Easy-Going-Criteria — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

2,359

Trades

5,186

lifetime

Volume

$101.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 260 days

Categories

Other

96% 58% +$229

Sports

2% 43% -$292

Crypto

1% 54% -$133

Politics

1% 100% +$16

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+70	$40	56¢	$40	$0	10-30 20:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 tundra aur1 2026 03 01 game3	10	$1.3K	989	989	+0	Aurora	+$23	03-01 18:16
dota2 flc ts8 2026 03 08	34	$1.1K	1,328	1,023	+306	Team Spirit	+$81	03-08 20:42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	11	$810	728	607	+121	Team Yandex	+$129	10-11 19:40
dota2 mouz liquid 2026 02 26	9	$788	750	581	+169	Team Liquid	+$147	02-26 17:15
dota2 bb4 og 2026 09 30	15	$717	561	561	+0	BetBoom Team	+$25	09-30 14:12
dota2 liquid pari 2026 03 09 game1	13	$675	476	376	+100	Team Liquid	+$162	03-09 16:12
dota2 tundra aur1 2026 03 01 game4	11	$642	1,150	29	+1,121	Tundra Esports	+$513	03-01 19:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	33	$558	432	432	+0	Yes	-$9	07-06 21:30
dota2 aur1 xtreme 2026 02 28	5	$557	377	377	+0	Aurora	+$181	02-28 17:01
dota2 pari ty 2026 03 10	16	$545	686	350	+336	Team Yandex	+$114	03-10 11:34
dota2 pari ty 2026 03 10 game2	6	$541	600	300	+300	Team Yandex	-$85	03-10 10:15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	6	$535	428	428	+0	Team Yandex	-$5	10-11 16:36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	6	$525	330	330	+0	Team Spirit	-$10	10-11 15:24
dota2 tundra og 2026 03 10	8	$510	324	324	+0	Tundra Esports	+$126	03-10 18:33
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$508	520	0	+520	No	+$12	02-28 00:47
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	8	$498	260	260	+0	Yes	+$7	03-05 01:56
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	7	$491	483	407	+77	MOUZ	+$11	09-18 12:40
cs2 fut vit 2026 08 31	2	$478	290	290	+0	Vitality	+$78	08-31 19:59
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	6	$478	1,042	0	+1,042	Team Spirit	+$282	08-23 13:26
dota2 pari ty 2026 03 10 game1	13	$468	783	330	+453	PARIVISION	-$143	03-10 09:06
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	14	$429	483	403	+80	OG	+$47	10-25 12:44
dota2 xtreme vg 2026 03 11	5	$425	632	114	+518	Vici Gaming	-$389	03-11 10:56
dota2 flc ts8 2026 03 08 game1	5	$414	590	0	+590	Team Spirit	-$414	03-08 18:19
dota2 flc ts8 2026 03 08 game2	12	$405	538	250	+288	Team Falcons	+$45	03-08 19:39
dota2 pi pr1 2026 04 07	2	$404	204	204	+0	Power Rangers	+$4	04-07 15:26
cs2 ast10 mglz 2026 04 06	7	$388	230	229	+1	Astralis	+$20	04-06 14:48
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	3	$342	224	224	+0	Legacy	+$82	08-27 16:31
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	20	$340	6,833	4,166	+2,667	No	-$21	10-26 19:57
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	7	$331	404	404	+0	Team Yandex	-$84	10-11 19:08
dota2 liquid pari 2026 03 09 game2	9	$318	502	0	+502	Team Liquid	-$318	03-09 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:19:48	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Aurora Gaming	BUY	108	57¢	$61	0x2143c0…
11-01 18:20:43	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x181018…
11-01 18:20:24	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xec429b…
11-01 18:20:16	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x73fd13…
11-01 16:51:49	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xa2d62e…
11-01 16:49:34	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x27acf3…
11-01 16:44:27	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0xdb9a16…
11-01 16:41:21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x67d397…
11-01 16:33:24	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0fca7e…
11-01 16:26:10	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x63d0d1…
11-01 16:08:01	SBV Excelsior vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3823ba…
11-01 16:04:31	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x099540…
11-01 15:10:06	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x36f4a1…
11-01 15:09:22	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0x65dbeb…
11-01 15:03:13	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd7dce9…
11-01 15:00:37	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	57	30¢	$17	0x8002e1…
11-01 14:48:40	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x044321…
11-01 14:31:09	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x3689f4…
11-01 14:28:16	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x1b4334…
11-01 14:27:24	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x24a97c…
11-01 14:22:07	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xf47d4e…
11-01 14:21:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x988162…
11-01 13:35:48	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x734df2…
11-01 13:14:12	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x94981c…
11-01 11:23:45	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x655104…
11-01 11:23:09	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc491f0…
11-01 11:22:37	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xeec977…
11-01 11:21:42	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0x0a01ea…
11-01 11:20:28	SBV Excelsior vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xe4308b…
11-01 11:19:27	PEC Zwolle vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xbf8774…
