Firsthand-Nutmeg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

1,075

Trades

5,054

lifetime

Volume

$50.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-13 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$1,022

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:00 UTC	28	$608	501	501	+0	Down	+$175	06-22 13:04
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8pm et	8	$449	330	325	+5	Down	+$104	04-08 00:48
bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	8	$380	401	301	+100	Up	+$93	06-26 15:21
xrp up or down july 2 2026 10am et	8	$275	198	198	+0	Down	+$65	07-02 14:27
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8am et	18	$264	277	275	+2	Up	+$119	03-25 13:00
bitcoin up or down march 11 2pm et	6	$257	172	169	+2	Down	+$84	03-11 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET	18	$252	310	240	+70	Down	+$64	06-14 10:49
xrp up or down june 29 2026 9am et	10	$249	201	201	+0	Down	+$96	06-29 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET	14	$245	178	178	+0	Down	+$61	06-15 00:41
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 10pm et	4	$241	232	168	+64	Down	+$49	03-17 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	10	$238	229	179	+50	Up	+$63	05-12 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 15:45 UTC	8	$230	238	142	+96	Up	+$12	04-11 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	11	$224	174	174	+0	Up	+$73	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	12	$210	153	153	+0	Up	+$47	06-01 16:43
bitcoin up or down april 5 12pm et	5	$209	178	175	+3	Down	+$29	04-05 16:49
xrp up or down march 31 2026 10am et	10	$202	166	160	+6	Down	+$36	03-31 16:02
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET	7	$195	168	136	+32	Up	+$29	06-15 17:56
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	14	$189	250	160	+90	Up	+$55	06-05 07:34
xrp up or down april 15 2026 11am et	32	$186	142	141	+1	Down	+$63	04-15 15:58
solana up or down june 7 2026 2pm et	6	$182	132	132	+0	Down	+$63	06-07 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	2	$179	117	117	+0	Up	+$55	05-22 11:01
xrp up or down june 15 2026 9am et	16	$177	187	90	+97	Up	-$3	06-15 14:00
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 10am et	8	$169	149	148	+1	Down	+$79	03-21 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	2	$168	110	110	+0	Up	+$50	05-22 11:02
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10am et	10	$167	117	115	+2	Down	+$45	03-23 14:52
bitcoin up or down march 12 8am et	7	$166	115	113	+2	Down	+$46	03-12 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:45 UTC	13	$166	201	116	+85	Up	+$14	06-22 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	19	$165	121	121	+0	Down	+$39	05-07 08:41
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	1	$163	301	0	+301	Down	+$138	06-09 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	12	$159	144	129	+15	Up	+$34	05-13 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 07:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x10a3d1…
08-21 09:09:30	bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7c8d75…
08-21 09:04:58	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	62	9¢	$6	0x7714d9…
08-20 16:28:24	xrp up or down august 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xefc3b2…
08-20 16:19:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	18¢	$11	0xccd0e4…
08-20 15:09:43	xrp up or down august 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6417d1…
08-20 15:09:22	xrp up or down august 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x536c58…
08-20 15:09:18	xrp up or down august 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x19a8a8…
08-20 15:06:48	xrp up or down august 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xce5cb3…
08-20 15:06:48	xrp up or down august 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x4014e3…
08-19 16:58:46	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x108111…
08-19 16:58:30	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x4fd932…
08-19 16:26:54	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x7d1179…
08-19 16:24:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x72cd06…
07-29 08:55:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb2aa26…
07-29 08:54:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	21¢	$9	0xc0a242…
07-29 08:52:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	33¢	$20	0x78487a…
07-29 08:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xc9d887…
07-29 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd2775f…
07-29 08:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0xf7f4f8…
07-29 08:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0xe9643c…
07-29 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x6b9551…
07-27 16:25:13	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xdad29f…
07-27 16:25:13	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x606679…
07-27 16:25:13	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x3c718f…
07-27 16:05:13	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x7e20dc…
07-27 16:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa91ebc…
07-27 15:44:45	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0xfd213d…
07-27 15:44:45	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xb4b229…
07-27 15:44:43	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x8d3dd3…
07-27 15:18:45	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x72bc1a…
07-27 15:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf536ec…
07-27 15:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xe2a3f9…
07-27 15:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xe19cfb…
07-27 15:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x767f69…
07-27 15:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x6b81a6…
07-27 15:13:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0xbc2452…
07-27 15:13:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xa67100…
07-27 15:10:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0xf21c09…
07-27 14:57:46	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x02bae5…
07-27 06:51:16	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	62	22¢	$14	0x4e1d13…
07-26 16:51:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xdd36f7…
07-26 16:51:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x85a67e…
07-26 16:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd44503…
07-26 16:50:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xb6c190…
07-26 16:50:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x664c47…
07-26 16:50:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x087910…
07-26 16:48:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xe8eec6…
07-26 16:48:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x4140c8…
07-21 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x0c6750…
07-21 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x090dbc…
07-21 08:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x6fd26d…
07-21 08:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xf75149…
07-21 08:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x9f7b9d…
07-21 08:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x11a035…
07-21 08:10:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x9b7714…
07-21 08:10:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x4940d9…
07-21 08:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x19e48f…
07-21 08:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	47	77¢	$36	0x8fd548…
07-21 08:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x7c4000…
07-21 08:04:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	82	32¢	$26	0x3ed019…
07-21 08:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x82782c…
07-21 08:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x7447e5…
07-21 08:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x0203b5…
07-21 08:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	34¢	$19	0x96951d…
07-21 08:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe6a5cd…
07-21 07:54:25	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc8b09f…
07-21 07:54:13	bitcoin up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	78	17¢	$13	0x6773fe…
07-21 07:54:06	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x846207…
07-21 07:53:33	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x646490…
07-21 07:53:09	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x30ed61…
07-21 07:53:07	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc8306e…
07-21 07:53:03	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc8a027…
07-21 07:03:46	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xe404bb…
07-21 07:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb9624c…
07-21 07:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x5cf27f…
07-21 07:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x397df2…
07-21 07:03:43	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	61	53¢	$33	0x27be35…
07-21 06:22:58	xrp up or down july 21 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	42	25¢	$11	0x5b7b5b…
07-21 06:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xd0a4d8…
07-21 06:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	48	93¢	$44	0x519b56…
07-21 06:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x122da6…
07-21 06:08:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$13	0x0cc7e0…
07-21 06:07:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa29c71…
07-21 06:07:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x52e2eb…
07-21 06:07:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xae59f8…
07-21 06:07:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x5affbf…
07-21 06:07:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x0a7ae6…
07-21 06:02:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	28¢	$12	0x996b58…
07-21 06:01:40	xrp up or down july 21 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	78	53¢	$41	0xe65f34…
07-21 06:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	46¢	$31	0xbdb872…
07-21 05:58:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf8ce0b…
07-20 16:20:39	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	62	28¢	$17	0x17d565…
07-20 16:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x3033a8…
07-20 16:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x1933d1…
07-20 16:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0x49b284…
07-20 16:00:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	45¢	$28	0x9a1383…
07-20 15:51:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x1fd705…
07-20 15:47:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xcc9337…
07-20 15:47:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x7935a3…