Bad-Researcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

298

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:52
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:22
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 06:28
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:24
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:20
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:45
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:08
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 05:39
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:08
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:59
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:52
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8b883…
10-28 15:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a9c03…
10-27 16:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfbf543…
10-27 07:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce8ef4…
10-26 04:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf25a67…
10-24 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5907b1…
10-22 09:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcb2ba…
10-20 04:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x531795…
10-19 06:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96e871…
10-18 07:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x97f193…
10-17 07:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x107e20…
10-16 05:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26faf7…
10-15 05:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x852599…
10-14 07:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1849aa…
10-13 13:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17e818…
10-13 04:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaac3ec…
10-12 01:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x791464…
10-11 01:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d1ba7…
10-08 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75163f…
10-07 08:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ece80…
10-06 15:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62ad49…
10-06 05:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd9e98…
10-04 07:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54321c…
10-03 00:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4708b2…
10-02 07:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89871f…
10-02 03:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29a01e…
10-01 05:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x409b75…
09-30 09:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7546e1…
09-29 06:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70eb6c…
09-28 07:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2a938…
09-27 11:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cd3e4…
09-26 10:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbaded5…
09-25 07:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96fa67…
09-24 06:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed135d…
09-23 05:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7691cd…
09-22 01:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e49e2…
09-21 08:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba8dde…
09-20 02:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1330d…
09-19 06:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x540020…
09-18 01:07:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe83305…
09-17 01:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x770f3f…
09-16 08:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc58a98…
09-15 23:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11709b…
09-15 02:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x992c1f…
09-14 00:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x697009…
09-13 12:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2c04…
09-12 06:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xace95e…
09-11 01:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13a7ab…
09-10 01:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5d251…
09-09 00:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e536a…
09-08 01:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x001d12…
09-07 01:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb23a91…
09-06 07:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95616c…
09-06 01:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b0374…
09-05 09:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23d2cd…
09-04 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfea172…
09-03 01:09:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99fd71…
09-01 01:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d429a…
08-30 00:11:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x999bbe…
08-29 05:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf82796…
08-28 01:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91fb87…
08-27 01:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0e961b…
08-26 01:59:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x999b25…
08-25 08:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15fffa…
08-24 07:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258a42…
08-23 07:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2e14…
08-22 01:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2f619…
08-21 01:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1352ff…
08-20 05:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75fa70…
08-19 06:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3b916…
08-18 00:12:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x676b19…
08-17 05:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x451b3c…
08-16 01:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0060a8…
08-15 02:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68b056…
08-14 01:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cc0f4…
08-13 00:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23296b…
08-12 00:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc53649…
08-11 00:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22d328…
08-10 00:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x215703…
08-09 00:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cd08e…
08-08 00:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x979a31…
08-07 00:15:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29af01…
08-06 00:20:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x550a25…
08-05 00:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92b8f0…
08-04 03:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5f562…
08-03 00:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed0eb1…
08-02 00:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef02c3…
08-01 00:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aca25…
07-31 01:00:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e5df1…
07-30 00:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa544e8…
07-29 00:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48fb14…
07-28 00:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb85c6…
07-27 01:19:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a49cf…
07-26 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea3bf4…
07-26 00:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb30df7…
07-25 00:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c0c6c…
07-24 01:15:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fcd9b…
07-23 00:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bd5ad…
07-22 01:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2cebe…
07-20 23:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e4de6…