Formal-Lacquerware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-11 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$1

Crypto

37% — —

Politics

20% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$185	102	102	+0	open	—	02-28 10:15
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$178	92	92	+0	open	—	02-28 06:23
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$136	125	125	+0	open	—	02-28 06:23
bitcoin up or down on february 27	2	$124	90	90	+0	open	—	02-27 10:20
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
gc up or down on march 2 2026	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
cl up or down on march 2 2026	3	$101	51	51	-0	open	—	03-02 10:38
bitcoin up or down february 26 11pm et	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	02-27 04:38
bitcoin above 70k on february 26	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	02-26 13:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	02-13 18:52
bitcoin above 66k on february 26	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-26 13:12
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	5	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-14 18:28
will france join the board of peace	3	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$96	53	53	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
bitcoin up or down on february 26	3	$95	99	0	+99	open	—	02-26 15:33
bitcoin above 64k on february 28	2	$95	65	65	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
pltr up or down on february 26 2026	2	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 20:15
bitcoin up or down on february 28	4	$95	53	53	+0	open	—	02-28 14:07
will russia join the board of peace	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 10:38
bitcoin above 62k on february 28	2	$91	53	53	+0	open	—	02-28 07:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	2	$86	57	57	+0	open	—	03-01 09:39
ethereum up or down february 27 1am et	1	$84	102	0	+102	open	—	02-27 06:38
eth updown 4h 1772168400	1	$83	86	0	+86	open	—	02-27 08:49
bitcoin above 70k on february 27	1	$82	86	0	+86	open	—	02-26 23:06
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	2	$80	57	57	+0	open	—	02-27 11:40
pltr above 132 on february 27 2026	2	$80	53	53	+0	open	—	02-27 01:06
ethereum above 2100 on february 27	1	$73	75	0	+75	open	—	02-27 10:20
odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	2	$67	52	52	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
spx up or down on february 26 2026	1	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	02-26 15:43
btc updown 4h 1772182800	1	$66	68	0	+68	open	—	02-27 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:42:58	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a5beb…
08-10 23:17:27	will trump say hottest during tele rally 20260809153916671	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf660d…
08-10 22:36:52	will trump say funeral during tele rally 20260809153916662	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa8238f…
08-10 22:23:39	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 10 2026 20260724221849641	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf4d411…
08-10 21:30:40	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa5952f…
08-10 21:27:54	will hims say glp 1 during earnings call 20260807205625281	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xac3658…
08-10 21:26:55	will hims say wearable during earnings call 20260807205625285	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x12d079…
08-10 20:30:04	acm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 10 2026 1pt46	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x33ce2e…
08-10 20:18:40	will nate powell advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738457	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcf3bfe…
08-10 20:13:37	will hims say longevity during earnings call 20260807205625284	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd33b70…
08-10 20:02:46	will hims say eucalyptus during earnings call 20260807205625283	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x48b289…
08-10 19:02:33	will trump say save america act during tele rally 20260809153916668	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x11781c…
08-10 18:47:19	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505807	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a152c…
08-10 18:29:42	wti closes above 81 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf91974…
08-10 01:17:00	will anyone say secret during president curtis e3 s1 20260804193637088	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0f9d19…
08-10 00:58:31	will anyone say power during house of the dragon e8 s3 20260804222705738	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x818b38…
08-09 22:01:46	will anyone say queen 10 times during house of the dragon e8 s3 20260804222705730	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xa59eb5…
08-09 22:01:12	will anyone say queen 10 times during house of the dragon e8 s3 20260804222705730	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x49de1c…
08-09 21:32:28	will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8434ee…
08-09 20:17:24	will anyone say prayer during house of the dragon e8 s3 20260804222705732	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd577a7…
08-09 19:57:22	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x662239…
08-09 19:25:40	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa518c7…
08-09 18:50:37	will anyone say grace 10 times during house of the dragon e8 s3 20260804222705729	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1693d4…
08-09 18:46:01	will mysaria die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401074	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe452d…
08-09 18:38:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd8e5c1…
08-09 18:21:40	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6a0cc9…
08-09 14:08:33	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb062f7…
08-09 11:33:10	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x229b05…
08-09 10:27:43	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505809	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x98b040…
08-09 07:56:21	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	No	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xb27439…
08-09 06:03:30	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc913e2…
08-09 03:13:37	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x63d374…
08-09 03:08:10	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x387ce7…
08-09 00:23:54	will luan santana attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000739430	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x91cce0…
08-09 00:00:52	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa3ebda…
08-08 21:19:12	mlb laa mia 2026 08 08 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x851b83…
08-08 21:00:52	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6c011c…
08-08 20:31:03	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4e06e3…
