Talkative-Note — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

483

Trades

1,408

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 09-14 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% -$34

Other

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 57% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 02:00 UTC	4	$468	321	321	+0	Up	+$55	09-14 02:12
ethereum up or down august 8 2026 11pm et	6	$394	235	235	+0	Down	+$20	08-09 04:03
bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 4am et	11	$312	333	288	+45	Up	+$15	08-14 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:50 UTC	4	$244	276	276	+0	Up	-$39	08-16 08:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:00 UTC	2	$214	247	247	+0	Down	+$43	08-17 03:01
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 11pm et	2	$197	117	117	+0	Down	-$2	08-09 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:55 UTC	2	$188	126	126	+0	Down	-$5	08-17 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$181	134	134	+0	Down	-$7	09-14 08:12
bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 6am et	4	$177	150	150	+0	Up	+$8	08-14 10:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 08:15 UTC	4	$168	104	104	+0	Down	+$12	08-14 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 08:20 UTC	4	$159	103	103	+0	Down	-$6	08-14 08:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 15:55 UTC	2	$155	100	100	+0	Up	+$19	08-16 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	4	$151	176	176	+0	Up	+$17	08-16 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:20 UTC	4	$149	89	89	+0	Up	+$1	09-14 08:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:45 UTC	2	$146	114	114	+0	Up	+$18	08-16 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	4	$145	92	92	+0	Down	+$11	09-14 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:45 UTC	2	$142	84	84	+0	Up	+$0	08-16 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$142	130	130	+0	Up	-$58	09-14 08:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:45 UTC	2	$141	72	72	+0	Up	+$1	08-16 09:48
solana up or down august 14 2026 8am et	3	$140	97	49	+48	Down	+$2	08-14 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$129	68	68	+0	Up	+$3	09-14 07:12
bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 10pm et	2	$128	67	67	+0	Up	+$2	08-16 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$127	102	102	+0	Down	-$29	09-14 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$123	66	66	+0	Down	+$5	09-14 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:40 UTC	2	$112	90	90	+0	Down	+$33	08-16 09:42
ethereum up or down august 16 2026 11pm et	1	$108	141	0	+141	Down	-$108	08-17 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$106	74	74	+0	Down	+$14	09-14 02:36
bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 11pm et	2	$103	86	86	+0	Down	+$8	08-15 03:20
ethereum up or down august 14 2026 10pm et	2	$97	66	66	+0	Up	+$3	08-15 02:46
ethereum up or down august 16 2026 11am et	1	$95	96	0	+96	Up	+$1	08-16 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 08:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x4f6363…
09-14 08:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2209ad…
09-14 08:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xcb28f1…
09-14 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x571ca2…
09-14 08:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x71302f…
09-14 08:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf27824…
09-14 08:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xe2a2c6…
09-14 08:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xdb8b4e…
09-14 08:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x9c93f5…
09-14 08:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x015f0c…
09-14 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0xf181f7…
09-14 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x6363f7…
09-14 08:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	77¢	$36	0x15d399…
09-14 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xcaf6f8…
09-14 08:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xd63028…
09-14 08:21:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0xe59332…
09-14 08:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	48	73¢	$35	0x9f576f…
09-14 08:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x731bc2…
09-14 08:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x94b024…
09-14 08:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0xa70eff…
09-14 08:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0x1787ab…
09-14 08:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0xaafb57…
09-14 08:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x8f0af2…
09-14 08:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xd2d7e1…
09-14 08:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x901719…
09-14 08:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	83¢	$27	0x724ae5…
09-14 08:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	54	63¢	$34	0x0261d5…
09-14 08:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x4414d9…
09-14 08:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x95dbed…
09-14 08:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x172152…
09-14 08:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	130	32¢	$42	0x83cd95…
09-14 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xec0c3c…
09-14 07:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	81	81¢	$66	0x0fa62e…
09-14 07:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0xc55687…
09-14 07:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	68	92¢	$63	0x890fae…
09-14 03:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x7495f3…
09-14 03:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0xc56e86…
09-14 02:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	74	80¢	$60	0x17ce0a…
09-14 02:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	74	62¢	$46	0x9253bc…
09-14 02:12:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x3856e8…
09-14 02:09:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	123	85¢	$105	0xb43362…
09-14 02:08:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	198	71¢	$140	0xb3901f…
09-14 02:07:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	198	51¢	$102	0xaac92c…
08-30 16:45:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8df0fe…
08-30 16:15:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x884679…
08-30 16:15:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x7fcd53…
08-30 16:05:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc77f53…
08-30 12:10:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2b928c…
08-30 12:05:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4c3e40…
08-30 12:05:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x875b90…
08-30 09:30:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xd082d6…
08-30 09:30:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd510f5…
08-30 06:45:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xaf7327…
08-30 06:35:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb908fb…
08-30 04:50:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x695d43…
08-30 00:30:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa76f6d…
08-30 00:20:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe8f428…
08-30 00:20:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x91dffe…
08-29 23:05:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc5504b…
08-29 21:50:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x6ef8b2…
08-29 14:50:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x2d5fe2…
08-29 14:50:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x797c59…
08-29 14:45:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe6deb5…
08-29 14:45:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0x9955ac…
08-29 14:45:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x1a1d74…
08-29 14:45:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xf5f883…
08-29 14:40:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0xe28154…
08-29 14:13:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x562cf8…
08-29 13:20:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x721975…
08-29 12:58:27	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa242cb…
08-29 06:15:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x59f388…
08-29 06:15:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x95cc89…
08-29 05:40:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xb65b93…
08-29 05:40:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7a1ede…
08-29 05:38:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	741	1¢	$7	0x34a8f8…
08-29 05:14:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	253	3¢	$8	0x8c251e…
08-29 05:08:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x63cbd2…
08-29 05:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x63ba55…
08-29 05:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x5cf32b…
08-29 04:56:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb32ddb…
08-29 04:55:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x4051ef…
08-29 03:55:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xb93a2a…
08-29 00:05:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xdccabc…
08-28 22:30:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x577849…
08-28 20:35:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xf55054…
08-28 18:50:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xd02062…
08-28 18:42:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x055c8e…
08-28 16:25:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x335b34…
08-28 16:15:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x64f597…
08-28 16:01:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x8f74f6…
08-28 14:15:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xb33d68…
08-28 14:15:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x0f8f2f…
08-28 14:15:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x74236b…
08-28 14:05:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x353915…
08-28 14:05:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xd41609…
08-28 13:55:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xcd5090…
08-28 11:00:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xfa8da3…
08-28 11:00:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x11e894…
08-28 10:05:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x04025a…
08-28 10:05:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x600217…