Speedy-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,617

lifetime

Volume

$90.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$197

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-16 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 67% $-226

Other

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 301 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+200	$188	99¢	$197	+$9	07-07 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	5	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-27 05:25
sol updown 5m 1774509600	6	$1.3K	1,292	1,242	+50	open	—	03-26 07:26
eth updown 5m 1774509600	5	$1.2K	1,486	264	+1,221	open	—	03-26 07:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	05-27 05:54
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-19 14:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$943	988	0	+988	open	—	05-26 06:18
eth updown 5m 1774507500	6	$876	929	402	+527	open	—	03-26 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	8	$862	1,015	200	+815	open	—	05-18 10:05
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	6	$779	400	400	+0	open	—	05-27 05:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	2	$774	800	0	+800	open	—	05-18 18:17
bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	11	$765	400	400	+0	open	—	07-16 16:04
sol updown 5m 1774508100	4	$745	923	168	+755	open	—	03-26 06:58
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$703	800	0	+800	open	—	05-18 07:10
sol updown 5m 1774506300	6	$676	641	501	+139	open	—	03-26 06:29
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	3	$648	800	0	+800	open	—	06-29 15:42
sol updown 5m 1774456500	3	$646	709	143	+565	open	—	03-25 16:39
eth updown 5m 1774517400	4	$634	328	328	+0	open	—	03-26 09:36
eth updown 5m 1774460100	5	$621	345	344	+1	open	—	03-25 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 15 21 2026	1	$588	600	0	+600	open	—	06-19 14:13
sol updown 5m 1774506600	2	$561	763	0	+763	open	—	03-26 06:34
eth updown 5m 1774507800	2	$538	736	0	+736	open	—	03-26 06:54
sol updown 5m 1774508700	4	$534	454	453	+1	open	—	03-26 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	42	$517	586	586	+0	Down	+$17	05-10 13:11
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	8	$507	300	300	+0	open	—	06-20 15:25
sol updown 5m 1774457100	3	$501	273	272	+1	open	—	03-25 16:51
sol updown 5m 1774508400	1	$500	562	0	+562	open	—	03-26 07:03
eth updown 5m 1774425900	4	$493	503	113	+390	open	—	03-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	7	$483	500	0	+500	open	—	05-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	42	$460	400	400	+0	Down	+$14	05-10 12:39
eth updown 5m 1774506600	2	$457	408	353	+55	open	—	03-26 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 16:14:49	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xdf6861…
07-16 16:14:44	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x53338f…
07-16 16:14:20	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 16	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x428a94…
07-16 16:13:53	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x105635…
07-16 16:04:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xf7c5ac…
07-16 14:40:25	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x155502…
07-16 14:39:07	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa9db7…
07-16 14:38:35	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xb9d52e…
07-16 14:38:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbee532…
07-16 14:08:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb2faa4…
07-16 06:16:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	89	88¢	$78	0xc1746a…
07-16 06:08:20	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xfe270e…
07-16 05:45:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbb8791…
07-16 05:36:35	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	78	88¢	$68	0x84d9ae…
07-16 05:32:20	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x71555f…
07-14 17:09:56	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0xfd9952…
07-14 17:01:49	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xf7d838…
07-14 17:01:02	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x07dd0e…
07-14 17:00:38	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xc1859e…
07-14 17:00:14	ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xdbcee4…
07-14 16:59:52	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xecee81…
07-14 16:59:35	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x18592c…
07-14 16:59:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x68774a…
07-14 16:57:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x17c4a5…
07-14 16:56:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd7f559…
07-13 07:08:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xfdc9ce…
07-13 06:35:43	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x96eed0…
07-13 06:35:37	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x2e232f…
07-12 16:44:56	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	400	95¢	$379	0xf62b38…
07-12 16:44:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xb52329…
07-12 16:44:20	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x65ab42…
07-11 17:50:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xc9bc85…
07-11 17:01:11	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x02135b…
07-11 16:46:11	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x4cba52…
07-11 16:34:14	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	220	85¢	$187	0xe2df9b…
07-11 16:11:41	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3236d7…
07-11 16:11:16	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xed989a…
07-11 16:10:58	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x80461e…
07-11 16:10:02	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x4f8cab…
07-11 16:09:50	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 11	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7eae08…
07-11 16:06:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x36bac4…
07-11 16:06:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb81043…
07-11 16:05:59	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x69dec4…
07-11 16:05:56	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	80	96¢	$76	0x27bd94…
07-11 16:05:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa25f3f…
07-11 16:04:20	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x09efba…
07-11 16:04:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x17c5cd…
07-11 16:03:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x9eaa5f…
07-11 16:03:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa19e6d…
07-11 16:03:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x990b01…
07-07 18:20:40	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x4926b1…
07-07 16:43:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xe4dd1d…
07-07 16:42:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x455207…
07-07 16:42:32	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xd9f1d4…
07-07 16:33:25	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 7	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x2c12c2…
07-07 16:33:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 7	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xe5e9ca…
07-07 16:33:14	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 7	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf6771a…
07-07 16:33:05	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 7	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xf8ec16…
07-07 16:32:59	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 7	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x051846…
06-29 15:42:23	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x4bea13…
06-29 15:42:16	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xcd1286…
06-24 14:18:26	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb963ac…
06-24 05:47:19	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x3a06f8…
06-24 05:47:11	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xd3528e…
06-24 05:46:47	will tsla dip to 360 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x9f7586…
06-24 05:46:28	will tsla reach 420 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xbfd5d8…
06-24 05:46:11	will tsla reach 435 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x791581…
06-23 16:42:16	will tsla dip to 352 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x8bd3d2…
06-23 09:50:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x80442a…
06-23 08:25:47	ethereum above 1700 on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0xad91ab…
06-23 07:36:38	will tsla dip to 367 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xf0d41a…
06-23 07:36:31	will tsla dip to 375 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x456abe…
06-23 07:02:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x6898dd…
06-22 22:06:35	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x688256…
06-22 22:02:16	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xe17561…
06-22 21:59:17	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xfbc06f…
06-22 21:53:38	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	434	95¢	$413	0x5852f1…
06-22 21:53:13	ethereum above 1600 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xba4f0e…
06-22 21:52:56	ethereum above 1700 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0xf40a33…
06-22 21:52:05	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8205d4…
06-22 21:51:46	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x664875…
06-22 21:51:20	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x34ca42…
06-20 17:56:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xc69974…
06-20 17:43:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xabe86d…
06-20 16:06:16	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xe849f8…
06-20 16:03:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x28feae…
06-20 16:02:32	ethereum above 1800 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xc404e6…
06-20 16:02:32	ethereum above 1800 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc24f8b…
06-20 16:00:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xccd491…
06-20 15:51:08	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x18fb8d…
06-20 15:31:59	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x8716c2…
06-20 15:31:43	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x00527e…
06-20 15:28:34	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0xeec7eb…
06-20 15:28:23	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x2f930b…
06-20 15:26:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x9f059c…
06-20 15:26:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0xf1e3f0…
06-20 15:25:32	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	89¢	$268	0x260cb1…
06-20 09:15:59	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9ca7d8…
06-20 09:11:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xaa1e4b…
06-20 05:41:08	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$4	0xc90770…