Rusty-Router — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

22.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$434

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-21 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 33% -$1,459

Politics

29% 0% -$1,068

Other

26% 0% -$2,969

Sports

11% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+0	-$24	81¢	$0	+$24	06-29 18:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$2.3K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$2,280	03-03 03:13
solana up or down on january 12	2	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	+$780	01-12 07:41
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.5K	900	900	+0	No	-$27	03-24 06:25
xrp above 1pt3 on february 6	2	$1.4K	2,789	0	+2,789	Yes	-$1,394	02-06 09:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$1,068	04-16 09:18
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-12 07:50
bitcoin up or down on january 23	3	$844	3,248	0	+3,248	Up	-$844	01-23 07:28
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$742	400	400	+0	open	—	10-21 02:17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	8	$617	400	400	+0	open	—	06-29 18:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$611	0	1,300	-1,300	Yes	-$689	04-30 09:30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$605	320	320	+0	open	—	10-13 06:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$496	400	400	+0	open	—	05-29 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 02:17:50	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	97¢	$390	0x961bc7…
10-13 06:48:29	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	96¢	$308	0xc80614…
07-07 08:18:47	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	93¢	$298	0x68ad8b…
07-02 06:39:17	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x21b37c…
06-29 18:59:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0xde20c6…
06-29 18:59:07	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xb69c00…
06-29 18:59:07	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x790e3c…
06-29 18:59:07	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x37d608…
06-29 18:59:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2a4e44…
06-29 03:07:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x93e2b1…
06-29 02:56:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	80¢	$218	0x2cc8c8…
06-22 08:00:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0x708e4a…
05-29 01:44:16	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	400	63¢	$252	0x10443d…
05-25 06:40:55	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	400	61¢	$244	0xb6ca7b…
05-12 07:50:49	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	800	74¢	$593	0x6bfeda…
05-04 07:26:46	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	800	57¢	$460	0xa39e46…
04-30 09:30:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,247	47¢	$586	0x18ee4d…
04-30 09:30:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0x2c6d4a…
04-16 09:18:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	89¢	$1,068	0xfbf700…
03-24 06:25:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	900	83¢	$747	0x141158…
03-10 07:35:45	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	77	86¢	$66	0x79344e…
03-10 07:13:55	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	823	86¢	$708	0x559b4d…
03-03 03:13:31	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	3,900	57¢	$2,223	0x3daa40…
03-03 03:12:55	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x7a93d1…
02-06 09:17:07	xrp above 1pt3 on february 6	No	BUY	2,642	50¢	$1,321	0xb1ddca…
02-06 09:16:23	xrp above 1pt3 on february 6	No	BUY	147	50¢	$74	0x8e45ca…
01-23 07:28:30	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb807a7…
01-23 07:28:30	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x2a6dd6…
01-23 07:28:18	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Down	BUY	3,221	26¢	$837	0x4bb4ac…
01-12 07:41:04	solana up or down on january 12	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc08e80…
01-12 07:40:54	solana up or down on january 12	Up	BUY	2,996	74¢	$2,217	0x5a3882…