Reflecting-Incompetence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-08 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

80% 17% $-14,231

Crypto

19% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	3	$9.6K	18,649	0	+18,649	Over	$-9,604	05-08 02:39
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	1	$3.8K	7,738	0	+7,738	Under	$-3,791	05-07 16:42
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	4	$2.0K	4,449	0	+4,449	Atlanta Braves	+$2,486	05-06 03:35
btc updown 5m 1774428000	2	$927	2,807	0	+2,807	open	—	03-25 08:44
btc updown 5m 1774440300	12	$791	1,661	0	+1,661	open	—	03-25 12:04
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	1	$774	1,519	0	+1,519	Under	$-774	05-05 04:22
nba okc phi 2026 03 23 spread away 15pt5	2	$740	1,493	0	+1,493	open	—	03-23 18:27
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	4	$704	1,000	400	+600	Under	$-304	05-06 18:08
btc updown 5m 1774423800	49	$622	1,362	0	+1,362	open	—	03-25 07:30
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$616	1,400	0	+1,400	Timberwolves	$-616	05-05 03:50
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	3	$614	2,363	0	+2,363	Over	$-614	05-08 02:47
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Under	$-500	05-05 10:38
nba sac cha 2026 03 24 spread home 17pt5	2	$500	969	0	+969	open	—	03-24 17:52
btc updown 5m 1774419600	6	$422	827	0	+827	open	—	03-25 06:19
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	1	$410	746	0	+746	open	—	03-22 13:56
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	4	$358	809	0	+809	Timberwolves	$-349	05-05 02:34
btc updown 5m 1774468500	17	$345	923	0	+923	open	—	03-25 20:00
btc updown 5m 1774467900	2	$345	684	0	+684	open	—	03-25 19:40
btc updown 5m 1774420500	12	$304	621	0	+621	open	—	03-25 06:34
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	2	$294	600	0	+600	Over	$-294	05-06 18:09
btc updown 5m 1774420800	4	$288	600	0	+600	open	—	03-25 06:40
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	1	$264	600	0	+600	Under	+$336	05-05 10:18
btc updown 5m 1774467000	5	$254	532	0	+532	open	—	03-25 19:31
btc updown 5m 1774439100	4	$220	588	0	+588	open	—	03-25 11:48
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$206	686	0	+686	Knicks	$-206	05-04 13:59
btc updown 5m 1774421100	1	$159	338	0	+338	open	—	03-25 06:45
btc updown 5m 1774421700	16	$116	303	0	+303	open	—	03-25 06:56
btc updown 5m 1774464600	11	$59	367	0	+367	open	—	03-25 18:53
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game1	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	03-22 13:39
btc updown 15m 1774425600	2	$18	1,362	0	+1,362	open	—	03-25 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:47:47	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Under	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x848882…
05-08 02:47:42	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Under	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xc06feb…
05-08 02:45:17	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Under	BUY	2,050	26¢	$533	0xe92368…
05-08 02:39:49	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	1,998	39¢	$779	0x189e1e…
05-08 01:42:31	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	4,165	53¢	$2,208	0x90bab2…
05-08 01:35:20	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	12,486	53¢	$6,618	0xe1c724…
05-07 16:42:17	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	7,738	49¢	$3,791	0xdaa5a9…
05-06 18:09:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x64b9f4…
05-06 18:08:31	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xf41303…
05-06 07:28:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xa83358…
05-06 07:28:36	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xd62623…
05-06 07:27:50	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	400	50¢	$200	0x4c98ad…
05-06 07:27:02	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xd7324d…
05-06 03:35:20	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,500	43¢	$645	0xcf0d02…
05-06 03:34:20	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,519	43¢	$653	0xab9978…
05-06 03:33:30	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,147	46¢	$523	0xc60374…
05-06 03:27:22	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	283	50¢	$142	0xc99dda…
05-05 10:38:06	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x7f8531…
05-05 10:18:32	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	600	44¢	$264	0xbe5f33…
05-05 04:22:38	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	1,519	51¢	$774	0x3009df…
05-05 03:50:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,400	44¢	$616	0x783ad3…
05-05 02:34:54	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x890633…
05-05 02:24:36	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x7228bc…
05-05 02:22:14	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x653df0…
05-05 01:58:28	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xcd4135…
05-04 13:59:10	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	686	30¢	$206	0xed0ec0…
03-25 20:00:09	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0x23565b…
03-25 19:57:59	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x084e59…
03-25 19:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xf78f40…
03-25 19:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xb7fde7…
