Immaterial-Separation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$353

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

4,215

Trades

5,122

lifetime

Volume

$8.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-15 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 16% -$344

Other

1% 29% -$8

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	26	$89	72	71	+1	Down	+$1	02-10 19:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:15 UTC	20	$88	54	54	+0	Up	+$1	02-10 17:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	23	$87	66	66	+0	Up	+$2	02-10 20:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	18	$78	54	54	+0	Down	+$1	02-10 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:15 UTC	20	$68	54	54	+0	Up	+$1	02-10 19:26
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	30	$68	90	90	+0	Up	-$1	02-11 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:45 UTC	20	$66	54	53	+1	Down	-$1	02-10 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:30 UTC	16	$65	42	42	+0	Up	$0	02-10 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 11:00 UTC	15	$61	43	43	+0	Down	+$0	02-09 11:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:30 UTC	13	$60	37	37	+0	Down	+$0	02-09 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 10:30 UTC	12	$55	34	34	+0	Down	+$2	02-09 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:00 UTC	13	$52	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	02-08 18:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:15 UTC	10	$51	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	02-08 16:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:30 UTC	12	$51	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	02-08 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:45 UTC	10	$51	33	33	+0	Down	+$1	02-08 16:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 11:45 UTC	11	$50	36	36	+0	Up	+$0	02-09 11:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 17:15 UTC	11	$50	33	32	+1	Down	$0	02-08 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:00 UTC	11	$50	37	36	+2	Up	+$1	02-08 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:45 UTC	14	$50	42	42	+0	Up	-$3	02-11 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 21:00 UTC	13	$48	95	94	+1	Down	$0	02-07 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:00 UTC	10	$46	34	33	+0	Up	-$4	02-09 13:12
bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	13	$43	45	45	+0	Up	+$0	02-12 11:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:00 UTC	8	$41	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	02-08 16:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:30 UTC	8	$41	29	28	+0	Down	+$1	02-08 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 17:30 UTC	8	$41	26	25	+0	Up	+$1	02-08 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:00 UTC	15	$40	36	36	+0	Up	-$2	02-10 19:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:15 UTC	8	$40	26	26	+0	Up	$0	02-09 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:00 UTC	9	$39	27	26	+0	Up	-$1	02-08 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 21:15 UTC	9	$39	28	28	+0	Down	-$1	02-08 21:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	9	$39	28	27	+0	Up	-$2	02-09 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 12:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf54074…
10-15 09:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe13b4f…
10-15 06:54:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x943c1c…
10-14 15:59:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0c00ae…
10-14 14:44:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1d127f…
10-14 13:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9fb98c…
10-14 10:09:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa9945b…
10-14 08:49:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x382176…
10-14 01:14:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2f6d4d…
10-13 20:44:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf1b620…
10-13 16:59:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xef7805…
10-13 14:39:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x7c0bf4…
10-13 14:34:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe91da3…
10-13 13:49:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb96951…
10-13 12:34:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7f410f…
10-13 12:14:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x126d6c…
10-13 11:34:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1153e6…
10-13 10:39:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd06f6f…
10-13 09:09:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1bb5eb…
10-13 04:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc5e778…
10-13 02:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x153369…
10-13 02:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x38d3e8…
10-13 00:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd45943…
10-12 22:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbcdcd5…
10-12 15:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x54c9d3…
10-12 13:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf7e273…
10-12 13:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x903535…
10-12 09:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xfb95e7…
10-12 09:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x86805f…
10-12 07:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x02b97f…
10-12 02:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x08b464…
10-09 14:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3c4a7f…
10-09 12:24:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xdb14a5…
10-09 09:39:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa2bf03…
10-08 21:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf43ffc…
10-08 18:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x3048d9…
10-08 17:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x44fb8a…
10-08 16:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xdd79b8…
10-08 16:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb17554…
10-08 15:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x12ded1…
10-08 15:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xddfd85…
10-08 14:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x62cbea…
10-08 12:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x76e9b5…
10-08 12:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb1f36a…
10-08 12:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2c7e51…
10-08 06:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xf88637…
10-08 05:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x22c82a…
10-08 04:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xe0987b…
10-07 17:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xba9f3a…
10-07 14:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x81016e…
10-07 02:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x425042…
10-07 02:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe22c5d…
10-07 02:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x11ba6c…
10-05 16:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x773444…
10-05 15:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb890f1…
10-05 15:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x392aa0…
10-05 14:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xaaf9d6…
10-05 14:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb0afea…
10-05 08:59:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5572ce…
10-05 05:34:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1dc67e…
10-05 00:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3d2675…
10-04 03:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x610919…
10-02 19:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x59a82b…
10-02 18:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xdd84e4…
10-02 18:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x91c5af…
10-02 16:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1f80cf…
10-02 15:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xac4018…
10-02 15:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd155c9…
10-02 14:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xeb0a77…
10-02 13:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xaa8584…
10-02 13:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb8c8d3…
10-02 12:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe3b106…
10-02 12:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf42133…
10-02 07:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x568cd7…
10-02 07:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xee8990…
10-02 06:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6111f0…
10-02 05:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x1ee345…
10-02 05:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcdd5c4…
10-02 03:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xab11b0…
10-02 01:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xaa39cd…
10-01 22:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x9f89a5…
10-01 21:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xaea682…
10-01 20:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x672f36…
10-01 17:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2b6e98…
10-01 16:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x577765…
10-01 16:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc21be3…
10-01 15:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4f140b…
10-01 14:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbf879c…
10-01 13:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1206cf…
10-01 12:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xf7ca51…
10-01 12:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8d3163…
10-01 10:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x337888…
10-01 10:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x33c0e9…
10-01 05:24:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe6ae13…
09-30 19:59:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0fa2d7…
09-30 17:44:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x973a0a…
09-30 15:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd3083d…
09-30 14:59:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xdeac4a…
09-30 14:14:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe43974…
09-30 14:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x3babdd…