1777050300	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x92c258…
04-24 17:05:52	btc updown 5m 1777050300	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7848b6…
04-24 17:02:18	btc updown 5m 1777050000	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xb14202…
04-24 17:01:06	btc updown 5m 1777050000	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe64bdf…
04-24 16:51:26	btc updown 5m 1777049400	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5a6972…