Disgusting-Inside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$315

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

379

Trades

721

lifetime

Volume

$9.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-11 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

62% 57% -$260

Politics

25% 73% -$7

Crypto

8% 69% -$44

Tech

4% 50% -$7

Sports

1% 54% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$5	05-27 19:27
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2	$205	107	107	+0	Yes	+$6	06-19 00:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	8	$205	109	109	+0	No	+$6	06-15 22:16
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	03-12 12:16
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	2	$170	102	102	+0	No	+$33	07-14 12:30
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$155	286	0	+286	Yes	-$155	08-05 10:19
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	4	$150	100	100	+0	No	+$5	06-14 15:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$130	85	84	+1	No	+$16	04-06 07:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$127	144	0	+144	Yes	-$127	06-19 12:05
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of january 298	4	$119	73	73	+0	No	+$2	01-30 07:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?	2	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$1	06-10 19:58
will tisza win at least 120 seats	3	$113	123	100	+23	Yes	-$13	04-09 16:12
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$112	101	101	+0	No	+$42	04-21 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 3?	4	$110	56	56	+0	No	+$2	06-03 19:44
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$108	59	58	+0	No	+$8	04-26 07:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$106	72	72	+0	No	+$9	03-03 20:32
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	8	$102	56	56	+0	No	+$2	03-17 08:37
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	1	$101	596	0	+596	No	-$101	08-05 10:21
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	Yes	-$100	03-12 12:16
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$99	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	04-26 12:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$2	03-02 08:56
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	3	$85	46	46	+0	No	+$3	03-07 08:59
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	3	$84	51	51	+0	No	+$4	03-07 18:15
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	2	$84	47	47	+0	No	+$2	02-01 10:57
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	2	$83	43	43	+0	No	+$1	02-01 00:13
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	3	$83	48	48	+0	No	+$2	02-06 08:21
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$79	41	41	+0	No	+$3	03-06 02:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$79	49	49	+0	Yes	+$2	02-23 11:34
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$77	67	33	+33	Yes	+$11	03-15 12:01
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$77	553	53	+500	No	+$5	02-03 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 12:30:16	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x6828a8…
09-11 01:52:12	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xcea2cb…
09-11 01:52:12	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xbffc09…
09-11 01:52:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xa9f151…
09-11 01:52:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x872fbf…
09-11 01:52:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x11fdc0…
09-11 01:52:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x039517…
09-10 02:57:25	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xbc29f9…
09-09 15:58:37	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xc4cda7…
09-09 15:58:36	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7b9638…
09-06 14:04:45	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x93d6fc…
09-06 14:04:33	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xdf60c7…
09-05 07:31:36	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0x6e9a94…
09-03 11:32:10	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	113	11¢	$12	0x02b540…
09-03 11:31:21	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xdd0b76…
09-03 11:29:30	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x567cdf…
08-09 13:28:48	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0xad8337…
08-07 15:46:09	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	SELL	59	40¢	$24	0xdb22d5…
08-05 10:21:05	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	596	17¢	$101	0xbede41…
08-05 10:19:57	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	286	54¢	$155	0x740b03…
08-05 07:13:35	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	BUY	119	23¢	$27	0xf3d632…
07-22 06:00:18	Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x1fef75…
07-22 06:00:18	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x16e5e1…
07-22 02:20:36	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9b7497…
07-21 16:21:33	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xaa8f9f…
07-14 12:30:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xec39e9…
07-12 04:28:50	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x68d7b6…
07-12 04:28:49	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x431e1b…
07-06 21:05:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x37fea6…
07-01 21:09:25	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xbfa606…
06-30 13:48:23	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0xe7a30a…
06-30 13:48:11	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x6d9f68…
06-30 13:47:50	Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?	No	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0xbb2eb2…
06-30 13:19:11	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	No	BUY	102	67¢	$69	0x3d61f8…
06-30 13:18:29	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	215	13¢	$29	0xb7ad2b…
06-21 00:07:26	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x0ff4a1…
06-21 00:04:43	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	70¢	$14	0x519b8e…
06-20 16:22:53	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x937db3…
06-19 16:21:02	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbf21fd…
06-19 16:20:40	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x99f2e6…
06-19 16:19:52	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x1c0271…
06-19 12:05:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	144	88¢	$127	0x57acba…
06-19 11:59:25	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x681654…
06-19 04:42:52	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7a735b…
06-19 01:12:10	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x483523…
06-19 00:23:28	Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xe66001…
06-18 12:49:46	Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$99	0x144d1a…
06-18 10:28:17	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0d64fe…
06-18 06:01:23	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xe6e849…
06-16 18:13:26	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x26793f…
06-15 22:16:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x5e62d2…
06-15 13:22:24	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x17a37e…
06-15 06:18:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1afcab…
06-15 06:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x83262f…
06-15 06:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6edf48…
06-15 06:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 15?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcb07ea…
06-15 06:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x67c096…
06-15 06:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc03cfd…
06-14 23:00:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x0281bd…
06-14 21:36:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x53dd6a…
06-14 21:22:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xfc6beb…
06-14 15:30:21	Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x31c7e3…
06-14 15:23:06	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xf64fe0…
06-14 10:45:13	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x7ae2b9…
06-14 07:18:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x80a184…
06-13 19:11:42	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xee057a…
06-12 22:08:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xce0754…
06-12 22:08:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x3f10b4…
06-12 22:08:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0f372e…
06-12 16:53:37	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	No	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x39320b…
06-12 11:05:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xd4b251…
06-12 08:39:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x371429…
06-12 08:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcc8f5f…
06-12 08:02:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x789a87…
06-12 07:46:42	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x5818f1…
06-12 07:46:28	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x563cf0…
06-12 07:42:55	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	Yes	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0xc4654c…
06-11 19:41:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on June 11?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xa4271c…
06-11 18:59:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6187d8…
06-11 18:59:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on June 11?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2d3f23…
06-11 10:52:03	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xfe2da1…
06-11 10:50:22	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x18c995…
06-11 10:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf02a95…
06-11 10:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcca6dd…
06-11 08:23:22	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4489aa…
06-11 08:23:22	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$14	0x376635…
06-11 08:22:12	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x54f3ab…
06-11 06:37:18	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9c059c…
06-11 06:36:42	will martin degaard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd1aaab…
06-11 06:29:36	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x53d99f…
06-11 04:56:19	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x08ca56…
06-10 19:58:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x68887f…
06-10 18:23:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x923113…
06-10 18:21:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9d4801…
06-10 18:20:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf2f35c…
06-10 18:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe356fb…
06-10 15:57:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2ff0e7…
06-10 14:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x0923ef…
06-10 13:14:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x898097…
06-10 12:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?	No	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x4ffc20…