Ajar-Smuggling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

1,137

Trades

2,889

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-27 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% -$312

Other

1% 29% -$2

Sports

0% 42% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:15 UTC	6	$142	89	88	+1	Up	+$7	03-06 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	5	$131	85	73	+11	Down	+$14	03-05 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	4	$128	73	73	+0	Up	+$6	03-05 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:45 UTC	5	$122	126	47	+79	Up	-$49	03-05 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$108	92	89	+3	Up	+$23	04-26 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$107	73	70	+3	Down	+$35	04-25 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:25 UTC	4	$96	83	81	+1	Down	+$0	03-05 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:35 UTC	9	$85	88	88	+0	Up	+$1	07-19 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:40 UTC	5	$80	62	61	+1	Down	+$11	03-05 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:10 UTC	4	$77	50	49	+0	Up	+$13	03-25 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$77	158	87	+71	Up	+$17	10-23 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC	4	$75	44	44	+0	Up	+$10	03-05 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	8	$74	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	05-26 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:35 UTC	5	$71	79	43	+36	Down	+$22	03-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$71	41	41	+1	Up	+$10	04-26 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$71	37	37	+0	Down	+$2	04-26 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$70	375	7	+369	Down	-$58	04-25 02:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:20 UTC	7	$66	47	45	+2	Up	+$5	03-06 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:20 UTC	2	$66	42	41	+1	Down	+$10	03-25 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$64	43	43	+0	Down	+$4	10-23 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$64	39	39	+0	Down	+$4	10-23 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 08:15 UTC	11	$64	42	42	+0	Down	+$2	07-19 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:25 UTC	6	$63	68	67	+1	Down	+$3	03-06 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:05 UTC	7	$61	43	39	+4	Down	+$1	07-19 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:50 UTC	8	$59	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	07-19 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:15 UTC	4	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	03-25 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$54	41	40	+2	Down	+$18	04-26 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$53	61	61	+0	Up	+$23	10-25 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:15 UTC	2	$53	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	03-25 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	04-26 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7404c3…
10-27 15:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9a5590…
10-27 15:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4f7acf…
10-27 15:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3bd0cd…
10-27 15:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x088c37…
10-27 15:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd30788…
10-27 15:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x813051…
10-27 15:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa8b794…
10-27 15:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x882227…
10-27 15:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdafb7a…
10-27 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x002e02…
10-26 09:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x5c8a03…
10-26 09:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x08b422…
10-26 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb9c2b6…
10-26 09:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3ddd62…
10-26 09:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5a7049…
10-26 09:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x619495…
10-26 09:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xa8e355…
10-26 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf79655…
10-26 08:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x778cc3…
10-26 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x506116…
10-26 05:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x088bb2…
10-26 05:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xef1862…
10-26 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x81fd91…
10-26 05:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x65ed5c…
10-26 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd751d6…
10-26 05:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x535bca…
10-25 19:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x50ac28…
10-25 19:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6ac383…
10-25 19:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x86c6ea…
10-25 19:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xc7deac…
10-25 19:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb8e9fe…
10-25 18:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4175cd…
10-25 18:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x8e426d…
10-25 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe96aad…
10-25 18:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71bbc4…
10-25 18:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbb08ab…
10-25 18:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x5a1f94…
10-25 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x42c796…
10-25 18:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xd2eccd…
10-25 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xddb2f6…
10-25 18:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x36bebb…
10-25 18:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa771dc…
10-25 18:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x5e2cf7…
10-25 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x5bc338…
10-25 18:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x49ba53…
10-25 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x967c85…
10-25 18:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x6d82d1…
10-25 18:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x97e3ce…
10-25 18:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2743ad…
10-25 18:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x947e29…
10-25 18:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc70b21…
10-25 18:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xce124c…
10-25 17:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x113946…
10-25 17:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x102a2a…
10-25 17:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x586ac9…
10-25 17:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x39be22…
10-25 17:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0d87b4…
10-25 17:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa4a5a0…
10-25 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x77861f…
10-25 17:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03516a…
10-25 17:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x9457a9…
10-25 17:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc83430…
10-25 17:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xb477b7…
10-25 17:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x46c37a…
10-25 17:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xef3d24…
10-25 17:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9a35b2…
10-25 17:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x8e8185…
10-25 17:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xebce0b…
10-25 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0xc83902…
10-25 17:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x08c323…
10-25 17:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x9624b3…
10-25 17:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x9b6e95…
10-25 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x49f1c1…
10-25 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa9074c…
10-25 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x50a694…
10-25 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x135aad…
10-25 17:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x2fd4cf…
10-25 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x52f30a…
10-25 17:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x95b459…
10-25 17:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc61e6d…
10-25 16:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x57d104…
10-25 16:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x00fbc8…
10-25 16:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf4258c…
10-25 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	77¢	$21	0x24b398…
10-25 16:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x040dfd…
10-25 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0x724b52…
10-25 16:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8c9d48…
10-25 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xa4ade8…
10-25 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe019f5…
10-25 16:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x36af0a…
10-25 16:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x94227d…
10-25 16:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0xbfa39d…
10-25 16:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdf507f…
10-25 16:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xb3b007…
10-25 16:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0604d4…
10-25 16:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc21d3d…
10-25 16:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x396c45…
10-25 16:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x532d6a…
10-25 16:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x9af6fc…