10-31 19:53:39	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0xf89dd1…
10-31 15:03:19	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0xb99ad9…
10-31 14:34:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x51837d…
10-31 13:20:04	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x33b9ca…
10-31 12:35:45	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x33dac0…
10-31 12:35:19	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x3d5515…
10-31 12:33:43	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x49ec11…
10-31 12:29:31	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x317d45…
10-31 12:27:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x713abd…
10-30 20:11:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0xe4d792…
10-30 20:10:00	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xb7504a…
10-30 19:04:18	SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x473134…
10-30 19:03:06	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xe029b0…
10-30 17:53:18	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xd74afb…
10-30 17:44:51	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcf533b…
10-30 16:35:27	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	51	84¢	$43	0x33135f…
10-30 16:30:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x54da09…
10-30 16:18:36	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbbe2a8…
10-30 14:15:03	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x0a8081…
10-30 13:59:45	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xf57b54…
10-30 13:08:18	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0xb76cc9…
10-30 13:04:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0xa03238…
10-30 13:02:54	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	62	89¢	$56	0x65a90a…
10-30 13:01:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8260b7…
10-30 11:06:00	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x397862…
10-28 19:40:17	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x21ce27…
10-28 18:36:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xa88489…
10-28 18:26:10	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xaf7003…
10-28 18:24:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x07e05f…
10-28 18:19:35	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x34f0c3…
10-28 17:32:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7358ec…
10-28 17:31:01	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xa60294…
10-27 19:30:23	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xcb3643…
10-26 21:21:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf007e4…
10-26 21:21:09	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd797ae…
10-26 21:21:09	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x05034d…
10-26 21:21:05	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x397052…
10-26 19:57:29	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xebae93…
10-26 19:49:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xd6fcd8…
10-26 19:48:42	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x92d1c4…
10-26 19:23:17	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x37ca12…
10-26 18:49:15	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xf970b8…
10-26 18:30:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbc2f54…
10-26 18:25:14	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x6dffbb…
10-26 18:25:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	DENDELE CS	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x810e98…
10-26 18:16:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x9173f5…
10-26 17:31:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xa99ae5…
10-26 16:55:44	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xf0a910…
10-26 16:54:35	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x028b61…
10-26 16:52:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4f8776…
10-26 16:50:42	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x5fdc31…
10-26 16:48:06	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xbb2f64…
10-26 16:46:29	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3d8702…
10-26 16:23:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf1db23…
10-26 16:22:51	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x580bfe…
10-26 13:52:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x421742…
10-26 13:04:33	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x0116c3…
10-26 13:03:57	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x03fdaf…
10-26 12:18:30	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xf1019b…
10-26 12:18:20	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x0492de…
10-26 11:45:33	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x6efddb…
10-26 11:12:41	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x1e2cad…
10-26 10:55:47	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	65	85¢	$55	0x1f7e10…
10-26 08:33:24	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x6ddf43…
10-26 08:32:36	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xef6b67…
10-26 08:31:57	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xcb0b5c…
10-25 21:52:23	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3fbdde…
10-25 21:27:02	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfb2027…
10-25 20:32:50	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	65	20¢	$13	0x2bf110…
10-25 19:18:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x697bdf…