Optimistic-Stationwagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

22.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$148

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$55

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

69% 40% +$1

Other

31% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	+26	$20	100¢	$26	+$6	05-10 05:56
Will Reilac Shiga win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	+10	$6	100¢	$10	+$4	05-10 06:32
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	+20	$10	50¢	$10	$-0	05-10 06:27
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	+29	$10	32¢	$9	$-1	05-10 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$28	49	10	+39	open	—	05-10 04:52
Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?	1	$26	0	26	-26	Yes	$-0	05-10 00:54
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	05-10 05:56
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	1	$18	0	18	-18	Jim Miller	$-0	05-10 00:36
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-10 06:27
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	18	0	+18	Alexander Volkov	+$8	05-10 00:53
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-10 03:58
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	16	0	+16	Joshua Van	$-10	05-10 03:01
Will Reilac Shiga win on 2026-05-10?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-10 06:32
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	9	0	+9	Cavaliers	+$4	05-07 07:28
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-10 02:16
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$2	21	0	+21	open	—	05-10 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 06:32:58	Will Reilac Shiga win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3cf956…
05-10 06:27:52	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfa72ed…
05-10 05:56:57	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xcc1569…
05-10 04:52:12	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x271ee4…
05-10 04:23:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x71390b…
05-10 03:58:51	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6e90dc…
05-10 03:49:02	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x254091…
05-10 03:01:05	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9bed91…
05-10 02:16:22	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xbdfd79…
05-10 02:10:44	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9aa46a…
05-10 02:03:48	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x31f01c…
05-10 00:54:26	Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0966bb…
05-10 00:53:00	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa171ac…
05-10 00:36:23	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jim Miller	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe9b3a5…
05-07 07:28:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x466a2d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	6	$14.6K	453	05-10 08:11
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	6	$10.6K	96	05-10 04:47
(anonymous) 0x6db5…e279	5	$37.3K	21	05-10 04:31
Scary-Fannypack 0xa38a…821d	5	$16.4K	19	05-10 04:12
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	5	$9.42K	31	05-10 05:57
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	5	$4.35K	28	05-10 04:28
csgod 0x8056…b64d	5	$3.25K	10	05-10 04:31
Gorgeous-Concert 0x7d9a…05e6	5	$1.64K	18	05-10 04:43