Rowdy-Clarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$772

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

2,291

Trades

2,826

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 08-20 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 85% -$9

Other

46% 60% -$738

Sports

1% 56% -$26

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	4	$379	1,191	1,191	+0	No	-$21	07-13 18:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	3	$354	1,031	993	+38	No	-$16	07-03 16:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$324	850	850	+0	No	+$20	07-20 23:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$317	1,032	1,032	+0	No	-$43	07-05 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$254	729	729	+0	No	+$14	07-06 10:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	4	$249	1,099	1,099	+0	No	-$131	07-09 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$243	1,721	1,721	+0	No	+$3	07-02 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$216	532	532	+0	No	-$24	07-03 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$203	513	513	+0	No	+$3	07-11 13:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	4	$165	393	393	+0	No	+$25	06-30 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	3	$163	751	751	+0	No	-$117	07-10 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	7	$150	492	488	+4	No	+$68	06-30 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$138	415	415	+0	No	-$22	07-21 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$137	539	539	+0	No	+$20	07-23 22:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$120	392	392	+0	Yes	+$103	06-25 04:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$115	539	539	+0	No	-$45	07-24 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$110	399	399	+0	No	+$10	07-22 03:30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$102	473	473	+0	No	+$2	07-18 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$100	452	0	+452	No	-$100	07-11 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$100	335	0	+335	No	-$100	07-11 13:19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$95	1,016	1,016	+0	No	-$35	07-27 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$94	291	291	+0	No	+$13	06-27 06:19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$91	617	617	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$88	635	635	+0	No	-$41	07-14 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$85	312	312	+0	Yes	-$15	07-10 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$80	257	257	+0	No	-$20	07-21 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$75	463	463	+0	No	-$14	07-09 06:56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$75	496	496	+0	No	-$25	07-14 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$72	465	465	+0	No	-$28	07-10 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	3	$70	69	41	+28	Down	-$10	08-20 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 12:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x6b4fcc…
08-20 12:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x30c75a…
08-20 12:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x36338c…
08-20 12:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0x057f40…
08-20 12:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x51b785…
08-20 12:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb413aa…
08-20 11:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4b0f4c…
08-20 11:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0xddc82c…
08-20 11:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcf0350…
08-20 11:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x77e350…
08-20 11:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x86abf3…
08-20 11:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3390cc…
08-20 10:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd60b75…
08-20 10:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x268ca5…
08-20 10:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xac9497…
08-20 10:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x39735a…
08-20 10:31:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf7ccfe…
08-20 09:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0f23b9…
08-20 08:32:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xb2802a…
08-20 08:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaecb9c…
08-20 08:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x3a092a…
08-20 08:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x956404…
08-20 08:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbfe619…
08-20 08:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc872e6…
08-20 08:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x96c09d…
08-20 08:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x972eb4…
08-19 08:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xb561ea…
08-19 08:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8d9529…
08-19 08:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x887a12…
08-19 08:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x95e901…
08-19 08:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee0743…
08-19 03:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbdaf85…
08-19 03:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10282d…
08-19 03:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xfbccba…
08-19 03:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x168731…
08-18 15:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x9b158d…
08-18 15:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe61b5b…
08-18 15:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x065a4a…
08-18 15:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x793dc6…
08-18 15:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb3ad24…
08-18 15:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x3e8fb7…
08-18 15:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8bb5b2…
08-18 15:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd68e5a…
08-18 14:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa854b0…
08-18 14:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb9977e…
08-18 14:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa6115e…
08-18 14:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7eae28…
08-18 14:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x573e8b…
08-18 14:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3962bb…
08-18 13:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9da46…
08-18 13:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x5c2ada…
08-18 13:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa449e8…
08-18 13:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6b70f3…
08-18 11:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xd21549…
08-18 11:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf0e67e…
08-18 11:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x806a21…
08-18 11:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x47569f…
08-18 10:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc10d18…
08-18 10:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc1049f…
08-18 10:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x77f426…
08-18 10:41:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x75b6a6…
08-18 10:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xc41361…
08-18 10:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x39c84d…
08-18 09:02:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3833e5…
08-18 08:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x6a4cb6…
08-18 08:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5b5e9a…
08-18 08:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x7c335a…
08-18 08:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x318aef…
08-18 08:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x83452b…
08-18 08:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaac6d6…
08-18 08:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x327c21…
08-18 08:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe0350c…
08-18 08:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xabbbcb…
08-18 08:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xbd7fe2…
08-18 08:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x898419…
08-18 08:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xf5729a…
08-18 08:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbffaf2…
08-18 07:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x357dfc…
08-18 07:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe2ccd3…
08-17 13:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbe6f10…
08-17 10:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xaee9a8…
08-17 10:52:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1ac6a9…
08-17 10:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x9f5aa5…
08-17 10:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaed13c…
08-16 14:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xffb1a0…
08-16 14:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x66c1b6…
08-16 14:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7bb25e…
08-16 14:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd72ca2…
08-16 14:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x824eff…
08-15 14:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x825b68…
08-15 13:51:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcd50c0…
08-15 13:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x800d95…
08-15 13:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3c6901…
08-15 13:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xbad08f…
08-15 13:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbdb819…
08-15 13:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x816ee3…
08-15 13:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa2c238…
08-15 13:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x05d66c…
08-15 13:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd63043…
08-15 13:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc0997e…