Realized P&L
-$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
218
Trades
546
lifetime
Volume
$56.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$45
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 11-05 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
87% 53% -$1,827
Politics
11% 62% +$780
Crypto
2% 56% -$73
Sports
1% 67% -$1
Tech
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +16 $10 78¢ $13 +$3 10-01 10:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 11-05 12:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? Yes +14 $10 66¢ $9 -$1 11-05 12:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 08-18 20:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-02 10:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-03 10:31
lindsay clancy convicted of murder by december 31 2027 Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 09-05 07:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-01 10:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-31 04:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-08 10:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 10-08 10:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 $0 09-02 10:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 Yes +1 $1 37¢ $1 $0 08-22 08:53
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +26 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-08 10:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-02 10:44