Unfinished-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.6%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$482

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-18 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

41% 75% +$5

Crypto

31% 40% -$21

Other

20% 0% -$3

Sports

8% 33% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	44	$128	107	107	+0	No	-$1	05-21 22:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	40	$91	94	94	+0	No	-$2	06-06 16:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	21	$56	46	46	+0	open	—	06-06 16:45
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	8	$19	20	20	+0	Minnesota Twins	$0	05-10 01:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$18	15	15	+0	No	$0	05-10 00:53
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	4	$14	22	0	+22	Cavaliers	+$8	05-09 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:15 UTC	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	-$8	06-06 17:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	05-09 23:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	8	0	+8	No	+$2	05-09 23:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-09 23:06
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	2	$5	5	5	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	$0	05-10 02:10
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	-$4	06-06 17:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	-$4	06-06 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:45 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	06-06 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:00 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	06-06 15:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:50 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	-$4	06-06 16:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	-$4	06-06 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:50 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	-$4	06-06 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	-$4	06-06 17:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:40 UTC	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	06-06 16:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	05-10 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 00:44
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 10:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:30 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	-$3	06-06 16:26
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:15 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	06-06 17:13
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:55 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	06-06 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-01 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 21:56:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x803f80…
06-18 21:54:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa4ea18…
06-13 17:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x31e268…
06-06 17:13:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0310ae…
06-06 17:13:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb4588e…
06-06 17:13:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xad9e26…
06-06 17:08:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc9c695…
06-06 17:08:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc68b5d…
06-06 17:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xd5e389…
06-06 17:08:09	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1f28da…
06-06 16:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb54af8…
06-06 16:53:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x49938d…
06-06 16:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xce9816…
06-06 16:48:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x1ff956…
06-06 16:48:13	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xdecc27…
06-06 16:48:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7666c2…
06-06 16:45:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xa93de7…
06-06 16:45:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xad08d6…
06-06 16:45:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xe8439f…
06-06 16:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x728f06…
06-06 16:36:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xabe673…
06-06 16:31:10	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe19b55…
06-06 16:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2d0cd3…
06-06 16:31:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf3ef84…
06-06 16:31:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc1b066…
06-06 16:26:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc3127f…
06-06 16:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd8322a…
06-06 16:24:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xbeaf53…
06-06 16:24:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x4de8ec…
06-06 16:24:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x48efe2…
06-06 15:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb5fdbf…
06-06 13:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd2b964…
06-03 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf23319…
06-03 08:59:46	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5aac70…
06-03 08:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x496e04…
06-02 12:39:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xc28da3…
06-02 12:39:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa8bd9f…
06-01 20:59:52	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x4518a4…
06-01 20:59:43	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x754332…
06-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x283a77…
06-01 15:14:55	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x5bd5c5…
06-01 15:14:46	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x525dce…
06-01 11:54:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe6811f…
06-01 11:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x131bf1…
06-01 07:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x106e36…
06-01 07:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x529973…
05-21 22:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xeda57f…
05-21 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x577256…
05-21 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe9288f…
05-21 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x94c945…
05-21 22:38:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x302114…
05-20 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xece1ce…
05-19 21:49:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe31b0b…
05-19 20:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf1472…
05-19 20:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x39903d…
05-19 20:34:45	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x24c179…
05-19 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x30c676…
05-19 00:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3a3378…
05-18 10:24:48	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x403ebd…
05-18 10:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf568fd…
05-18 10:24:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa36ebf…
05-18 04:09:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe3c5aa…
05-17 15:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x166eac…
05-17 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x37e9cf…
05-16 23:49:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa8a376…
05-16 21:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x130e97…
05-16 19:19:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc30321…
05-16 17:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0088a…
05-16 12:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xae717d…
05-16 12:14:46	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x077226…
05-10 11:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x765503…
05-10 02:19:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x02316e…
05-10 02:10:30	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x6344db…
05-10 02:08:59	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xebc381…
05-10 01:59:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x186d62…
05-10 01:58:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf799f0…
05-10 01:55:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3cc25c…
05-10 01:54:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x38a4e4…
05-10 01:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x22cff4…
05-10 01:52:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0602b0…
05-10 01:51:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3140d1…
05-10 01:50:45	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x650186…
05-10 01:49:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc49096…
05-10 01:49:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xfd4616…
05-10 01:48:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xacffc6…
05-10 01:48:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x68c3f4…
05-10 01:48:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf74572…
05-10 01:47:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6a4e6d…
05-10 01:47:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfa1f08…
05-10 01:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x1fb42b…
05-10 01:46:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x4f730a…
05-10 01:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d22fa…
05-10 01:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xdf21d6…
05-10 01:45:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaf405d…
05-10 01:44:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf327da…
05-10 01:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb74f51…
05-10 01:43:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xfdb1b0…
05-10 01:43:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x35c1f6…
05-10 01:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xc954a6…
05-10 01:42:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x655e9f…