Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$618

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-16 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 40% -$67

Politics

3% 0% -$9

Other

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$39	41	41	+0	Down	-$3	10-16 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC	4	$30	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	10-13 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$27	40	40	+0	Down	-$4	10-16 03:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	4	$26	25	25	+0	Up	-$6	10-13 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$25	36	36	+0	Up	-$5	10-16 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	10-16 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	10-16 02:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	2	$21	27	27	+0	Up	-$1	10-13 20:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$20	39	39	+0	Yes	-$9	10-04 23:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:55 UTC	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	10-13 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$18	21	21	+0	Down	-$3	10-16 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2PM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	Up	-$2	10-13 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	10-09 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$16	40	40	-0	Down	-$15	10-16 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:20 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	10-13 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	10-09 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$15	25	25	+0	Up	-$11	10-16 03:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	2	$14	30	30	+0	Up	-$4	10-13 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	Down	-$1	10-16 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 03:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	10-13 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 03:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-05 03:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	10-09 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-09 15:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:50 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	10-13 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$8	15	15	+0	Up	-$7	10-09 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	-$2	10-16 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 03:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 03:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x8ca75f…
10-16 03:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x625acc…
10-16 03:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xf87f7a…
10-16 03:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xa67e72…
10-16 03:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbce4ce…
10-16 03:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa46eed…
10-16 03:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xb82fc8…
10-16 03:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x381f34…
10-16 03:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x08750c…
10-16 03:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x02b5f0…
10-16 03:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4e623c…
10-16 03:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	35	48¢	$17	0x9b771b…
10-16 03:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x791bb9…
10-16 03:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x1d9dda…
10-16 03:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x65c93c…
10-16 03:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3cf4f9…
10-16 03:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x272784…
10-16 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0xdce87d…
10-16 03:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xc018ee…
10-16 03:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x2112e3…
10-16 03:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36f563…
10-16 03:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xbb0fbf…
10-16 03:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x4b0d49…
10-16 03:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xdc7ff4…
10-16 03:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee90c4…
10-16 03:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7dc778…
10-16 03:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x6c4f1e…
10-16 03:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x550ac4…
10-16 03:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x798bc7…
10-16 03:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7e73ec…
10-16 03:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf3f963…
10-16 03:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa130c1…
10-16 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x23ae81…
10-16 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x5cb25e…
10-16 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe64818…
10-16 02:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x3c557e…
10-16 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x9e1003…
10-16 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8028ec…
10-16 02:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x49f0b6…
10-16 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1c6817…
10-16 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xd4cae0…
10-16 02:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x49e67c…
10-16 02:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xe2dfbc…
10-16 02:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xab25e9…
10-16 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xb54620…
10-16 02:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x792bab…
10-16 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3fadef…
10-16 02:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x05d00f…
10-16 02:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x05aad3…
10-16 02:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x1b8d41…
10-16 02:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0021d2…
10-13 20:09:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf57485…
10-13 20:08:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x34e58a…
10-13 20:05:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe88259…
10-13 20:03:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x8090bd…
10-13 20:03:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x577578…
10-13 20:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0xd0c397…
10-13 20:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x202ed5…
10-13 19:58:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x4abb27…
10-13 19:58:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x0577b6…
10-13 19:57:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x7ee991…
10-13 19:56:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x31df24…
10-13 19:55:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x50c736…
10-13 19:54:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xe663be…
10-13 19:52:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x3fa499…
10-13 19:51:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x2d9a6c…
10-13 19:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x4fe299…
10-13 19:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf0fc0d…
10-13 19:40:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0xfac75a…
10-13 19:36:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb27411…
10-13 19:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5972d3…
10-13 19:21:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x195c8e…
10-13 19:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaf4727…
10-13 19:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x0768c8…
10-13 19:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x973a88…
10-13 18:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0683bc…
10-13 18:56:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x00cc1f…
10-13 18:54:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xddcf23…
10-13 18:53:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xd27ffc…
10-13 18:49:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf66ef5…
10-13 18:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x90dc32…
10-13 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1fd0a4…
10-09 16:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xf51cd9…
10-09 16:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe5e120…
10-09 16:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xfc1fee…
10-09 15:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x77561c…
10-09 15:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0b52e9…
10-09 15:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe6736f…
10-09 15:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc4e1ae…
10-09 15:03:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x8602f8…
10-09 15:02:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x7df4e5…
10-09 15:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xe765be…
10-09 15:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xdfe41a…
10-09 15:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x59c687…
10-09 15:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf69fa8…
10-09 14:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd75c38…
10-09 14:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xecb492…
10-09 14:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x877c48…
10-09 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8bfdfc…
10-09 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x7160b6…