Nifty-Reorganization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

1,576

Trades

2,477

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-31 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$10

Other

0% 71% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	7	$35	43	0	+43	Down	-$7	10-28 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$30	40	0	+40	Up	-$6	10-27 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$30	45	0	+45	Up	-$5	10-30 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$30	43	0	+43	Up	-$5	10-27 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$25	52	0	+52	Up	-$6	10-30 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$21	34	0	+34	Down	+$6	10-26 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$20	32	0	+32	Up	-$9	10-27 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$20	39	0	+39	Down	-$3	10-28 12:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$19	28	0	+28	Up	+$2	10-26 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$18	25	0	+25	Down	-$3	10-20 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$17	22	8	+15	Up	+$0	10-23 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$16	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	10-22 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$15	23	0	+23	Down	$0	10-27 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$15	29	0	+29	Down	-$8	10-30 08:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$15	22	0	+22	Down	-$2	10-26 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$15	29	0	+29	Up	+$8	10-26 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$15	21	0	+21	Down	-$4	10-30 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$15	20	0	+20	Down	-$5	10-30 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:50 UTC	6	$13	15	8	+7	Up	$0	10-18 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$13	24	0	+24	Down	-$7	10-22 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	5	$12	15	5	+10	Up	-$2	10-20 03:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$12	15	6	+9	Down	+$1	10-06 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$12	22	0	+22	Down	-$12	10-22 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$12	22	0	+22	Down	-$2	10-20 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$12	22	0	+22	Down	-$3	10-16 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$12	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	10-26 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:20 UTC	4	$12	16	0	+16	Up	-$2	09-26 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$12	16	0	+16	Up	-$2	10-20 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:55 UTC	6	$12	20	8	+12	Up	+$1	10-13 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$12	15	5	+9	Up	-$1	10-03 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x02b637…
10-31 12:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x16517a…
10-31 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33fa4e…
10-31 11:47:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x37a103…
10-30 14:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x999193…
10-30 14:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa32a84…
10-30 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8e143d…
10-30 12:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb703ee…
10-30 10:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd4b1fe…
10-30 10:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd289a4…
10-30 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x689f96…
10-30 10:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa70f8c…
10-30 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4a417f…
10-30 09:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf7c66d…
10-30 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb27ec5…
10-30 09:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc99681…
10-30 09:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9f0a88…
10-30 09:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff7015…
10-30 09:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf308bb…
10-30 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1aedf0…
10-30 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x178914…
10-30 09:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe91092…
10-30 08:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7d1941…
10-30 08:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x35554c…
10-30 08:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe6abf1…
10-30 08:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb9d117…
10-30 08:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x487be7…
10-30 08:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfbb369…
10-30 08:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xdfd881…
10-30 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x482aca…
10-30 08:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6e2b7e…
10-30 08:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x156464…
10-30 08:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1f6fc3…
10-30 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xae6a85…
10-30 07:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb7e9e9…
10-30 07:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xde1fe3…
10-30 07:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf0f60a…
10-30 07:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5c989e…
10-30 07:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc48e0f…
10-30 07:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc5acd9…
10-30 07:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbdba5e…
10-30 06:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7ae17e…
10-30 06:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x061e9c…
10-30 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x043e09…
10-30 06:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4aab98…
10-30 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xed5c00…
10-30 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2638e6…
10-30 06:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3c712d…
10-30 06:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82ba33…
10-30 06:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0ac73b…
10-30 06:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb57254…
10-30 06:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc7862d…
10-30 06:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaddceb…
10-30 06:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x18fd55…
10-30 06:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0336b7…
10-30 06:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9ee66a…
10-30 06:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8b7a15…
10-30 06:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf0da35…
10-30 06:06:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4601df…
10-30 05:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x052bfe…
10-30 05:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb71b0b…
10-30 05:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd3f54f…
10-30 05:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe09c0…
10-30 05:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0276be…
10-30 05:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9c32d…
10-30 05:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe6c942…
10-30 05:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x52463d…
10-30 05:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7ca9d8…
10-30 03:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x169762…
10-30 03:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf4de7f…
10-30 02:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbf0213…
10-30 02:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2f614b…
10-30 02:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b507c…
10-30 02:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc458fe…
10-30 02:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7bc665…
10-30 02:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6d0313…
10-29 15:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2024df…
10-29 14:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xac2109…
10-29 14:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x614eaf…
10-29 14:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x18ebf0…
10-29 14:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf1f05…
10-29 14:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd12de5…
10-29 14:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcd4456…
10-29 14:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcb8854…
10-28 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb4d7d5…
10-28 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9f90b8…
10-28 14:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x58f063…
10-28 14:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x575876…
10-28 13:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2ab271…
10-28 13:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e416c…
10-28 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1bab06…
10-28 12:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf74b94…
10-28 12:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe1ec61…
10-28 12:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x97ee7b…
10-28 12:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7697c6…
10-28 12:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5b1ad3…
10-28 12:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc29bec…
10-28 12:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc5fac2…
10-28 12:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x840d6e…
10-28 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf1f7dd…