Shrill-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

916

Trades

2,087

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-12 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 68% -$80

Other

1% 73% +$9

Politics

0% 0% -$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:40 UTC	12	$302	243	243	+0	Up	+$7	07-11 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 03:45 UTC	6	$248	159	159	+0	Up	+$8	07-12 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:45 UTC	4	$206	126	126	+0	Up	+$6	07-11 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 03:55 UTC	6	$198	155	155	+0	Up	-$2	07-12 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:00 UTC	4	$191	130	130	+0	Down	-$9	07-12 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:25 UTC	6	$187	180	180	+0	Down	+$7	07-11 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:05 UTC	7	$170	166	155	+11	Up	-$8	07-11 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:00 UTC	6	$165	145	145	+0	Down	+$5	07-11 13:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-06 08:00 UTC	4	$165	85	85	+0	Down	+$5	07-06 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:40 UTC	7	$161	117	117	+0	Up	+$11	07-11 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 03:50 UTC	6	$157	127	127	+0	Down	-$3	07-12 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:15 UTC	6	$154	132	85	+47	Down	-$48	07-12 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:15 UTC	7	$153	118	118	+0	Down	+$13	07-11 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:25 UTC	6	$152	106	106	+0	Up	+$2	07-11 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:35 UTC	4	$151	98	98	+0	Down	-$9	07-11 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:55 UTC	6	$142	90	90	+0	Up	+$12	07-11 12:00
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 8am et	5	$131	104	51	+53	Up	+$3	07-05 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 09:05 UTC	6	$128	100	100	+0	Down	+$8	07-11 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:20 UTC	4	$122	70	70	+0	Up	+$2	07-11 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:10 UTC	5	$120	76	76	+0	Down	+$0	07-11 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:15 UTC	4	$119	71	71	+0	Down	-$1	07-11 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	6	$115	107	107	+0	Down	-$5	07-12 05:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 20	6	$111	77	76	+0	No	-$19	03-18 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 09:00 UTC	6	$110	93	93	+0	Up	-$10	07-11 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:30 UTC	4	$107	69	69	+0	Down	+$7	07-11 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:50 UTC	4	$104	74	74	+0	Up	+$4	07-11 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:45 UTC	4	$104	67	67	+0	Up	+$4	07-11 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:10 UTC	2	$104	72	72	+0	Down	+$4	07-12 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:40 UTC	2	$101	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	07-11 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:45 UTC	4	$101	55	55	+0	Up	+$1	07-11 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x281640…
07-12 14:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x38382e…
07-12 14:39:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf0c38b…
07-12 14:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe4c441…
07-12 14:22:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xcb32d0…
07-12 14:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c8109…
07-12 14:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9b8d80…
07-12 14:17:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe8dfc0…
07-12 14:12:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x276740…
07-12 14:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6d1005…
07-12 14:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x30df97…
07-12 14:07:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x31add2…
07-12 14:04:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe31339…
07-12 14:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf96684…
07-12 14:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x5e3750…
07-12 14:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9cdedd…
07-12 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x162da6…
07-12 13:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x285859…
07-12 13:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x33e446…
07-12 13:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0d0a21…
07-12 13:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3076b5…
07-12 13:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdf8034…
07-12 13:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6fc23e…
07-12 13:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd2b6e9…
07-12 13:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x362955…
07-12 13:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x77c415…
07-12 13:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5eabf4…
07-12 13:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa909a8…
07-12 13:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf472ec…
07-12 13:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5e3dd2…
07-12 13:38:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x3c39dc…
07-12 13:37:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x186f50…
07-12 13:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xb8a2e5…
07-12 13:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x176929…
07-12 13:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x664832…
07-12 13:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x49e42d…
07-12 13:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x9c4e62…
07-12 13:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe611dd…
07-12 13:21:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd4f62a…
07-12 13:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xdef511…
07-12 13:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc49b16…
07-12 13:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1702e6…
07-12 13:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x86349b…
07-12 13:12:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x779633…
07-12 12:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcf10db…
07-12 12:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0ddd14…
07-12 12:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c79a9…
07-12 12:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe46b95…
07-12 12:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x070cba…
07-12 12:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe1053d…
07-12 11:49:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x2b10d7…
07-12 11:49:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb23d42…
07-12 11:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x94a907…
07-12 11:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0xd537ce…
07-12 11:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x692da0…
07-12 11:29:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf9fd8d…
07-12 11:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x353ab4…
07-12 11:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xd586c6…
07-12 11:26:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa6cd1b…
07-12 11:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x7042e6…
07-12 11:21:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb19fd9…
07-12 11:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xfd5f90…
07-12 11:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x57283e…
07-12 11:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x181515…
07-12 11:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf4dad8…
07-12 11:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x8cea0c…
07-12 11:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8e3172…
07-12 11:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xd70771…
07-12 11:08:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdc6e6b…
07-12 11:07:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xda5751…
07-12 11:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf6a3d0…
07-12 09:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x8cef95…
07-12 09:54:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x971e0b…
07-12 09:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x2affe8…
07-12 09:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xee6310…
07-12 09:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x0c68d4…
07-12 09:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xeaf2a8…
07-12 09:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0xf7021d…
07-12 09:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x08af87…
07-12 09:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x5e043d…
07-12 09:38:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x6a2955…
07-12 08:52:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0xf5e654…
07-12 08:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xeb43db…
07-12 08:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0x59096d…
07-12 08:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x376a09…
07-12 06:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x3dd4cb…
07-12 06:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x60d785…
07-12 06:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x6e9d12…
07-12 06:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x0234bb…
07-12 06:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xda8bcf…
07-12 06:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbbcc2b…
07-12 05:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbd72de…
07-12 05:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0xd7ab70…
07-12 05:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xa87f66…
07-12 05:54:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	32	29¢	$9	0xd4c03a…
07-12 05:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x304eaf…
07-12 05:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	38	62¢	$24	0xfe8117…
07-12 05:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7138ab…
07-12 05:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0xeb6bd7…
07-12 05:50:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x876e51…