Merry-Composite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$629

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-14 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 83% +$2,813

Other

35% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$10.5K	6,262	6,262	+0	open	—	04-12 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$3.3K	2,650	2,650	+0	Down	+$1,390	05-13 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$3.0K	2,302	2,302	+0	Down	+$1,072	05-14 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2.7K	1,724	1,724	+0	Down	+$706	05-13 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$2.2K	1,541	1,541	+0	Up	+$267	05-14 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$2.0K	1,628	1,628	+0	Down	+$324	05-13 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$1.9K	5,236	0	+5,236	open	—	05-14 16:22
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$1.5K	815	815	+0	open	—	04-12 23:59
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$981	769	769	+0	open	—	04-14 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$955	2,529	0	+2,529	open	—	05-14 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$946	2,790	0	+2,790	Up	$-946	05-14 02:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$528	339	339	+0	open	—	04-12 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$328	2,062	0	+2,062	open	—	05-14 16:56
will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$319	251	251	+0	open	—	04-14 01:18
btc updown 5m 1775859600	3	$275	165	161	+4	open	—	04-10 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	974	17¢	$168	0xfae52b…
05-14 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,088	15¢	$160	0x1a884d…
05-14 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	181	42¢	$76	0xef6f71…
05-14 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2,033	36¢	$742	0x74848e…
05-14 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,215	40¢	$485	0x6b38d6…
05-14 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,806	33¢	$597	0x6b2b42…
05-14 13:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,414	36¢	$511	0xad6d1b…
05-14 13:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,115	40¢	$444	0x93c615…
05-14 02:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1,103	82¢	$900	0xa99ebb…
05-14 02:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	438	77¢	$337	0x569ec3…
05-14 02:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	698	65¢	$455	0x2bb02f…
05-14 02:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	844	61¢	$515	0x230f9e…
05-14 02:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,139	30¢	$346	0xd2c48e…
05-14 02:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,272	36¢	$456	0x4fd701…
05-14 02:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	379	38¢	$144	0x1cb0b5…
05-14 01:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1,366	90¢	$1,223	0xfffa93…
05-14 01:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	936	86¢	$801	0x71edc8…
05-14 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,293	44¢	$566	0xdc691b…
05-14 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x65624a…
05-14 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	951	38¢	$357	0x05dae7…
05-13 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1,476	85¢	$1,259	0xba3a48…
05-13 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1,174	95¢	$1,111	0xa2623a…
05-13 23:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,336	35¢	$463	0x525867…
05-13 23:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,314	39¢	$517	0x265446…
05-13 23:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	981	73¢	$716	0xe987f6…
05-13 23:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	646	69¢	$446	0x12950e…
05-13 23:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,323	51¢	$671	0x6159a5…
05-13 23:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	305	55¢	$167	0x5895bc…
05-13 15:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1,724	99¢	$1,706	0x9c5a97…
05-13 15:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0xb95dae…
04-14 01:18:25	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	SELL	251	56¢	$140	0x08cdda…
04-14 01:18:03	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	769	56¢	$431	0xfbb70c…
04-13 17:26:15	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	251	71¢	$179	0xdb562f…
04-13 17:11:35	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	769	72¢	$550	0x9e3858…
04-12 23:59:15	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	815	90¢	$737	0x4e13f5…
04-12 23:35:35	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	815	95¢	$778	0x81ea5c…
04-12 18:43:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x2c7dce…
04-12 18:42:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3,136	96¢	$3,013	0x3a74fd…
04-12 16:43:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xeb360d…
04-12 13:41:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3,136	85¢	$2,650	0x66a168…
04-12 12:54:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3,127	83¢	$2,595	0x4363c3…
04-12 12:53:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	310	82¢	$254	0xe7c331…
04-11 02:28:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x262cbd…
04-10 22:26:05	btc updown 5m 1775859600	Down	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x5c4be8…
04-10 22:23:57	btc updown 5m 1775859600	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa8e6f6…
04-10 22:23:29	btc updown 5m 1775859600	Down	BUY	158	70¢	$110	0xecb240…
04-10 22:20:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe35b3d…
04-10 22:18:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	169	71¢	$120	0xf8cb0b…
04-10 22:16:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x9a860b…
04-10 22:09:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2,817	71¢	$2,000	0xda323f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	10	$237.3K	221	05-14 16:58
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	10	$12.9K	1,315	05-14 16:56
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	10	$7.82K	1,645	05-14 16:58
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	10	$7.64K	473	05-14 17:00
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	10	$7.03K	522	05-14 16:56
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$4.41K	454	05-14 16:57
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$4.32K	207	05-14 16:57
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$4.13K	207	05-14 16:57