Excitable-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

649

Trades

4,100

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-14 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$135

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 338 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1774443600	16	$65	79	+79	open	—	03-25 13:04
eth updown 5m 1774442400	13	$50	84	+84	open	—	03-25 12:44
eth updown 5m 1774446900	12	$44	63	+63	open	—	03-25 13:59
eth updown 5m 1774444800	12	$44	59	+59	open	—	03-25 13:24
btc updown 5m 1774038000	11	$40	57	+57	open	—	03-20 20:24
eth updown 5m 1774446300	10	$40	52	+52	open	—	03-25 13:49
eth updown 5m 1774042200	8	$39	106	+106	open	—	03-20 21:34
eth updown 5m 1774002000	9	$38	45	+45	open	—	03-20 10:24
eth updown 5m 1774501800	9	$35	44	+44	open	—	03-26 05:14
eth updown 5m 1774242300	10	$35	51	+51	open	—	03-23 05:09
sol updown 5m 1774041600	8	$33	43	+43	open	—	03-20 21:24
eth updown 5m 1774036500	7	$32	50	+50	open	—	03-20 19:59
eth updown 5m 1774438200	8	$32	40	+40	open	—	03-25 11:33
eth updown 5m 1774441800	8	$32	98	+98	open	—	03-25 12:34
eth updown 5m 1774415400	8	$31	41	+41	open	—	03-25 05:14
eth updown 5m 1774224900	8	$31	41	+41	open	—	03-23 00:19
eth updown 5m 1774336800	7	$31	35	+35	open	—	03-24 07:24
eth updown 5m 1774259100	8	$31	41	+41	open	—	03-23 09:49
eth updown 5m 1774365000	9	$31	46	+46	open	—	03-24 15:14
eth updown 5m 1774384800	7	$31	35	+35	open	—	03-24 20:44
eth updown 5m 1774226700	8	$30	40	+40	open	—	03-23 00:49
eth updown 5m 1774044300	7	$29	35	+35	open	—	03-20 22:09
btc updown 5m 1774244400	7	$29	41	+41	open	—	03-23 05:44
sol updown 5m 1774038000	7	$29	35	+35	open	—	03-20 20:24
btc updown 5m 1774224900	7	$28	36	+36	open	—	03-23 00:19
eth updown 5m 1774360800	7	$28	37	+37	open	—	03-24 14:04
btc updown 5m 1774401600	7	$28	35	+35	open	—	03-25 01:24
eth updown 5m 1774442100	7	$28	45	+45	open	—	03-25 12:39
eth updown 5m 1774441500	7	$27	95	+95	open	—	03-25 12:29
btc updown 5m 1774074900	8	$27	44	+44	open	—	03-21 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf146c8…
05-14 11:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x97fa82…
05-14 11:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x9ae082…
05-14 11:49:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1582f5…
05-14 11:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x040cd1…
05-14 11:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x91c697…
05-14 11:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x790fc8…
05-14 10:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x221aef…
05-14 09:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x31ec25…
05-14 09:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x08dabd…
05-14 09:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0xfe6dc0…
05-14 08:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf5c399…
05-14 07:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x0c1706…
05-14 07:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf179eb…
05-14 07:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xce80e2…
05-14 07:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1886a1…
05-14 07:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x02bda5…
05-14 06:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xf0783c…
05-14 06:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa92297…
05-14 06:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x85542f…
05-14 06:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb411c2…
05-14 06:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1549c5…
05-14 05:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x89fcdd…
05-14 05:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xeef34c…
05-14 05:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2e5d1b…
05-14 05:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2f1da8…
05-14 05:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0xca2a71…
05-14 04:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd1076d…
05-14 04:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdd0d19…
05-14 04:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdf95dc…
05-14 04:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xa0d1e7…
05-14 04:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x037be1…
05-14 03:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf9eede…
05-14 03:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb82e49…
05-14 02:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xc97c07…
05-14 02:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x84859f…
05-14 02:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x230c38…
05-14 02:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbb2da5…
05-14 01:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x1848bc…
05-14 01:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd560fe…
05-14 01:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x16f5f5…
05-14 01:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x2ded34…
05-14 01:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x703237…
05-14 01:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0a71af…
05-14 00:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x742b4f…
05-14 00:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0x40399b…
05-14 00:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x230d10…
05-14 00:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x0b8f52…
05-14 00:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc64e53…
05-13 23:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3612e7…
05-13 23:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x888dec…
05-13 23:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5ee68d…
05-13 23:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x10f0ed…
05-13 22:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x7d596d…
05-13 22:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xde687b…
05-13 22:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x260b37…
05-13 22:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x06ac98…
05-13 22:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc39535…
05-13 22:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x42a8cc…
05-13 21:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xfec421…
05-13 21:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x74c371…
05-13 21:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x189f2f…
05-13 21:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbbcdbf…
05-13 20:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x663ddb…
05-13 20:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x7dbe05…
05-13 20:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb5b4fe…
05-13 20:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5fe3f0…
05-13 20:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x6f9483…
05-13 19:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x4d33f4…
05-13 19:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa27761…
05-13 19:09:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2fd51b…
05-13 18:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0xd3cb38…
05-13 18:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2cc438…
05-13 18:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x556aed…
05-13 18:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc1dbf4…
05-13 18:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf4edc7…
05-13 18:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xd5ec9a…
05-13 18:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0xd95585…
05-13 17:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x196f7e…
05-13 17:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xba24f5…
05-13 17:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x330756…
05-13 16:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5b2456…
05-13 16:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc6828f…
05-13 16:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x0c0f79…
05-13 16:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb4293b…
05-13 15:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9a0818…
05-13 15:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa6cb8c…
05-13 14:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x143c85…
05-13 14:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdaa854…
05-13 14:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x0cc784…
05-13 13:54:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3f9660…
05-13 13:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xeeece3…
05-13 13:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x895428…
05-13 13:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x95b4a5…
05-13 13:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68a9a8…
05-13 12:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x5489d5…
05-13 12:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc48e77…
05-13 12:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc81d31…
05-13 11:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9858f9…
05-13 11:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x03ab52…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	889	$67.5K	14,329	05-13 22:39
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	886	$15.5K	2,168	04-09 19:00
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	878	$228.8K	21,546	05-13 22:38
Forked-Felony 0xfafd…9b3e	863	$564	4,754	04-09 19:00
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	770	$1.65K	4,375	04-09 19:00
Competent-Engineering 0xb313…1ce7	744	$6.00K	1,823	04-09 18:55
(anonymous) 0x70be…d900	739	$176.1K	16,260	04-05 16:23
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	718	$1.27K	4,628	05-13 22:40