Vivacious-Pioneer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,461 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.03K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-27 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 44% -$81

Other

9% 28% -$13

Politics

5% 24% -$20

Sports

1% 20% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+5	$0	42¢	$2	+$2	10-27 19:51
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-23 14:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 19	12	$37	39	31	+8	Yes	+$6	04-19 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	3	$35	24	19	+5	Up	$0	05-11 19:55
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	13	$34	33	25	+8	No	-$1	04-20 21:12
will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 18	13	$31	50	33	+16	No	+$2	04-19 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	11	$29	29	21	+7	Up	-$2	05-28 11:56
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 17	11	$28	28	22	+5	Yes	+$1	04-17 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	8	$27	29	24	+5	Up	-$3	05-28 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	10	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	12	$25	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 21:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	9	$24	27	15	+11	Down	-$6	06-04 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	7	$23	23	13	+10	Down	$0	05-11 20:54
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	6	$23	23	14	+9	No	+$1	04-17 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	9	$21	26	19	+7	Down	+$1	05-28 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	9	$21	23	18	+5	Down	-$2	05-13 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25?	12	$20	26	15	+11	No	+$4	04-25 21:08
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	8	$20	18	18	+0	No	-$2	03-20 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-30 19:36
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	8	$18	15	10	+5	Yes	+$0	04-22 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 5?	8	$18	24	10	+14	No	-$1	05-05 15:44
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	8	$17	14	12	+2	No	+$1	05-02 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	7	$17	16	10	+5	Down	-$1	05-27 13:39
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 12:00 UTC	7	$17	17	7	+10	Up	-$2	06-04 15:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$16	163	163	+0	No	-$6	01-25 15:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$16	1,244	1,101	+143	Yes	$0	04-07 21:10
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 12:00 UTC	7	$16	17	10	+7	Up	+$2	06-20 15:08
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	4	$15	9	8	+0	No	+$1	04-22 06:09
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26?	3	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$2	04-27 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	5	$15	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-27 07:38
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	8	$15	22	7	+14	Up	-$2	05-27 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$15	18	9	+9	Down	+$1	06-02 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:51:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xef437b…
10-23 14:55:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd82a86…
09-30 11:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xbf748a…
09-30 11:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3b57bf…
09-30 11:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf52eb6…
09-29 09:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf1297c…
09-29 09:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f979c…
09-29 08:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd10220…
09-28 12:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe60436…
09-28 12:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x41b268…
09-28 12:25:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3e3fa0…
09-28 12:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc4ba38…
09-28 12:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xca0f31…
09-28 11:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x460993…
09-28 11:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x134183…
09-28 08:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x085589…
09-05 14:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6c0c90…
09-05 11:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xce79e0…
09-05 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c236e…
09-05 11:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1d2d3c…
09-05 09:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf105fe…
09-05 09:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x00effb…
09-05 09:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c7f3d…
09-05 09:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x574754…
09-05 09:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb77229…
09-05 09:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x25122d…
09-05 07:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc279d5…
09-05 07:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x8e23c1…
09-05 07:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x6b4a3f…
09-05 07:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x6b0aa9…
09-05 03:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe32c0…
09-04 18:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x063c73…
09-04 17:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf4a3ed…
09-04 17:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7b71c4…
09-04 17:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7127e7…
09-04 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00c536…
09-04 08:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xce01db…
09-04 08:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xb49075…
09-04 08:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x83d622…
09-04 08:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xab02cf…
09-04 08:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf39342…
09-04 08:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8b2c15…
09-04 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xf7bffe…
09-04 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x0642cf…
09-04 07:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3c1b18…
09-04 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x36c191…
09-04 07:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xae5ee0…
09-04 07:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1281ae…
09-04 07:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x730127…
09-04 07:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x74ca16…
09-04 01:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x406eca…
09-03 21:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6fe5c4…
09-03 21:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9d69bb…
09-03 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xacf455…
09-03 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x863218…
09-03 21:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1f063d…
09-03 21:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x25f8e1…
09-03 21:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xcaca6c…
09-03 21:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xae919c…
09-03 21:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9deafd…
09-03 21:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcaff73…
09-03 20:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x606a0b…
09-03 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb7bd52…
09-03 07:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x268a75…
09-03 07:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x528365…
08-29 02:20:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x408d72…
08-28 02:31:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x44109e…
08-27 01:14:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0d1014…
08-24 01:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x670591…
08-23 03:30:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-23 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x554d09…
08-22 00:43:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4f9de9…
08-20 03:04:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xf7dd69…
08-20 03:03:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x5e9d4a…
08-19 15:38:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0a6c8a…
08-19 00:15:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x192338…
08-19 00:15:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xac88ff…
08-18 15:45:46	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1c4a56…
08-18 15:45:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba9280…
08-18 05:58:24	Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x09aa11…
08-18 00:40:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe5daac…
08-17 17:29:19	Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x41e184…
08-17 09:57:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2e7c97…
08-16 13:25:15	Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x751be1…
08-16 07:55:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89a218…
08-14 10:17:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8814d3…
08-14 03:35:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xc14f5f…
08-14 03:35:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a7310…
08-13 06:46:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2fe1e1…
08-12 06:33:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7fc7d7…
08-12 01:01:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x663c57…
08-11 10:01:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcbedec…
08-10 23:44:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x156ba2…
08-10 09:01:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2e7a9…
08-10 00:11:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ab343…
08-09 08:43:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x597ec7…
08-08 10:36:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a8a15…
08-08 03:19:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6e86dc…
08-07 18:21:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x703475…
08-07 02:15:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x92dc3f…
08-06 10:07:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb18b51…