03-25 19:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x9c857a…
03-25 19:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x8cecba…
03-25 19:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0x58780a…
03-25 19:55:53	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x472483…
03-25 19:54:59	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xce3b96…
03-25 19:54:59	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa4b887…
03-25 19:54:59	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xa1a60c…
03-25 19:54:59	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d4299…
03-25 19:54:59	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x521d4d…
03-25 19:54:57	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x832c45…
03-25 19:53:39	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa14759…
03-25 19:53:37	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0xe64d29…
03-25 19:53:37	btc updown 5m 1774468500	Up	BUY	434	51¢	$222	0xbead6e…
03-25 19:40:23	btc updown 5m 1774467900	Up	BUY	387	50¢	$193	0xa1ceda…
03-25 19:37:15	btc updown 5m 1774467900	Up	BUY	297	51¢	$151	0x2064bf…
03-25 19:31:15	btc updown 5m 1774467000	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xd64ed1…
03-25 19:31:13	btc updown 5m 1774467000	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfd65ff…
03-25 19:31:13	btc updown 5m 1774467000	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x8b7fa6…
03-25 19:31:13	btc updown 5m 1774467000	Up	BUY	106	37¢	$39	0x469742…
03-25 19:21:25	btc updown 5m 1774467000	Up	BUY	410	51¢	$209	0xd04873…
03-25 18:53:09	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xfe388a…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0xf0848e…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xa14cd5…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x98b5d5…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	217	16¢	$35	0x71f37b…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x4b8178…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x3a2c18…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x33c6c8…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x2d88c2…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x23f796…
03-25 18:53:07	btc updown 5m 1774464600	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0b6e3b…
03-25 12:04:27	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	400	49¢	$196	0x462ea3…
03-25 12:04:17	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	220	48¢	$106	0xb36e01…
03-25 12:04:09	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x40e120…
03-25 12:04:07	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe717ef…
03-25 12:04:05	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6fc6da…
03-25 12:04:01	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x1eb681…
03-25 12:03:29	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	503	48¢	$240	0xb00506…
03-25 12:03:23	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	148	46¢	$68	0xbe3f37…
03-25 12:03:17	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x3a0c4e…
03-25 12:03:09	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0x685f6b…
03-25 12:03:07	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	151	46¢	$70	0xfad000…
03-25 12:03:07	btc updown 5m 1774440300	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xf2ddd0…
03-25 11:48:01	btc updown 5m 1774439100	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2012a9…
03-25 11:47:33	btc updown 5m 1774439100	Up	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x1c13e5…
03-25 11:42:39	btc updown 5m 1774439100	Up	BUY	144	48¢	$69	0xdb6081…
03-25 11:42:25	btc updown 5m 1774439100	Up	BUY	266	48¢	$128	0x6d8fb1…
03-25 10:57:21	btc updown 15m 1774435500	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xf38be3…
03-25 08:44:35	btc updown 5m 1774428000	Down	BUY	969	1¢	$10	0x420970…
03-25 08:40:01	btc updown 5m 1774428000	Up	BUY	1,838	50¢	$917	0x3f322b…
03-25 08:13:45	btc updown 15m 1774425600	Up	BUY	1,262	1¢	$13	0x7d0d3c…
03-25 08:12:17	btc updown 15m 1774425600	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbb8a25…
03-25 07:39:23	btc updown 15m 1774423800	Down	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0xf047a5…
03-25 07:39:23	btc updown 15m 1774423800	Down	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xb73a8f…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0xe010a4…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xda6f65…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xd71227…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xce8773…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xc92498…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xc0f49c…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbb01e8…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb58202…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xaff1ac…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xa7883f…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0xa738fb…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x9d1853…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x998bde…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x92e222…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x91cd24…
03-25 07:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774423800	Down	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0x91a512…