Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

442

Trades

1,661

lifetime

Volume

$87.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-31 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% -$5

Other

2% 56% +$151

Politics

1% 87% +$28

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	26	$4.2K	903	3,353	-2,450	Up	-$2	08-24 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	5	$4.0K	0	5,000	-5,000	Down	-$3	09-01 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:00 UTC	7	$2.8K	0	2,895	-2,895	Up	-$3	08-25 07:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 04:00 UTC	9	$2.7K	0	2,700	-2,700	Up	-$3	08-27 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 07:15 UTC	8	$2.5K	0	2,506	-2,506	Down	-$2	08-30 07:30
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	45	$2.3K	1,175	1,175	+0	Up	+$2	08-19 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 07:30 UTC	8	$2.3K	0	3,135	-3,135	Up	-$1	08-29 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	21	$2.3K	143	2,143	-2,000	Up	-$1	09-02 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	11	$2.2K	93	2,146	-2,053	Down	$0	09-02 09:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	34	$2.2K	1,155	1,155	+0	Up	-$25	08-21 11:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 04:00 UTC	39	$2.1K	975	1,375	-400	Down	+$1	08-22 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	14	$2.0K	19	2,861	-2,842	Up	-$1	09-02 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 08:45 UTC	2	$2.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	Down	-$2	08-26 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:10 UTC	6	$1.8K	0	2,048	-2,048	Up	-$2	08-31 11:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 08:00 UTC	2	$1.8K	0	1,825	-1,825	Up	-$2	08-28 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 08:15 UTC	4	$1.8K	0	1,812	-1,812	Up	-$2	08-28 08:29
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 3am et	6	$1.6K	824	824	+0	Down	+$0	08-28 07:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC	23	$1.6K	0	2,146	-2,146	Up	-$1	08-29 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	0	2,300	-2,300	Up	-$1	08-27 08:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 07:00 UTC	3	$1.3K	0	1,669	-1,669	Down	-$1	08-30 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$1.3K	150	1,150	-1,000	Up	-$1	08-23 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	24	$1.2K	625	625	+0	Up	+$0	08-20 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	6	$1.1K	0	2,124	-2,124	Up	+$0	09-04 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4AM ET	7	$1.0K	10	1,041	-1,031	Up	-$1	09-03 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	5	$1.0K	5	1,005	-1,000	Down	-$1	09-03 08:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	6	$1.0K	503	503	+0	Down	+$0	08-28 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	8	$1.0K	0	1,999	-1,999	Down	+$3	09-04 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$999	0	1,123	-1,123	Up	-$1	09-05 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$999	0	1,000	-1,000	Up	-$1	09-03 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$999	0	1,000	-1,000	Up	-$1	09-03 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:43:07	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfac661…
10-31 10:15:16	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb57d78…
10-31 10:15:15	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1fe1a…
10-31 10:15:10	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49c343…
10-31 10:15:09	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x854e79…
10-31 10:15:07	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeef441…
10-31 10:15:06	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95c862…
10-31 10:15:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e747b…
10-31 10:15:03	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff72a2…
10-31 10:15:01	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad5300…
10-31 10:15:00	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bc89d…
10-31 10:14:57	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x017f4b…
10-31 10:14:55	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c95d3…
10-31 10:14:54	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4483c6…
10-31 10:14:49	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x682419…
10-31 10:14:48	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72fa67…
10-31 10:14:46	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbd750…
10-31 10:14:45	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc1785…
10-31 10:14:43	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x399150…
10-31 10:14:42	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x206d9a…
10-31 10:14:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe200e7…
10-31 06:55:22	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7cc82c…
10-31 06:55:21	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c5810…
10-30 23:59:37	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe61589…
10-30 23:58:00	Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x16c451…
10-30 23:57:24	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf9854b…
10-30 23:48:07	Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc74cb6…
10-30 22:31:30	Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x132a96…
10-30 22:31:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xcc8fc7…
10-30 22:31:27	Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x9d8a6e…
10-30 22:31:25	Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xe99252…
10-30 22:31:25	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5d9862…
10-30 22:07:16	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x491aa1…
10-30 22:07:16	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1bc223…
10-30 22:06:43	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfb2291…
10-30 22:02:21	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfebf14…
10-30 22:02:21	Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa9923b…
10-28 23:34:28	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc1e801…
10-28 23:30:02	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8575ef…
10-24 22:15:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9449b1…
10-24 22:15:02	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75015e…
10-24 22:14:51	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23aac9…
10-24 21:52:53	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0xf9d80a…
10-24 21:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xdb5f0e…
10-21 23:23:32	Will "Canada" be said 3+ times during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1aeede…
10-19 23:17:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9bb635…
10-19 23:16:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6432e…
10-19 22:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd2285c…
10-19 22:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6da525…
10-19 22:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf75a8a…
10-19 22:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x18a2f5…
10-19 22:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xae7c85…
10-19 22:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x500739…
10-19 15:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6c677d…
10-19 14:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3ee914…
10-19 14:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xde4166…
10-19 13:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x12cf05…
10-15 19:31:50	will ewy reach 156 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd2a15c…
10-15 19:31:37	will ewy reach 156 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x161006…
10-15 19:31:02	will ewy reach 156 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6da168…
10-15 19:30:58	will ewy reach 156 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0436a…
10-11 03:58:47	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 10?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfa794a…
10-08 13:19:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7c4d84…
10-08 13:18:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3dc651…
10-08 13:17:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x568df9…
10-08 13:17:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xecdc3e…
10-08 13:08:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf1092…
10-08 13:07:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4311ae…
10-08 13:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x55efa5…
10-06 10:57:54	Will Allan MacDonald win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22a10e…
10-06 10:55:48	Will Allan MacDonald win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc44a9b…
10-06 10:55:39	Will Sara Seager win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6291fb…
10-06 10:40:16	Will James Eisenstein win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb465a3…
10-06 10:38:57	Will Sara Seager win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdd6486…
10-06 10:38:48	Will James Eisenstein win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x191e54…
10-06 10:30:40	Will Stéphane Mallat win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa67ef7…
10-06 10:27:15	Will John Pendry win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7750b7…
10-06 10:26:12	Will John Pendry win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x99ba0e…
10-06 10:17:01	Will Stéphane Mallat win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x356d13…
10-06 10:12:49	Will Jainendra Jain win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x466a3b…
10-06 10:12:34	Will Federico Capasso win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6413b5…
10-06 10:12:22	Will Jainendra Jain win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdea86f…
10-06 10:11:57	Will Federico Capasso win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbcd6ee…
10-06 10:09:33	Will David Charbonneau win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe7dfd5…
10-06 10:09:31	Will Ingrid Daubechies win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc65ea4…
10-05 17:38:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xdb124c…
10-05 17:22:49	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 in October?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x564de2…
10-05 17:16:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in October?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcc8ab1…
10-05 17:11:26	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x483525…
10-05 17:08:29	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x536750…
10-05 17:08:25	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a7feb…
10-05 17:08:20	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f96fc…
10-05 17:08:16	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6203ce…
10-05 17:08:11	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3f05f…
10-05 13:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8af08a…
10-05 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xdbb8e7…
10-05 08:17:23	Spain snap election called by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfe7161…
10-05 08:16:46	Spain snap election called by October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8b4392…
10-05 08:11:58	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc9cc1e…
10-05 08:11:52	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47fd95…