Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

-$395

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

$105

1 position

First seen

2026-02-15

last 11-01 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

80% 22% -$1,534

Crypto

20% 32% -$712

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No		+7,759	$500	1¢	$105	-$395	11-01 20:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$1.5K	1,246	1,246	+0	Yes	+$984	02-28 06:53
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$536	23,708	0	+23,708	No	-$536	02-19 13:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	1	$500	7,759	0	+7,759	open	—	11-01 20:23
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$480	4,061	0	+4,061	No	-$480	02-19 13:19
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$400	2,105	0	+2,105	No	-$400	02-19 13:19
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$400	2,353	0	+2,353	No	-$400	02-19 13:19
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$400	5,777	0	+5,777	No	-$400	02-19 13:19
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$400	1,803	0	+1,803	No	-$400	02-19 13:20
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$398	340	340	+0	Yes	+$241	02-28 06:52
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$256	3,114	3,114	+0	No	-$144	02-28 06:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 18:30 UTC	1	$154	803	0	+803	Down	-$154	03-25 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:40 UTC	2	$153	82	81	+0	Down	+$9	02-16 09:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 3?	1	$147	3,144	0	+3,144	No	-$147	06-02 20:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:50 UTC	1	$98	139	0	+139	Down	-$98	03-03 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:35 UTC	1	$95	290	0	+290	Down	-$95	03-03 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:10 UTC	2	$80	43	43	+0	Up	+$6	02-15 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$75	132	0	+132	Down	-$75	05-25 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:15 UTC	2	$58	39	38	+1	Up	+$19	02-15 16:20
ethereum above 2000 on february 15	2	$50	38	38	+0	Yes	+$10	02-15 15:58
bitcoin above 68k on february 28	1	$50	5,873	0	+5,873	No	-$50	02-28 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:00 UTC	2	$49	29	29	+0	Down	+$9	02-15 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	1	$30	51	0	+51	Up	-$30	03-01 05:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:00 UTC	1	$30	40	0	+40	Down	-$30	03-01 06:01
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on february 15	2	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	02-15 15:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	1	$22	833	0	+833	Yes	-$22	11-01 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:55 UTC	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	Up	-$20	02-15 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 13:30 UTC	1	$20	35	0	+35	Down	+$15	02-15 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:15 UTC	1	$20	49	0	+49	Up	+$29	02-15 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:30 UTC	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	-$20	02-15 16:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:45 UTC	1	$20	37	0	+37	Down	-$20	02-16 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:26:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	833	3¢	$22	0xfaa9a6…
11-01 20:23:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	7,759	6¢	$500	0x4da3b5…
06-02 20:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3,144	5¢	$147	0xef4dee…
06-02 19:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2cef9c…
05-25 19:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xef0a9c…
05-25 19:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x314eca…
05-25 19:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x9df85a…
05-25 19:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xc771d4…
03-25 18:31:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	803	19¢	$154	0x6b564c…
03-03 19:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	139	70¢	$98	0xf9179c…
03-03 10:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	290	33¢	$95	0x775d02…
03-01 06:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x6054ed…
03-01 05:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x28dc38…
02-28 07:41:01	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	Yes	BUY	5,873	1¢	$50	0x8f48a2…
02-28 06:53:03	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,246	99¢	$1,234	0x8822ca…
02-28 06:52:33	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	94¢	$320	0x47c463…
02-28 06:36:21	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	3,114	2¢	$56	0x77944b…
02-27 15:59:35	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	23¢	$78	0x8f9e08…
02-27 15:58:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x283ee7…
02-27 15:57:49	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3,114	6¢	$200	0x542468…
02-19 13:20:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1,803	22¢	$400	0x4f3048…
02-19 13:19:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	2,105	19¢	$400	0xfc469e…
02-19 13:19:42	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,353	17¢	$400	0x30f702…
02-19 13:19:34	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	12¢	$400	0xc63ccf…
02-19 13:19:24	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	5,777	7¢	$400	0xdb2d38…
02-19 13:19:14	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	23,708	2¢	$536	0x594289…
02-18 15:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x02df83…
02-18 12:26:02	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	728	11¢	$80	0x2d0222…
02-16 17:36:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x24d6f5…
02-16 14:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x8a8e23…
02-16 14:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x3ee6a5…
02-16 14:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x0737c2…
02-16 13:22:47	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xfdbbff…
02-16 09:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb9e63f…
02-16 09:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:40 UTC	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x78b0b7…
02-16 09:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0x9cfca7…
02-15 20:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x1851f5…
02-15 18:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x42804d…
02-15 18:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x1eddd0…
02-15 18:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0xb14887…
02-15 16:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xbbd1e4…
02-15 16:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xb28d8a…
02-15 16:16:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1de2cd…
02-15 16:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8d9d68…
02-15 16:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xdef74a…
02-15 16:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x38ffbf…
02-15 16:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x1bfa08…
02-15 15:58:19	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on february 15	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xc56256…
02-15 15:58:05	ethereum above 2000 on february 15	Yes	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x9a073e…
02-15 15:53:21	bitcoin above 70k on february 15	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x04945f…
02-15 14:15:35	ethereum above 2000 on february 15	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa455dd…
02-15 14:00:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on february 15	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcd0eb7…
02-15 13:37:51	bitcoin above 70k on february 15	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x869dcd…
02-15 13:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x52f811…