Musty-Liquidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

1,420

Trades

2,424

lifetime

Volume

$311.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-18 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 79% -$3,147

Other

2% 59% -$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 13:45 UTC	45	$9.7K	5,249	5,231	+18	Down	+$663	01-19 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 13:00 UTC	10	$9.0K	4,673	4,669	+4	Down	+$253	01-19 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 14:15 UTC	5	$8.1K	6,792	6,782	+10	Down	-$4,414	01-19 14:30
bitcoin up or down january 19 7am et	22	$7.1K	4,058	4,058	+0	Down	+$857	01-19 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:00 UTC	4	$5.7K	3,700	3,666	+34	Up	+$277	01-19 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 08:45 UTC	2	$5.2K	2,976	2,963	+13	Up	+$176	01-17 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:00 UTC	5	$5.0K	2,737	2,573	+165	Up	-$27	01-19 06:15
bitcoin up or down january 18 2pm et	2	$4.9K	2,609	2,609	+0	Down	+$273	01-18 20:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:45 UTC	2	$4.6K	2,370	2,369	+1	Up	+$66	01-19 07:59
lal mad ala 2026 01 18 mad	2	$4.5K	2,304	2,304	+0	Yes	+$105	01-18 17:12
bitcoin up or down january 19 12am et	2	$4.4K	2,218	2,218	+0	Down	+$29	01-19 05:59
bitcoin up or down january 18 12pm et	2	$4.4K	2,227	2,227	+0	Up	+$86	01-18 18:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	2	$4.0K	2,128	2,124	+5	Up	+$197	01-19 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 10:00 UTC	4	$3.9K	2,011	2,009	+1	Down	+$60	01-19 10:14
bitcoin up or down january 18 11am et	2	$3.9K	2,160	2,160	+0	Up	+$408	01-18 17:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:15 UTC	1	$3.7K	3,793	0	+3,793	Up	+$47	01-17 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 12:15 UTC	1	$3.5K	3,584	0	+3,584	Down	+$36	01-17 12:26
bitcoin up or down january 28 8pm et	4	$3.5K	1,783	1,783	+0	Down	+$16	01-29 01:53
bitcoin up or down january 18 10am et	2	$3.2K	1,661	1,661	+0	Up	+$119	01-18 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:30 UTC	1	$2.8K	2,872	0	+2,872	Up	+$29	01-19 08:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:15 UTC	1	$2.7K	2,844	0	+2,844	Up	+$97	01-19 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 14:30 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,627	1,608	+19	Down	+$503	01-23 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 14:30 UTC	5	$2.6K	1,521	1,511	+10	Down	+$184	01-18 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 19:30 UTC	3	$2.4K	2,433	28	+2,405	Down	-$30	01-18 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:00 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,758	0	+2,758	Down	+$413	01-19 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 14:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,124	1,124	+0	Up	+$11	01-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 15:15 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,340	1,601	+739	Down	-$947	01-19 15:27
bitcoin up or down january 22 5pm et	8	$2.2K	1,435	1,435	+0	Up	+$157	01-22 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 15:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,106	1,105	+0	Up	+$19	01-19 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 05:30 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,343	1,332	+11	Up	+$184	01-22 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 05:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb431e2…
08-18 05:44:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcb0f7d…
08-18 05:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa830b…
08-18 05:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbc066b…
08-18 05:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e7c84…
08-18 05:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x727ee8…
08-18 05:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x3d6fe3…
08-18 05:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7d4c2b…
08-18 05:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc57f6d…
08-18 05:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x7038e9…
08-18 02:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x6aca02…
08-18 02:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd06728…
08-18 02:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe30660…
08-18 02:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xec0091…
08-18 02:02:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x975d24…
08-18 01:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x662223…
08-18 01:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xcd2ad5…
08-18 01:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xfbd067…
08-18 01:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd257b6…
08-18 01:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x624f6b…
08-18 01:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbba64a…
08-18 01:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x804342…
08-18 01:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc6bfa1…
08-18 01:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7864aa…
08-18 01:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x43cb8a…
08-18 01:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8bfd54…
08-18 01:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6fbd94…
08-18 01:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1e73ab…
08-18 01:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x450b97…
08-18 00:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x53b181…
08-18 00:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce0873…
08-18 00:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x27907f…
08-18 00:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe1aa64…
08-18 00:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x37e8f5…
08-18 00:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe68e7c…
08-18 00:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0xd6e186…
06-25 12:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x612d51…
06-25 12:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x0fae81…
06-25 11:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcaf95d…
06-24 15:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc01c28…
05-17 13:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x739689…
05-17 13:58:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0xbe4b08…
05-17 13:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe9f032…
05-17 12:59:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5c12b1…
05-17 12:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc0fd77…
05-17 12:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd30743…
05-17 12:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9c305c…
05-17 12:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5f3240…
05-17 12:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x93e6cc…
05-17 12:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbaac75…
05-17 12:09:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x30bbd8…
05-17 12:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa24b3e…
05-17 12:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xe75945…
05-17 12:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x53c3a1…
05-17 11:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa2b365…
05-17 11:47:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xba5ec5…
05-17 11:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x171ac7…
05-17 11:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7e6ad5…
05-17 11:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0xbed43e…
05-17 11:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xe0a6f0…
05-17 11:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4e17dd…
05-17 11:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x20bf52…
05-17 11:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x049435…
05-17 11:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x977b31…
05-17 10:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x553c13…
05-17 10:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x6d6cb8…
05-17 10:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x6074d9…
05-17 10:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xd5c33b…
05-17 10:09:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xae7321…
05-17 10:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	89¢	$16	0x2f2ed1…
05-17 09:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xa26ba9…
05-17 09:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x2b6f98…
05-17 09:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x2e25fa…
05-17 09:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0xf9beb5…
05-17 09:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x17ccfc…
05-17 09:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xbcef4c…
05-17 09:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$4	0x09f3c4…
05-17 09:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x2ebb64…
05-17 09:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4f4dae…
05-17 09:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xab78f2…
05-17 09:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xae247e…
05-17 09:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2049ad…
05-17 09:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xb46065…
05-17 08:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb5012f…
05-17 08:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xba2258…
05-17 08:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3b4609…
05-17 08:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x7dc2c1…
05-17 08:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xa226d5…
05-17 08:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf69418…
05-17 08:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x432385…
05-17 08:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0244f5…
05-17 08:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xff9b0a…
05-17 08:17:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6f3bda…
05-17 08:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xf409c9…
05-17 08:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd3fa15…
05-17 08:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xd9eef8…
05-17 08:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xaa02f6…
05-17 07:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x10d7b3…
05-17 07:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x2768f3…
05-17 07:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x67522b…