Formal-Lacquerware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$5.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-07 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

45% — —

Other

36% 100% +$1

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$185	102	102	+0	open	—	02-28 10:15
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$178	92	92	+0	open	—	02-28 06:23
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$136	125	125	+0	open	—	02-28 06:23
bitcoin up or down on february 27	2	$124	90	90	+0	open	—	02-27 10:20
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
gc up or down on march 2 2026	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
cl up or down on march 2 2026	3	$101	51	51	-0	open	—	03-02 10:38
bitcoin up or down february 26 11pm et	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	02-27 04:38
bitcoin above 70k on february 26	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	02-26 13:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	02-13 18:52
bitcoin above 66k on february 26	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-26 13:12
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	5	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-14 18:28
will france join the board of peace	3	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$96	53	53	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
bitcoin up or down on february 26	3	$95	99	0	+99	open	—	02-26 15:33
bitcoin above 64k on february 28	2	$95	65	65	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
pltr up or down on february 26 2026	2	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 20:15
bitcoin up or down on february 28	4	$95	53	53	+0	open	—	02-28 14:07
will russia join the board of peace	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
bitcoin above 62k on february 28	2	$91	53	53	+0	open	—	02-28 07:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	2	$86	57	57	+0	open	—	03-01 09:39
ethereum up or down february 27 1am et	1	$84	102	0	+102	open	—	02-27 06:38
eth updown 4h 1772168400	1	$83	86	0	+86	open	—	02-27 08:49
bitcoin above 70k on february 27	1	$82	86	0	+86	open	—	02-26 23:06
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	2	$80	57	57	+0	open	—	02-27 11:40
pltr above 132 on february 27 2026	2	$80	53	53	+0	open	—	02-27 01:06
ethereum above 2100 on february 27	1	$73	75	0	+75	open	—	02-27 10:20
odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	2	$67	52	52	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
spx up or down on february 26 2026	1	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	02-26 15:43
btc updown 4h 1772182800	1	$66	68	0	+68	open	—	02-27 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 22:31:01	will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfc1bad…
06-06 22:37:49	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08ec81…
06-06 22:36:43	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x271473…
06-06 22:35:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97cfd3…
06-05 22:33:21	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 6	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7aa3cd…
06-05 22:32:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3b72f6…
06-05 22:30:55	will openai file for an ipo by june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x249468…
06-01 22:45:27	Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f183f…
06-01 22:44:20	Will Stephen Clemons advance from the CA-48 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x623beb…
06-01 22:43:14	Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc4605…
06-01 22:42:11	Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54ac2a…
06-01 22:39:58	Will Daniel Garibay Rodriguez advance from the CA-13 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa82470…
06-01 22:36:40	Will Mark Leonard advance from the CA-45 primary election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xabb5ba…
06-01 22:35:30	Will Nina Linh advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8ab0a2…
06-01 22:34:24	Will Vin Kruttiventi advance from the CA-13 primary election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x58e7cf…
06-01 22:33:17	Will Brandon Riker advance from the CA-48 primary election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30ef04…
06-01 22:32:12	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a135c…
06-01 22:31:08	Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe82fb2…
05-26 22:34:56	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.6B?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2896a…
05-26 22:33:53	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe9d3f8…
05-26 22:32:49	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7bac24…
05-25 22:33:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2f508…
05-25 22:32:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d3aed…
05-25 22:31:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8df8b3…
05-24 22:37:45	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54ebef…
05-24 22:35:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x65622f…
05-24 22:33:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c5ae5…
05-23 23:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb065b…
05-23 22:32:55	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa27a81…
05-23 22:31:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29e293…
05-22 23:36:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d2720…
05-12 22:35:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd492fc…
05-12 22:33:05	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbed49e…
05-12 22:32:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x837d52…
05-08 23:25:05	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x693bee…
05-08 22:32:38	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x533c88…
05-05 22:31:22	DoorDash total orders above 980M in Q1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x63009f…
05-05 22:30:20	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca290c…
05-04 22:33:32	Will JD Vance's remarks not air?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5e98a…
05-04 22:32:30	Will JD Vance say "Iowa" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb95c03…
04-30 22:31:14	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xddfad4…
04-30 22:30:10	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2034c…
04-27 23:17:16	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa29a4c…
04-26 22:37:06	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfc3eb5…
04-26 22:30:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8485ef…
04-25 22:43:14	Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcd8324…
04-25 22:37:06	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf41607…
04-25 22:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x17af4e…
04-24 22:37:04	Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x80dac2…
04-24 22:30:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd1dd98…
04-23 22:48:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,050 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xada247…
04-23 22:42:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09609a…
04-23 22:36:26	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba467a…
04-23 22:30:20	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x38a659…
04-22 22:36:30	bitcoin above 76k on april 23	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x33eea4…
04-22 22:30:26	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9e0d95…
04-21 22:42:52	will yesways market cap be between 800m and 900m at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfdbcb4…
04-21 22:36:46	gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbad3e8…
04-21 22:30:44	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x184d43…
04-20 22:36:30	will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbefdcd…
04-20 22:30:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaab434…
04-19 22:31:02	will man i need olivia dean be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dc97e…
04-18 22:55:38	will there is such a people itn win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b2835…
04-18 22:49:30	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 80 84 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x05b246…
04-18 22:43:22	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 5 10	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x37e714…
04-18 22:37:16	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc4828d…
04-18 22:31:08	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb4ec9d…
04-17 22:36:22	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4cb6e5…
04-17 22:30:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xce7c21…
04-16 22:34:02	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 14 be less than 70	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fd519…
04-16 22:32:56	will ng dip to 2 40 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x951647…
04-16 22:31:54	will xagusd dip to 69 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06214c…
04-16 22:30:48	will meta dip to 620 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdd65d2…
04-15 22:30:38	will jadoodoo win the legend trade series	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x57ace8…
04-14 22:33:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd0097…
04-14 22:32:24	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x277552…
04-14 22:31:22	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x40398e…
04-14 22:30:18	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59c69f…
04-13 22:34:29	bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9909e0…
04-13 22:33:27	will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7b146…
04-13 22:32:25	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44b1c6…
04-13 22:31:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeea9c1…
04-13 22:30:19	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe1de79…
04-12 22:31:23	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0591c1…
04-12 22:30:23	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc294ee…
04-11 22:43:57	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc98d64…
04-11 22:42:55	will voter turnout be 6871 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x415aae…
04-11 22:41:53	Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2a594…
04-11 22:40:49	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb1afab…
04-11 22:39:45	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5c5b2f…
04-11 22:38:43	Will Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbfb462…
04-11 22:37:39	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xea867c…
04-10 22:35:27	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb402d7…
04-10 22:32:19	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1fb8d1…
04-10 22:31:17	trump approval up or down this week 119	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7cb862…
04-10 22:30:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on april 10	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ae3ce…
04-09 22:38:39	zelenskyy of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab19b9…
04-09 22:37:37	will wti dip to 85 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x358552…
04-09 22:36:33	pltr above 146 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffad6b…
04-09 22:35:31	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 180 199	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x50f5b5…