Early-Hermit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-11 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$15	21	+21	Down	+$6	05-07 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$11	15	+15	open	—	05-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-11 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$9	21	+21	Up	+$12	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$6	9	+9	Down	+$3	05-07 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Down	+$5	05-07 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-07 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 21:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xedb751…
05-11 19:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xb8ea7d…
05-07 20:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c701d…
05-07 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x7d2e67…
05-07 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53f6ba…
05-07 10:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x913a8e…
05-07 09:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x29ca53…
05-06 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4e5e89…
05-05 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x74704e…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xe300b3…
05-05 18:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x71eb4a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	11	$4.08K	103	05-11 21:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$3.57K	252	05-11 21:09
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	11	$1.01K	59	05-11 21:08
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	10	$2.68K	116	05-11 21:08
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	9	$751	31	05-11 21:08
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	8	$660	28	05-11 21:08
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	6	$652	74	05-11 19:39
(anonymous) 0x5083…b0ea	5	$580	11	05-07 10:25