High-Level-Ficlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,080

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-13 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Crypto

47% 85% +$3

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	6	$483	339	337	+2	open	—	03-31 20:48
will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	15	$415	473	473	+0	open	—	03-31 19:06
fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 asm	4	$379	239	239	+0	open	—	04-05 20:42
fl1 psg tou 2026 04 03 psg	7	$334	196	196	+0	open	—	04-03 20:58
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	14	$310	312	312	+0	open	—	03-31 18:37
tur fen bes 2026 04 05 fen	7	$302	243	240	+3	open	—	04-05 19:07
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	5	$270	184	182	+2	open	—	04-04 21:03
lal ovi sev 2026 04 05 ovi	13	$206	115	114	+1	open	—	04-05 18:26
lal rso ala 2026 04 11 rso	4	$171	120	118	+2	open	—	04-11 13:56
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$167	113	112	+2	open	—	04-08 20:26
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	4	$165	217	217	+0	open	—	04-03 08:46
uel bol ast4 2026 04 09 ast4	3	$164	120	118	+2	open	—	04-09 20:12
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	5	$164	361	159	+202	open	—	04-04 16:03
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	3	$152	109	107	+2	open	—	04-07 20:52
epl wes wol 2026 04 10 wes	6	$147	100	99	+1	open	—	04-10 20:23
lal get bil 2026 04 05 get	2	$146	87	86	+1	open	—	04-05 13:54
lal ray elc 2026 04 03 ray	2	$144	88	87	+1	open	—	04-03 20:51
lal gir vil 2026 04 06 gir	6	$129	89	88	+1	open	—	04-06 20:51
uel por1 not 2026 04 09 por1	5	$129	280	157	+124	open	—	04-09 20:42
uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 scf	2	$120	91	89	+2	open	—	04-09 19:36
bun dor b04 2026 04 11 b04	2	$119	72	72	+1	open	—	04-11 15:22
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 btts	3	$118	144	77	+67	open	—	04-06 17:40
sea rom pis 2026 04 10 rom	2	$117	71	71	+1	open	—	04-10 19:28
lal val cel 2026 04 05 cel	4	$116	115	112	+3	open	—	04-05 16:00
sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	2	$116	68	68	+1	open	—	04-17 20:03
sea nap laz 2026 04 18 laz	2	$110	79	77	+1	open	—	04-18 17:57
btc updown 5m 1775629500	3	$110	131	0	+131	open	—	04-08 06:29
btc updown 5m 1776543900	6	$108	97	94	+3	open	—	04-18 20:30
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	3	$104	197	197	+0	open	—	04-04 15:29
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	5	$101	382	382	+0	open	—	04-03 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 07:58:18	btc updown 5m 1781337300	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfefaf3…
06-13 07:24:36	btc updown 5m 1781335200	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x8d73c0…
06-13 07:24:27	btc updown 5m 1781335200	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xd85fed…
06-13 07:23:10	btc updown 5m 1781335200	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xdddf69…
06-13 07:19:21	btc updown 5m 1781334900	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf25ace…
06-13 07:19:00	btc updown 5m 1781334900	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfe7721…
06-13 07:07:21	btc updown 5m 1781334300	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x35dc1d…
06-13 06:59:24	btc updown 5m 1781333700	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc97b94…
06-13 06:54:01	btc updown 5m 1781333400	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x822821…
06-13 06:53:30	btc updown 5m 1781333400	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x7bbd82…
06-13 06:52:46	btc updown 5m 1781333400	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x41d9a4…
06-13 06:48:57	btc updown 5m 1781333100	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4116b5…
06-13 06:43:31	btc updown 5m 1781332800	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbad7c3…
06-13 06:34:39	btc updown 5m 1781332200	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf30112…
06-13 06:33:18	btc updown 5m 1781332200	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa63628…
06-13 06:29:18	btc updown 5m 1781331900	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa76c8b…
06-13 05:52:13	btc updown 5m 1781329800	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfc8fed…
06-13 05:19:31	btc updown 5m 1781327700	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf05c98…
06-12 17:59:28	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0ebc01…
06-12 17:59:15	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Down	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xdea759…
06-12 17:58:39	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9db7af…
06-12 17:49:13	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe10924…
06-12 17:48:49	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1b7e2c…
06-12 17:12:15	btc updown 5m 1781284200	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5995e4…
06-12 05:18:55	btc updown 5m 1781241300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6c6f3e…
06-12 05:18:22	btc updown 5m 1781241300	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x57139d…
06-12 04:53:18	btc updown 5m 1781239800	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6969c1…
06-12 04:49:16	btc updown 5m 1781239500	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb862fd…
06-12 04:39:25	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfbd485…
06-12 04:39:18	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Down	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0xf83511…
06-12 04:39:06	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x596fc0…
06-12 04:38:46	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe52152…
06-12 04:33:49	btc updown 5m 1781238600	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3d489c…
06-12 04:33:01	btc updown 5m 1781238600	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd8c983…
06-10 21:28:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xc6813f…
05-25 20:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x680e86…
05-25 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5612c7…
05-25 20:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe99716…
05-25 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x18ac41…
05-25 20:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xad6291…
05-25 20:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc64f92…
05-25 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9e1f4e…
05-25 20:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x65bcf5…
05-25 20:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8b7b68…
05-25 20:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xad864b…
05-25 20:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2d0bb0…
05-25 20:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1bb693…
05-25 20:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd789bf…
05-25 20:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x94f27c…
05-25 20:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6a2ef0…
05-25 19:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc7a484…
05-25 19:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xffe49e…
05-25 19:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x947fe7…
05-25 19:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xe3c6e7…
05-25 19:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x31b720…
05-24 19:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7c4ce4…
05-24 19:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf75f2c…
05-24 19:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x16a192…
05-24 19:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5ffb07…
05-24 18:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x3e806c…
05-24 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xa972f4…
05-24 14:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xa8126a…
05-24 14:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x266d61…
05-24 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xddfed3…
05-24 14:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x886736…
05-24 14:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x44dcd1…
05-24 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xfe6153…
05-24 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xe5ddea…
05-24 13:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9e77a0…
05-24 13:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x50de76…
05-24 13:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd35475…
05-24 13:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x722798…
05-24 12:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xfdc587…
05-24 12:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa1cbba…
05-24 12:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x876c45…
05-24 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x8fdfdd…
05-24 12:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbe260a…
05-24 12:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb361d0…
05-24 12:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xba67b6…
05-24 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xa37a1b…
05-24 12:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5e250a…
05-24 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x4e3ba8…
05-24 12:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x57f3bb…
05-24 12:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc7529b…
05-24 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x21b035…
05-24 09:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x127f43…
05-24 09:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x3532c1…
05-24 09:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa3dc85…
05-24 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xf7b0f8…
05-24 09:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x406c54…
05-24 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5f24d9…
05-24 09:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6faafb…
05-24 09:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa5b5dc…
05-24 09:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe5be37…
05-24 09:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9acdac…
05-24 09:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf6a17b…
05-24 09:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x679a9e…
05-24 08:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x5b1879…
05-24 08:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0ab86e…
05-24 08:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xed27c2…