Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 03-20 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

57% 83% +$12

Crypto

23% 82% +$9

Politics

19% 86% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on colombia by january 31	7	$366	187	187	+0	No	+$1	01-24 10:15
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$361	188	188	+0	No	+$1	01-24 10:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$225	116	116	+0	Yes	+$0	01-24 10:10
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	5	$178	145	39	+106	No	+$2	01-29 11:41
Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?	3	$174	88	88	+0	No	+$1	01-25 07:58
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	6	$153	79	79	+0	No	+$0	03-07 01:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$152	79	79	+0	Yes	-$3	02-28 13:21
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$138	73	73	+0	No	+$1	01-26 08:51
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	5	$130	66	66	+0	No	+$0	03-07 01:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$128	90	45	+45	No	+$2	01-25 14:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	7	$125	63	63	+0	No	+$0	03-07 02:01
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	01-24 10:14
Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?	2	$91	46	46	+0	No	+$1	01-25 08:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$0	01-19 09:45
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	2	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$1	01-25 08:02
march fed derivative pause or cut favored on jan 28	2	$83	84	0	+84	No change	+$1	01-25 14:18
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$81	43	43	+0	No	+$2	01-17 04:04
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$56	50	17	+33	No	+$4	03-20 15:06
will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	02-28 13:13
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$52	28	28	+0	No	+$1	03-12 12:33
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$51	27	27	+0	No	-$1	02-28 13:27
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$51	27	27	+0	No	$0	02-28 13:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	02-28 13:09
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$0	02-28 13:29
will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	1	$47	52	0	+52	Yes	+$5	01-17 07:49
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$36	0	37	-37	No	-$1	01-10 03:12
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	01-29 11:43
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$1	03-20 13:43
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$21	25	0	+25	No	+$4	03-20 14:29
us strike on colombia by march 31	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-28 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-20 15:06:35	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x9150bb…
03-20 15:06:17	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x431f2d…
03-20 14:29:31	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xe58635…
03-20 13:49:57	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1f5831…
03-20 13:43:07	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x418a1d…
03-20 13:41:19	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd4cafe…
03-12 12:33:57	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x8ac597…
03-12 12:33:45	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0xba17a3…
03-08 12:35:39	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x5b88b0…
03-08 12:33:25	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0xe034b9…
03-08 12:23:23	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xbfbc5f…
03-07 02:01:09	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x2cbedd…
03-07 01:57:05	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x65b6bc…
03-07 01:56:31	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	SELL	79	97¢	$77	0xbd7f3a…
03-04 10:56:35	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x27137c…
03-04 10:56:35	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x009cec…
03-04 10:56:09	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4c8612…
03-04 10:54:29	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x3c5295…
03-04 10:53:49	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x487fec…
03-04 10:53:37	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xa525ef…
03-04 10:53:35	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x02e4f7…
03-04 10:53:25	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xf8f8d3…
03-04 10:53:11	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xaeb69b…
03-04 10:52:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35dd34…
03-04 10:52:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6b9acb…
03-04 10:51:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf90b87…
03-04 10:50:45	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x21cdff…
03-04 10:49:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x52728f…
03-04 10:49:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x711bf8…
02-28 13:29:09	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x2250da…
02-28 13:27:31	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x628438…
02-28 13:24:51	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x10916c…
02-28 13:24:03	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x03d139…
02-28 13:21:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x500e91…
02-28 13:13:59	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6dc018…
02-28 13:09:59	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1420cd…
02-05 14:48:27	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc32f08…
02-03 16:14:56	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0f618f…
02-03 16:09:22	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0642ce…
02-03 16:00:38	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xdb4e11…
02-03 15:59:10	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xaf33b0…
02-03 15:44:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xa81f95…
02-03 15:43:16	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x0e5000…
02-03 15:40:48	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x799abe…
02-03 13:56:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x9180f5…
01-31 13:51:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x30d78f…
01-29 11:43:16	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x13ea6a…
01-29 11:41:48	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x3c185c…
01-26 14:21:23	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xb57233…
01-26 14:05:27	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x186895…
01-26 08:51:03	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x3180bc…
01-26 08:45:05	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x51ce6d…
01-25 14:21:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x1dbc9b…
01-25 14:18:54	march fed derivative pause or cut favored on jan 28	No change	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xc8116d…
01-25 12:04:30	march fed derivative pause or cut favored on jan 28	No change	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xf356ec…
01-25 11:09:26	another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x1269b4…
01-25 10:53:40	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xfe2110…
01-25 08:02:36	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x2c4e29…
01-25 08:01:50	Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xa9c146…
01-25 07:58:30	Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x2b4fd3…
01-24 11:05:22	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x26cc16…
01-24 10:59:26	Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x2e5bcc…
01-24 10:56:12	Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xc43438…
01-24 10:55:12	Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x8b28b8…
01-24 10:15:10	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x7a1698…
01-24 10:14:40	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x257ea0…
01-24 10:10:28	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x5a9b3b…
01-24 10:10:16	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x64f63f…
01-21 06:40:38	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc386f9…
01-21 06:39:22	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb56710…
01-21 06:34:44	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x921c9c…
01-21 06:30:32	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf251f6…
01-21 02:39:38	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0x2cdc45…
01-21 02:37:48	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xf4f167…
01-21 02:36:20	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x25d35c…
01-21 02:35:08	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb877b5…
01-21 02:33:42	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xad7ee6…
01-19 13:58:34	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x1508a9…
01-19 10:50:42	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x8e1ca0…
01-19 10:39:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x08c01e…
01-19 09:45:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x5a52a2…
01-18 08:00:02	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb81319…
01-17 08:44:38	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xa80065…
01-17 08:34:40	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x9bb104…
01-17 07:54:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x05fef4…
01-17 07:49:40	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x0363a1…
01-17 04:26:48	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	89	96¢	$85	0x26421e…
01-17 04:11:56	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x62cbcc…
01-17 04:04:18	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xe87697…
01-13 05:02:51	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x5be3aa…
01-13 04:54:15	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xbfff5f…
01-13 04:53:41	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x7e7464…
01-13 04:12:51	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x424aac…
01-12 12:50:26	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0xe8c3e6…
01-12 12:36:32	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x0c00da…
01-12 12:32:26	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0x261caa…
01-11 06:36:54	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x46bf6c…
01-11 06:18:18	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x474db0…
01-11 06:08:00	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xdb19fe…
01-11 05:50:20	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0e1bd9…