Creamy-Cupboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

539

lifetime

Volume

$7.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

87% 55% +$136

Politics

7% 61% +$5

Crypto

4% 55% +$1

Sports

2% 40% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+20	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-03 01:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	80	$2.6K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	+$20	09-14 16:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	49	$2.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$34	09-14 18:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	14	$698	700	700	+0	Yes	+$46	10-14 15:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$506	500	500	+0	No	+$28	10-14 15:30
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$118	300	300	+0	Yes	+$2	09-20 02:50
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	09-21 18:23
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	11	$83	32,010	31,010	+1,000	No	-$1	01-04 00:49
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	9	$71	71	60	+11	Yes	-$2	04-07 02:29
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	31	$70	70	75	-5	No	+$2	01-12 21:09
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt3 by march 31	2	$43	38	38	+0	Yes	+$3	01-19 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$40	125	125	+0	Down	+$30	05-15 16:47
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	4	$26	21	21	+0	No	$0	09-05 22:08
2026 us senate election republican odds under 60 by march 31	4	$21	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	01-12 13:58
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	3	$21	12	12	+0	No	$0	02-27 04:40
Will Onyeka Okongwu win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	5	$21	27	10	+17	No	-$2	01-13 06:36
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	9	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$1	09-09 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	6	$19	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	10-08 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$19	71	71	+0	Up	+$9	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$19	62	62	+0	Up	+$9	05-15 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	6	$18	30	0	+30	Up	-$8	10-08 02:18
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	01-06 20:12
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	6	$18	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	01-06 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$17	30	0	+30	Down	-$2	10-08 01:18
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-12 17:50
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	8	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	01-06 05:10
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	01-06 05:10
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$15	15	15	+0	No	$0	01-06 23:21
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	6	$15	132	389	-257	No	+$6	01-12 08:14
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	6	$12	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	01-10 01:54
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	4	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-10 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 15:30:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x2029ef…
10-14 15:29:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x031478…
10-08 02:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf5b9fb…
10-08 02:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeba1a9…
10-08 02:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x50445b…
10-08 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfe0541…
10-08 02:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5f06c2…
10-08 02:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x990f96…
10-08 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcaf53d…
10-08 01:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa0f04a…
10-08 01:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d5097…
10-08 01:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf05a6e…
10-08 01:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x03b7a6…
10-08 01:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xeeedc1…
10-08 01:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4614e3…
10-08 01:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfb5eed…
10-08 00:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfebd10…
10-08 00:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8f6d25…
10-08 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbe797e…
10-08 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbce01a…
10-08 00:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5c61e0…
10-08 00:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ff6bf…
10-08 00:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7b9488…
10-08 00:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x72b6e8…
10-07 23:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4fc9b3…
10-07 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x9e8212…
10-07 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x784be6…
10-07 22:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x902d53…
10-07 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfacfb5…
10-07 22:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x731736…
10-07 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x308f65…
10-07 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeb117c…
10-07 21:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x656a66…
10-07 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe86af9…
10-07 20:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2305e1…
10-07 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe5c0d7…
10-01 13:50:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xa423a1…
10-01 07:22:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x1c388f…
09-30 18:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xf9a9fc…
09-30 18:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x629eeb…
09-30 13:39:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xac268e…
09-30 13:23:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x3a0509…
09-23 23:13:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xe55296…
09-23 21:21:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x8706e9…
09-23 21:21:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x4ab51a…
09-21 20:04:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x08f29a…
09-21 18:23:34	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x6f745f…
09-21 00:32:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xc61335…
09-20 22:10:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xad1992…
09-20 19:56:02	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x630052…
09-20 12:24:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xb92095…
09-20 08:10:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x111f20…
09-20 02:50:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x7c3f4c…
09-19 23:39:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe94819…
09-19 23:37:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x70e5d6…
09-19 23:37:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x49ee78…
09-19 21:55:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xd31db4…
09-19 21:31:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x059f62…
09-19 20:56:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x7bfcfb…
09-18 21:05:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02d3d6…
09-18 16:08:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbac073…
09-18 16:08:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x24e317…
09-18 15:31:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x11f4e3…
09-18 08:57:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x365609…
09-18 08:57:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x365609…
09-17 23:09:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbfafc3…
09-17 22:21:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x83b944…
09-17 17:59:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x8d276a…
09-17 12:15:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb61716…
09-17 11:59:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x4c67fc…
09-17 10:23:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf04655…
09-17 01:38:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x3aed14…
09-16 23:22:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd292d7…
09-15 02:56:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0ee7fd…
09-14 18:16:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xf112c8…
09-14 16:31:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd7d3ba…
09-14 16:28:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xd49e7d…
09-14 16:24:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc6faa0…
09-14 06:43:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x91cb24…
09-14 01:59:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x7a4147…
09-14 01:51:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x0abc18…
09-14 01:34:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xae518d…
09-14 00:51:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xe52d2f…
09-13 22:46:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x95de9f…
09-13 11:42:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xe95970…
09-13 11:04:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x3f04f0…
09-13 02:07:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0xe8bd9c…
09-13 02:06:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcc68c8…
09-12 18:25:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x60b251…
09-12 17:18:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x568dff…
09-12 16:06:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0086b4…
09-12 15:59:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xfdc43f…
09-12 15:43:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x1a51b1…
09-12 15:21:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xda8ecf…
09-12 14:52:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xa5b388…
09-12 14:11:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x70cfb7…
09-12 12:52:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x26eb3f…
09-12 12:12:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x127266…
09-12 12:10:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x62602a…
09-12 05:36:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xa6b008…