Damp-Deviance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

134

Trades

779

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% $-60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	9	$617	1,033	477	+556	Up	$-183	05-10 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$283	161	161	+0	Up	+$33	05-10 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$271	342	266	+76	Up	$-45	05-10 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$218	153	153	+0	Down	$-42	05-12 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$177	124	124	+0	Down	+$67	05-10 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$150	206	0	+206	Down	+$56	05-10 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$141	79	79	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$139	146	146	+0	Up	$-21	05-10 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$136	71	71	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$125	203	0	+203	Down	$-125	05-10 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	7	$119	101	78	+23	Down	$-11	05-13 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$119	70	70	+0	Up	+$19	05-10 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$115	61	61	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$115	147	0	+147	Down	$-14	05-10 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$107	97	97	+0	Up	$-13	05-12 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$105	117	0	+117	Up	+$12	05-10 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$103	68	68	+0	open	—	05-15 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$100	129	0	+129	Up	+$29	05-10 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$98	56	56	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$97	54	54	+0	open	—	05-15 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$97	54	54	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$93	55	55	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$89	69	69	+0	Up	$-11	05-12 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$86	81	81	+0	open	—	05-14 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$85	61	39	+22	open	—	05-15 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$84	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$83	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$82	58	58	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$81	49	49	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	6	$80	94	50	+44	Up	$-40	05-12 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 01:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc02e2d…
05-16 01:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x938ba5…
05-16 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0xe9ecee…
05-16 01:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfc7045…
05-16 01:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0f51c6…
05-16 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$24	0xffad1c…
05-16 01:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x181a2b…
05-16 01:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x509229…
05-16 01:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcccd25…
05-16 01:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x981afa…
05-16 01:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4fa611…
05-16 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xd53c70…
05-16 01:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9420b8…
05-16 01:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdad714…
05-16 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6f3c3b…
05-16 01:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xfa074e…
05-16 01:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4a08cb…
05-16 01:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0xcc9c3b…
05-16 01:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xec0b15…
05-16 01:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb4a187…
05-16 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb54a31…
05-16 01:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x34768a…
05-16 01:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0xc13987…
05-16 01:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x254606…
05-16 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd13c63…
05-16 01:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xeec67c…
05-16 01:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x45bdf1…
05-15 22:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xcbcfa9…
05-15 22:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x5a98f0…
05-15 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5c1b9b…
05-15 22:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe888d9…
05-15 22:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	96¢	$30	0x305668…
05-15 22:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x49f7c1…
05-15 22:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x2d94f2…
05-15 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x21b599…
05-15 22:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2b1653…
05-15 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x6a07ee…
05-15 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x546f50…
05-15 22:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfcecb0…
05-15 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7e0d48…
05-15 22:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0x590a92…
05-15 22:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xafcf4e…
05-15 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xae90de…
05-15 22:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xe3aa30…
05-15 22:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xf55fd0…
05-15 22:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xbb98bf…
05-15 22:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb1620b…
05-15 22:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xdb34e8…
05-15 22:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb6ff73…
05-15 22:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xcc4fd5…
05-15 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x36ee70…
05-15 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0xb16464…
05-15 22:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x2d676f…
05-15 22:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x48eb17…
05-15 22:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x25ed91…
05-15 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xcaa6e4…
05-15 22:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe19570…
05-15 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5ff356…
05-15 22:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfaac40…
05-15 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe17aa8…
05-15 22:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	87¢	$25	0x405f66…
05-15 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x3d96d1…
05-15 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8a066c…
05-15 21:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1c9d3f…
05-15 21:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x6a87ed…
05-15 21:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	76¢	$16	0xacb00e…
05-15 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd0e393…
05-15 21:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7cf252…
05-15 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xed34d3…
05-15 21:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf3b4ad…
05-15 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	39	88¢	$35	0x90bc38…
05-15 21:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x90907a…
05-15 21:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x4103bc…
05-15 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x5853d4…
05-15 21:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xbb62ac…
05-15 21:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xece82d…
05-15 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf34d1c…
05-15 21:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x69c125…
05-15 21:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xeb8144…
05-15 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x23403e…
05-15 21:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xe2c590…
05-15 21:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x20d795…
05-15 21:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xaaa41a…
05-15 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xd126d9…
05-15 21:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8598b5…
05-15 21:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5e72fa…
05-15 21:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x13419a…
05-15 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xef4efe…
05-15 21:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xedacf2…
05-15 21:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x68a161…
05-15 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf2b6c9…
05-15 21:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x0152d4…
05-15 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x53d66d…
05-15 21:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xa59bc3…
05-15 21:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x12e8c1…
05-15 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x6e7c5e…
05-15 21:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x97e15b…
05-15 21:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbdc595…
05-15 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2bb17e…
05-15 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2d279f…