Grounded-Decoder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

3,289

Trades

15,767

lifetime

Volume

$79.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-30 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% -$1,677

Other

1% 23% -$128

Sports

0% 50% -$115

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes		-332	-$10	5¢	$-18	-$8	06-30 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:45 UTC	41	$322	364	299	+66	Up	-$115	03-29 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	53	$298	470	0	+470	Up	-$68	03-28 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:40 UTC	38	$247	311	0	+311	Down	+$38	03-28 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:55 UTC	64	$240	413	0	+413	Down	-$5	03-28 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:35 UTC	37	$237	326	0	+326	Down	+$43	03-28 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:40 UTC	42	$236	429	0	+429	Up	-$176	03-29 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:45 UTC	39	$226	321	0	+321	Down	+$70	03-28 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:15 UTC	49	$221	475	0	+475	Down	+$56	03-29 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:20 UTC	47	$220	380	0	+380	Down	+$54	03-29 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:35 UTC	37	$219	532	0	+532	Up	+$63	03-29 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:55 UTC	32	$214	283	0	+283	Up	+$25	03-28 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:45 UTC	41	$212	342	0	+342	Down	+$14	03-28 11:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:30 UTC	36	$206	302	0	+302	Up	+$3	03-19 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:55 UTC	41	$203	414	271	+143	Up	-$59	03-28 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:30 UTC	40	$202	433	0	+433	Down	-$113	03-29 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:00 UTC	50	$195	362	0	+362	Down	+$15	03-29 10:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:05 UTC	14	$192	252	35	+218	Down	-$147	03-27 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:50 UTC	40	$189	324	0	+324	Down	-$128	03-29 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:45 UTC	30	$184	284	0	+284	Down	-$153	03-28 16:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:20 UTC	29	$179	310	0	+310	Up	-$24	03-17 10:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:35 UTC	13	$177	249	64	+185	Down	+$35	03-27 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:25 UTC	40	$177	358	0	+358	Up	+$155	03-29 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:10 UTC	26	$176	302	0	+302	Up	-$9	03-27 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:15 UTC	35	$176	271	0	+271	Up	+$67	03-28 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:10 UTC	39	$170	241	0	+241	Up	+$51	03-28 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 12:05 UTC	33	$170	227	0	+227	Up	-$143	03-28 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:00 UTC	43	$167	369	0	+369	Up	+$29	03-29 11:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:00 UTC	8	$167	189	0	+189	Down	+$17	03-26 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:30 UTC	20	$166	183	166	+17	Down	-$38	03-27 22:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:45 UTC	8	$166	205	0	+205	Down	-$130	03-27 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:06:16	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	332	3¢	$10	0x29adba…
06-11 22:48:54	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31,555	0¢	$126	0x9f1b9a…
05-24 21:52:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xee0a48…
05-24 21:52:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x80f9e7…
05-24 21:52:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x6e3f1c…
05-24 21:52:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x218379…
05-24 21:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xf8d0ad…
05-24 21:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x7cefdf…
05-24 21:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	43¢	$10	0xcd7cd7…
05-24 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x748a88…
05-24 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb134fe…
05-24 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x96b521…
05-24 20:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb5e06e…
05-24 20:32:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xb4b9c3…
05-24 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x484021…
05-24 20:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$5	0x12728b…
05-24 20:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3f5f38…
05-24 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x9b0607…
05-24 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x2cb379…
05-24 17:32:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x355dc4…
05-24 17:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xf4794c…
05-24 17:32:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd8da83…
05-24 17:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x37048b…
05-24 17:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xb6a9a3…
05-24 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x9ff542…
05-24 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0xa3f8fd…
05-23 18:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x34339b…
05-23 18:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xc703f6…
05-23 18:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x9baa19…
05-23 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x643d32…
05-23 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x1710f3…
05-23 13:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$9	0x09c1a0…
05-23 13:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x102534…
05-23 12:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x6aec9f…
05-23 01:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0x5017ff…
05-23 01:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xbc41f4…
05-23 01:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x7055c5…
05-23 01:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x75ef96…
05-23 01:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x4fa612…
05-23 00:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x8fe2b8…
05-18 09:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xbaad57…
05-18 09:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x6e3c25…
05-18 09:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x50b4e2…
05-18 09:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x475fdb…
05-18 08:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xda5387…
05-15 11:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x47c728…
05-15 10:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4ce37b…
05-15 10:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa4b65a…
05-15 10:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xe29812…
05-15 10:32:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfdc263…
05-15 10:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x213dc3…
05-15 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x50156a…
05-15 07:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x747b94…
05-15 07:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x9d597b…
05-15 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x7e0405…
05-15 07:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0xb90180…
05-15 06:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xce3d70…
05-15 06:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x2ca126…
05-15 06:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$5	0x6a97e1…
05-12 15:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x03f13c…
05-12 14:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xf31dfb…
05-12 14:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x87cf3b…
05-12 14:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x335d29…
05-12 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x40b7cc…
05-12 14:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7bf28b…
05-12 14:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x97c8af…
05-12 14:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0xaf8cc7…
05-12 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x305051…
05-12 14:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xba70d9…
05-12 06:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xaad0b7…
05-12 06:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0xe17c6b…
05-12 06:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xee7689…
05-12 06:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xe2c2e5…
05-12 06:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x5f765d…
05-12 05:52:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfd40ed…
05-12 05:52:00	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xeafe52…
05-11 07:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$5	0x58b6fb…
05-11 07:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x366cb7…
05-11 07:02:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x6cc1bf…
05-11 07:02:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x637842…
05-11 06:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1b2b90…
05-11 06:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0xaf50ae…
05-10 16:52:02	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xe15dc2…
05-10 16:52:00	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xa56fc7…
05-10 16:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc73399…
05-10 16:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb36e8f…
05-10 16:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xeb99c8…
05-10 16:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xc646e7…
05-10 16:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xd59cc0…
05-10 16:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	58¢	$7	0x6db971…
05-10 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x06ba4f…
05-10 16:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$5	0x46d2c2…
05-10 16:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x40e248…
05-10 16:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdcb69c…
05-10 15:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xa2b278…
05-10 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb4f552…
05-09 18:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x126a44…
05-09 14:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x17c9a7…
05-09 14:12:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xee6de7…
05-09 13:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x3c72f9…