Sturdy-Cuckoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$268

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-01 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 0% $-0

Other

34% — —

Politics

22% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-28 15:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$33	29	55	-26	open	—	06-01 14:04
btc updown 15m 1774516500	7	$21	48	48	+0	open	—	03-26 09:27
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	3	$15	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 19:46
btc updown 5m 1774516200	3	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	03-26 09:14
btc updown 15m 1774521900	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	03-26 10:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$10	178	0	+178	open	—	02-28 19:59
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 14:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 17	3	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	03-17 10:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 08:23
will trump meet with xi jinping in march 2026 241	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	03-16 16:50
btc updown 15m 1774517400	2	$6	50	0	+50	open	—	03-26 09:31
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	7	$6	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-17 10:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	1	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	03-28 15:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$5	66	0	+66	open	—	02-28 19:43
cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	03-28 16:26
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	2	$4	30	0	+30	open	—	03-26 10:58
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$4	6	5	+0	open	—	05-11 17:45
btc updown 15m 1772267400	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	02-28 08:43
will aztec launch a token by march 31 2026	2	$4	30	30	+0	open	—	01-20 23:41
Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	2	$4	39	39	+0	No	$-1	04-03 18:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 09:06
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 17:26
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$3	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 11:48
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	3	$3	60	0	+60	open	—	01-24 09:04
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$3	16	0	+16	open	—	03-17 11:09
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-14 17:14
Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	05-22 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	3	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	03-26 09:07
btc updown 15m 1772268300	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	02-28 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:04:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xcb8ac9…
06-01 12:49:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x650c6a…
06-01 12:37:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0x393a91…
05-22 09:47:46	Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x96abe2…
05-21 11:48:20	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x84684c…
05-17 10:50:03	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	295	0¢	$0	0x16e730…
05-17 10:50:01	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,185	0¢	$1	0x38ddea…
05-17 10:49:54	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9ce569…
05-17 05:53:57	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xb50e50…
05-16 17:26:58	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x42d987…
05-16 16:25:29	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x30775d…
05-16 15:11:15	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0xf4ce3c…
05-15 04:30:37	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x42e8b3…
05-14 23:42:50	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x360bc2…
05-14 23:34:52	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xee0739…
05-14 23:25:48	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x266582…
05-14 23:15:16	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbb736e…
05-14 08:31:01	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x57a2b9…
05-13 14:38:07	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x6f0768…
05-13 14:37:32	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1f3164…
05-11 17:45:29	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x2cf9e4…
05-11 17:28:11	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa78517…
05-11 16:14:10	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0xf89a27…
05-11 14:21:17	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x66143c…
05-05 20:46:46	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcfba18…
05-05 11:03:56	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6e212b…
05-05 01:05:20	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xf879a2…
05-05 00:00:16	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x41e39c…
05-04 23:09:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0x3321cf…
05-03 18:55:12	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x81668c…
05-03 05:26:56	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0xabfb65…
05-02 23:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x6f9dc6…
05-02 23:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1f0829…
04-03 18:29:57	Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x79a67b…
03-31 15:19:29	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x44b106…
03-30 19:46:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x237c14…
03-30 19:44:49	Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x2704bf…
03-30 19:23:41	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x34e1e4…
03-30 19:00:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x37063c…
03-28 16:26:45	cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x16201d…
03-28 15:55:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x8f6972…
03-28 15:47:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc535c6…
03-28 15:00:35	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa6e33c…
03-28 14:56:11	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd6007f…
03-27 19:50:55	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 165 189	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5713f1…
03-27 19:50:05	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xd96ce1…
03-26 10:58:23	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7706d1…
03-26 10:51:53	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7c96bb…
03-26 10:46:11	btc updown 15m 1774521900	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x314f28…
03-26 10:44:55	btc updown 15m 1774521900	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xbf0f49…
03-26 10:38:53	btc updown 15m 1774521000	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x98da86…
03-26 09:31:29	btc updown 15m 1774517400	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xcccf95…
03-26 09:30:35	btc updown 15m 1774517400	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc623e0…
03-26 09:27:35	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x1c3ecc…
03-26 09:27:33	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xaf68a9…
03-26 09:27:17	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xe14d4c…
03-26 09:26:29	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xdd6bac…
03-26 09:25:07	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x564370…
03-26 09:22:03	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0x81ca77…
03-26 09:16:17	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x4f0bbe…
03-26 09:14:05	btc updown 5m 1774516200	Up	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x9f4f8f…
03-26 09:14:05	btc updown 5m 1774516200	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x2270a1…
03-26 09:12:43	btc updown 5m 1774516200	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3d10ac…
03-26 09:08:59	btc updown 5m 1774515900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcfd005…
03-26 09:07:47	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4931bd…
03-26 09:06:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x97e018…
03-26 09:06:07	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x634807…
03-19 11:51:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x792987…
03-19 03:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x989439…
03-17 20:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x580cf7…
03-17 18:07:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x746bd8…
03-17 11:09:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x4e97dd…
03-17 10:06:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 17	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xb79a69…
03-17 09:55:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 17	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x105116…
03-16 20:59:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 17	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x9de48a…
03-16 20:36:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x6321a8…
03-16 16:50:07	will trump meet with xi jinping in march 2026 241	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xecdca2…
03-15 21:15:39	will ai or artificial intelligence be said at the oscars	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6da851…
03-15 20:44:57	will trump meet with xi jinping in march 2026 241	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xbc056a…
03-14 17:14:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x458d81…
03-11 19:47:41	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x72d83e…
03-11 09:04:01	will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe2e3c6…
03-11 08:36:15	will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xb2a9fb…
03-10 20:27:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8819c0…
03-10 17:11:39	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xfe2b71…
03-10 16:45:25	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x707c5f…
03-08 14:09:51	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x87324e…
02-28 19:59:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	178	6¢	$10	0xbaac93…
02-28 19:43:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xc0546a…
02-28 16:57:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xba7e22…
02-28 11:55:35	btc updown 15m 1772279100	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6aad7f…
02-28 08:51:31	btc updown 15m 1772268300	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf66523…
02-28 08:43:35	btc updown 15m 1772267400	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x36ef39…
02-28 08:40:31	btc updown 15m 1772267400	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x277a47…
02-28 08:23:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5171f…
02-27 20:00:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x087af7…
02-27 20:00:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x689a35…
01-29 17:59:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x145387…
01-25 09:13:40	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 215 239	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x3a6dae…
01-24 09:04:14	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf64f07…