Insignificant-Elephant-Tripod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$173

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-13 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 83% +$28

Other

9% 0% $-201

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$201	201,000	0	+201,000	Yes	$-201	05-04 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$111	59	59	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$110	56	56	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$99	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$80	93	0	+93	open	—	04-30 22:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$1	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	04-30 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	04-30 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	04-30 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$61	72	0	+72	open	—	05-01 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$60	75	0	+75	open	—	04-30 21:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$51	55	0	+55	Down	+$4	05-13 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-30 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$45	0	84	-84	Up	+$3	05-12 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$41	44	0	+44	open	—	05-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	05-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$40	46	0	+46	open	—	05-01 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	05-01 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	05-12 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-13 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$36	55	0	+55	open	—	05-01 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$31	40	0	+40	open	—	05-01 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$31	37	0	+37	open	—	05-01 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	05-01 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	05-01 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-01 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$26	28	0	+28	open	—	05-01 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x61d257…
05-13 16:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x526a3e…
05-13 16:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x41ed7f…
05-13 16:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	89¢	$53	0x28df11…
05-13 14:43:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x90c19f…
05-13 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x324bff…
05-13 14:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbf1862…
05-13 13:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0x263fa8…
05-13 13:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0x20d393…
05-13 13:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf942af…
05-13 13:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe60ffe…
05-13 12:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8913ca…
05-13 12:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd12ff8…
05-13 12:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd70e36…
05-13 12:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa3d286…
05-13 11:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x29f347…
05-13 11:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1f56f9…
05-13 11:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb58bbb…
05-13 11:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xbfda0a…
05-13 10:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xe39ed4…
05-13 10:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x508590…
05-13 10:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x21ee3c…
05-13 09:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x30a64c…
05-13 07:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe78e6d…
05-13 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf9d138…
05-12 21:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xff322d…
05-12 21:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x6fe810…
05-12 13:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x9e4393…
05-12 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xf21a2e…
05-12 13:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xd49743…
05-12 13:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x17916d…
05-12 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xbde5a8…
05-05 22:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x90c521…
05-05 22:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc8f91d…
05-05 22:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9077c6…
05-05 22:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1bec65…
05-05 22:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x95556a…
05-05 22:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x673175…
05-05 22:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x78a49b…
05-05 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdc77ce…
05-05 22:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x260dfc…
05-05 22:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x20749f…
05-05 21:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x3e8cca…
05-05 21:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb95076…
05-05 21:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x9aa4fa…
05-05 21:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x47804f…
05-05 21:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xef8671…
05-05 21:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x003602…
05-05 21:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xf8f1ca…
05-05 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a497b…
05-05 20:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xac58ba…
05-05 20:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x455741…
05-05 20:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x838903…
05-05 20:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3d82b2…
05-05 20:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7b3da9…
05-05 19:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x7ab668…
05-05 19:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x95507d…
05-05 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xf7325b…
05-05 18:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe85963…
05-05 18:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xd62cb1…
05-05 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xec2be9…
05-05 18:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xdfea68…
05-05 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xb2ff3f…
05-05 18:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xb2fe1b…
05-05 17:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xccf92a…
05-05 17:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xfdcffd…
05-05 17:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x5a4f1e…
05-05 17:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xa747d5…
05-05 17:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x40d096…
05-05 16:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x6632ce…
05-05 16:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x55201f…
05-05 15:49:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x6d7442…
05-05 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x00a764…
05-05 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xa038a3…
05-05 12:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x71df32…
05-05 11:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc3dcd…
05-05 10:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x720f55…
05-05 10:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4c7396…
05-04 20:07:24	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	200,000	0¢	$200	0xc6ffad…
05-04 19:29:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x15e3a4…
05-04 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x3f1b86…
05-04 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x3908d6…
05-04 18:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xccbde5…
05-04 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x36f695…
05-04 17:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcdbbb0…
05-04 17:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd691fb…
05-04 17:25:14	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xb0e144…
05-04 17:22:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x8faad7…
05-03 11:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x06d32b…
05-03 11:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x67a8a7…
05-03 11:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x58a709…
05-03 11:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xaf5b33…
05-03 11:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xed6bd9…
05-03 11:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb43a69…
05-03 10:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x2165dd…
05-03 10:54:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5f2f5b…
05-03 10:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xad7e93…
05-03 10:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x0d6c87…
05-03 10:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x20df11…
05-03 10:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x026bcf…