Merry-Prow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 88% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:51
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:21
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:19
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:45
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:08
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 05:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:07
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc21bea…
10-27 16:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5764a3…
10-27 07:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bf147…
10-26 05:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x72ee6a…
10-24 06:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ffa0b…
10-22 09:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4207b7…
10-20 04:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fa588…
10-19 06:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6709c2…
10-18 07:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89553d…
10-17 07:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6aef01…
10-16 05:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6dff9d…
10-15 05:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x169889…
10-14 07:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d4fce…
10-13 13:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc5fdd4…
10-13 04:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x7481e2…
10-12 01:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x750b89…
10-11 03:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe009cb…
10-08 05:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf61b98…
10-07 08:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf34226…
10-06 07:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe045e5…
10-04 07:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5c613…
10-03 02:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba8b76…
10-02 07:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3b11d…
10-02 03:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4966a…
10-01 05:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b8915…
09-30 09:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddcb69…
09-29 06:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x025559…
09-28 08:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6bc33…
09-27 02:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0355ac…
09-25 07:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53dc7d…
09-24 06:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03daff…
09-23 05:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb76b71…
09-22 01:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79610e…
09-21 08:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32b74a…
09-20 03:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1433e…
09-19 06:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdac8ea…
09-18 01:08:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x400dae…
09-17 01:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2ac9…
09-16 08:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3c6fc…
09-15 23:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa03deb…
09-15 02:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbeb80a…
09-14 00:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebba21…
09-13 12:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5264d…
09-12 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97b0dd…
09-11 01:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x711d70…
09-10 01:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27ca7c…
09-09 00:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df514…
09-08 01:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x142c27…
09-07 01:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd62e95…
09-06 07:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda8a97…
09-06 01:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0023f…
09-05 09:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72a55f…
09-04 08:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcf66f…
09-03 01:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x061d61…
09-01 01:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25e0c9…
08-30 00:12:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16c68b…
08-29 05:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41dda9…
08-28 01:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe823d0…
08-27 01:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8f0411…
08-26 02:00:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2cd88…
08-25 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63e431…
08-24 07:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ee836…
08-23 07:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6704f7…
08-22 01:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a2ae5…
08-21 01:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea33f5…
08-20 05:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54738b…
08-19 07:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71fc7d…
08-18 00:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85ecbf…
08-17 05:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ed1db…
08-16 01:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8670bf…
08-15 02:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7271be…
08-14 01:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f056f…
08-13 00:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9557b9…
08-12 00:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4204f2…
08-11 00:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb304a2…
08-10 00:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fecd2…
08-09 00:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2dd64…
08-08 00:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x503376…
08-07 00:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d5f30…
08-06 00:21:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbe791…
08-05 00:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b0897…
08-04 03:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6da1…
08-03 00:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe52a01…
08-02 00:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8494d8…
08-01 00:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x429caa…
07-31 07:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x069470…
07-30 00:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bf621…
07-29 00:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e67b2…
07-28 00:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3bfa8…
07-27 01:21:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x602166…
07-26 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc25de7…
07-26 01:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd78fda…
07-25 00:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb0b47…
07-24 01:16:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b3672…
07-23 00:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff9dd0…
07-22 01:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb87162…
07-20 23:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae1fde…
07-19 22:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56c9b4…
07-18 22:01:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb3263…
07-17 23:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3895f4…