08-08 19:06:12	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x149447…
08-08 19:04:51	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5b8671…
08-08 19:02:54	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe644e6…
08-08 18:58:31	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x093c2f…
08-08 18:58:27	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d6d00…
08-08 18:28:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 8 2026 20260724221849639	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd2e8a7…
08-08 18:14:54	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x053a84…
08-08 18:08:34	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3ff091…
08-08 03:03:21	will anyone say diary during big brother e16 20260803205941009	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x293048…
08-08 00:41:10	will anyone say instagram or tiktok during big brother e16 20260803205941005	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x787187…
08-07 20:07:30	lol th fnc 2026 08 07	Fnatic	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xc5ec58…
08-07 19:20:51	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7441b4…
08-07 19:13:01	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xffb6d6…
08-07 19:01:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xffd2c5…
08-07 18:49:22	will trump say six seven during friday roundtable 20260805211427286	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3a4b63…
08-07 18:44:57	will trump say gold or silver during friday roundtable 20260805211427288	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc85b38…
08-07 18:27:10	lol bgt su 2026 08 06 game handicap home 1pt5	BoostGate Esports	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4475d5…
08-07 18:15:34	cs2 wal2 rustec 2026 08 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Black Phoenix	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba984c…
08-07 18:02:21	will trump say cobalt during friday roundtable 20260805211427289	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xab4b47…
08-07 00:21:26	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb4da8e…
08-06 23:57:17	will drew campbell be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611336	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x050527…
08-06 22:53:23	will trump say medal 7 times during team usa reception 20260806140037177	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x364fe6…
08-06 21:26:12	will trumps remarks not air 20260806153758786	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa8f24b…
08-06 21:09:05	mlb tor chc 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae7705…
08-06 21:03:47	will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x538708…
08-06 21:00:12	will trump say transgender during team usa reception 20260806140037187	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc46e6b…
08-06 20:56:26	will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe96ce7…
08-06 19:20:41	real quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfb9530…
08-06 18:28:35	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt74	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5f492e…
08-06 18:10:59	will trump say barack hussein obama during team usa reception 20260806140037188	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x77145e…
08-06 18:08:39	will lyric medeiros be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611341	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcf6d22…
08-06 18:06:15	will airbnb say world cup during earnings call 20260803163357338	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x67619b…
08-06 18:05:44	will airbnb say holiday during earnings call 20260803163357343	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2160b7…
08-06 03:38:36	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 5 20260730202035441	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x5f0ff6…
08-05 22:25:21	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6c21ef…
08-05 22:17:32	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x39bec7…
08-05 21:50:51	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5fa0a4…
08-05 21:34:35	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x22404c…
08-05 20:15:03	snex quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt1	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8cc3bd…
08-05 20:08:44	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4d51c0…
08-05 20:06:03	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd82a96…
08-05 20:05:03	app quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt76	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8446b1…
08-05 19:43:23	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb9a609…
08-05 18:59:41	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa86287…
08-05 18:55:20	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xeb4f9d…
08-05 18:43:30	expe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 5pt28	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x625384…
08-05 18:25:45	will trump say stock market during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421457	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x637ad0…
08-05 18:24:21	ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt59	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x629882…
08-05 18:10:17	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x984b03…
08-04 23:00:48	will amd say gpu 10 times during earnings call 20260730164425701	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc7d907…
08-04 22:49:32	will hunter gordon advance to the general election for wa 01 20260708174810984	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd6680c…
08-04 21:31:24	will amd say supply chain during earnings call 20260730164425710	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcf3752…
08-04 20:42:56	will spacex say data center during earnings call 20260730164309240	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x565354…
08-04 20:08:15	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt61	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0b1d7…
08-04 19:46:24	will spacex say mars during earnings call 20260730164309239	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1b66b1…
08-04 19:24:29	open quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt07	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x422b6b…
08-04 18:52:26	will spacex say mars during earnings call 20260730164309239	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcc744f…
08-04 18:42:38	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfae830…
08-04 18:34:11	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x82326b…
08-04 18:33:38	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xdca833…
08-04 18:30:09	will spacex say grok during earnings call 20260730164309235	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x128d27…
08-04 18:28:39	nwsa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt23	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe8c2aa…