Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$40
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-29
last 11-14 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
69% 50% +$4
Politics
20% 100% +$1
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
3% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 7:00 PM ET? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $5 +$4 11-14 00:04
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +25 $5 19¢ $5 $0 11-12 05:48
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET? Yes +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 11-14 00:21
Will XRP reach $1.20 in November? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 11-12 18:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3 $3 82¢ $3 $0 11-12 07:18
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 PM ET? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-14 00:31
FAA outage attributed to hack? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 11-14 00:25
FAA outage attributed to AI? No +2 $2 73¢ $2 $0 11-14 00:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $3 21¢ $2 -$1 11-05 08:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-12 08:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 11-12 07:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 75¢ $1 $0 11-12 07:01
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-12 18:20