Adept-Popularity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-30 10:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$4

Other

22% 60% +$7

Sports

12% 100% +$2

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$476	239	239	+0	No	$-0	04-26 03:59
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	02-10 12:17
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	03-02 04:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$271	137	137	+0	open	—	05-26 09:25
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	02-10 12:43
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$263	131	131	+0	open	—	03-18 09:30
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	2	$262	132	132	+0	open	—	03-24 11:48
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$262	132	132	+0	open	—	03-25 07:18
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$261	131	131	+0	open	—	03-29 09:55
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	03-18 10:57
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-12 10:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	05-04 06:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	05-27 06:57
will bitcoin reach 84k february 2 8	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	02-08 03:43
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$136	137	0	+137	open	—	02-10 12:48
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 115 139	1	$136	137	0	+137	open	—	02-28 12:39
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 180 199	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-27 11:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-02 10:17
bitcoin above 62k on february 26	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-26 15:52
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-01 04:38
ethereum above 2000 on march 21	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	03-21 12:20
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	05-22 09:49
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	03-03 10:04
ethereum above 1500 on february 23	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-23 07:47
ethereum above 1700 on february 22	1	$132	133	0	+133	open	—	02-22 06:34
will solana dip to 40 february 9 15	1	$132	133	0	+133	open	—	02-15 04:48
ethereum above 1600 on february 13	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	02-13 12:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	02-12 11:06
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	06-30 10:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	03-27 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:11:34	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x03ea4c…
05-31 07:17:44	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xa8b86c…
05-30 11:31:19	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9cc491…
05-28 12:39:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xfff818…
05-28 12:26:54	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0d1cd7…
05-27 06:57:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x2a3aa9…
05-26 09:33:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x763983…
05-26 09:27:48	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x4801b5…
05-26 09:25:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	137	97¢	$134	0xc75fb0…
05-25 11:23:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x06efa6…
05-23 12:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xd6dbd7…
05-23 11:57:37	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x50f6b9…
05-22 09:49:51	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x9650ca…
05-21 08:24:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x3e0896…
05-21 08:19:28	KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	LG Twins	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xd06219…
05-20 12:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xa0ed68…
05-19 07:20:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xa42a56…
05-19 07:11:11	Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x83854b…
05-18 12:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x3bdb69…
05-17 07:52:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xf9a78e…
05-14 05:44:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x33b25b…
05-14 05:37:51	LoL: Once Upon A Team vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season	Once Upon A Team	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x58432d…
05-12 19:57:52	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	124	94¢	$117	0xfd6bdc…
05-12 10:10:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xea2430…
05-11 06:30:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x5c68de…
05-11 05:11:44	Bengaluru 2: Dev Javia vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xfdb49f…
05-08 07:03:31	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x7ff653…
05-07 08:18:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe5b343…
05-06 12:34:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4b387b…
05-06 12:33:38	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4f9572…
05-05 08:28:12	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 5?	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0x8a8b05…
05-04 07:35:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x6b8f11…
05-04 06:36:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x0f4a84…
04-30 06:21:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x727f91…
04-27 05:08:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa20107…
04-26 04:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xed6d4c…
04-26 03:59:40	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xd91085…
04-26 03:42:26	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x620545…
04-26 03:36:56	Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	ZETA DIVISION	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x020fbc…
04-25 08:52:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	1,505	0¢	$3	0xad405f…
04-25 08:51:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,445	0¢	$3	0xd9b20f…
04-24 11:01:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7a74f0…
04-23 11:52:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2a09ac…
04-22 06:04:06	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x637729…
04-21 09:12:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xac8424…
04-20 11:49:46	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf58482…
04-19 05:40:14	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x9b4560…
04-16 07:22:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x5e6c0a…
04-15 10:55:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x682ff0…
04-14 06:50:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa53909…
04-13 04:18:01	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa64549…
04-12 11:10:17	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x8796bc…
04-12 10:59:03	nba was cle 2026 04 12	Wizards	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x984681…
04-12 10:58:05	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0xd70923…
04-12 10:40:47	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xcac35c…
04-11 06:02:25	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 11	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb1afa3…
04-10 04:18:11	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb9aaec…
04-09 05:55:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf476f5…
04-08 06:14:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xcf9bee…
04-08 06:13:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2c20ba…
04-08 02:55:31	ethereum above 2600 on april 8	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3a1b94…
04-08 02:55:09	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x76d297…
04-08 02:54:53	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xe23a29…
04-07 10:58:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xd0bc09…
04-06 07:33:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x39d86a…
04-05 06:40:33	ethereum above 1800 on april 5	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x6a0852…
04-05 06:32:01	nba hou gsw 2026 04 05	Warriors	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x827845…
04-04 08:11:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x1d3955…
04-04 08:11:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	Yes	BUY	1,167	0¢	$4	0xcc5cb4…
04-04 08:10:25	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x89e1af…
04-02 10:17:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x191d6d…
04-01 04:38:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x85d72a…
03-31 07:10:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xf057ec…
03-31 06:44:21	nhl dal bos 2026 03 31	Bruins	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x29c596…
03-30 08:09:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x40f6c2…
03-29 09:56:08	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x8012d1…
03-29 09:55:26	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	131	99¢	$131	0x439f18…
03-29 09:10:10	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5263b2…
03-28 07:20:55	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x49fbd1…
03-28 07:17:15	cs2 vit aur1 2026 03 28	Aurora Gaming	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xacabba…
03-27 14:28:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x3a7ce6…
03-27 02:31:03	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 26	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x9618e5…
03-25 07:23:01	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x832d41…
03-25 07:18:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x112164…
03-25 06:25:01	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x74a140…
03-24 11:53:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xe6f2b5…
03-24 11:48:07	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x98350d…
03-24 11:27:55	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xe4332b…
03-24 11:24:29	atp lehecka fritz 2026 03 24	Taylor Fritz	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x7036dd…
03-22 05:33:41	ethereum above 1700 on march 22	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0x6a01df…
03-22 05:22:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 22	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xaa906f…
03-21 12:20:51	ethereum above 2000 on march 21	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x18e9c4…
03-18 11:06:27	ethereum above 2100 on march 18	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xcbabc0…
03-18 11:05:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe6cf9e…
03-18 10:57:55	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0x81cfb1…
03-18 09:33:49	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x97525b…
03-18 09:31:23	ahl coa san 2026 03 18	San Jose Barracuda	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe48156…
03-18 09:30:17	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xc20e00…
03-18 09:12:47	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x48a8f3…
03-17 06:12:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x1cdbd8…