Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

87% 0% $-6

Sports

6% — —

Other

5% 100% +$64

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$7.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-28 20:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$3.9K	3,890	3,890	+0	open	—	05-15 18:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-25 20:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	3	$1.3K	1,000	500	+500	open	—	07-20 07:45
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$588	452	452	+0	open	—	07-07 19:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$530	500	500	+0	open	—	07-19 19:09
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$333	500	5	+495	open	—	07-20 07:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$322	215	215	+0	open	—	04-07 22:57
mlb stl laa 2026 07 20	2	$306	222	222	+0	open	—	07-21 04:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	5	$282	250	250	+0	open	—	05-29 03:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$226	125	225	-100	Down	+$64	05-04 09:24
mlb sea laa 2026 04 03	3	$206	217	117	+100	open	—	04-04 04:44
mwoh swe lat 2026 02 17	1	$171	173	0	+173	open	—	02-17 21:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$164	315	315	+0	No	$-6	05-05 03:07
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$147	171	0	+171	open	—	02-13 22:25
will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	3	$140	339	0	+339	open	—	04-06 14:05
will trump say world cup during the white house easter egg roll	1	$88	108	0	+108	open	—	04-06 14:03
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	2	$73	750	0	+750	open	—	06-08 12:00
nhl stl col 2026 04 05	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	04-06 03:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$57	100	14	+86	open	—	05-28 14:13
will trump say america first during miami address	1	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	03-09 20:24
bitcoin up or down january 22 6pm et	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	01-22 23:20
will diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes 465	3	$50	50	51	-1	open	—	01-21 15:13
will trump say joe or biden 7 times during miami address	1	$42	63	0	+63	open	—	03-09 20:26
will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times during miami address	1	$37	59	0	+59	open	—	03-09 20:21
bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	6	$30	0	50	-50	open	—	01-23 20:12
mlb stl laa 2026 07 20 f5 total 3pt5	1	$26	75	0	+75	open	—	07-21 03:04
btc updown 15m 1769207400	4	$22	0	40	-40	open	—	01-23 22:30
will trump say epic fury during miami address	1	$21	50	0	+50	open	—	03-09 20:22
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$20	70	0	+70	open	—	01-03 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 04:47:24	mlb stl laa 2026 07 20	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	222	72¢	$160	0xb3cbd2…
07-21 03:04:48	mlb stl laa 2026 07 20 f5 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	75	34¢	$26	0xbeda13…
07-21 03:03:13	mlb stl laa 2026 07 20	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	222	66¢	$147	0x7445f5…
07-20 07:56:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1b2219…
07-20 07:45:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x2519fe…
07-20 07:30:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x4a2348…
07-19 19:09:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	500	50¢	$250	0x23b32f…
07-17 09:05:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x47f663…
07-17 05:29:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x96751c…
07-16 20:28:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x608548…
07-07 19:31:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	452	100¢	$450	0xa2e678…
07-07 19:13:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	452	30¢	$137	0x938e38…
06-08 12:00:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	600	3¢	$16	0x7af0ad…
06-07 21:42:13	mlb mil col 2026 06 07	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a99c7…
06-07 02:55:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xc069a9…
05-29 03:22:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xac7e93…
05-29 03:22:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x6ed174…
05-28 22:30:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0xf4d295…
05-28 22:30:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x88e3a3…
05-28 22:30:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x00c829…
05-28 20:43:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	88¢	$3,520	0x446814…
05-28 14:13:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf1e445…
05-28 14:13:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	86¢	$3,440	0xd1ef20…
05-27 22:53:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x5c867d…
05-25 20:38:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,473	86¢	$1,266	0x40930a…
05-25 20:38:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	27	86¢	$24	0xd39096…
05-25 19:37:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xddb541…
05-25 19:20:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	500	87¢	$435	0x602ce7…
05-25 19:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x305ab5…
05-25 19:10:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xee149a…
05-15 18:06:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3,890	99¢	$3,867	0xb4d0c0…
05-15 05:20:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,758	2¢	$44	0x0fd2cb…
05-15 05:15:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,132	1¢	$15	0x2af1db…
05-05 03:07:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	315	25¢	$79	0x27f46f…
05-04 22:22:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	315	27¢	$85	0x36cd9b…
05-04 09:24:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	120	65¢	$78	0x6f7fad…
05-04 09:21:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5ffe4e…
05-04 08:00:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	125	65¢	$81	0xebf58d…
05-04 07:09:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xb1d600…
04-07 22:57:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0x517e32…
04-07 22:37:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x5af4b6…
04-07 22:37:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	74	70¢	$52	0x05a884…
04-07 22:35:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	125	50¢	$62	0x307f6c…
04-07 19:56:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	49	88¢	$44	0xf12597…
04-07 19:56:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0x0954e1…
04-06 14:05:59	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x2bf069…
04-06 14:05:47	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x10f6f6…
04-06 14:03:27	will trump say world cup during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	108	82¢	$88	0xbe94ed…
04-06 14:02:03	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	271	41¢	$110	0xfda32b…
04-06 03:15:07	nhl stl col 2026 04 05	Avalanche	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6e589d…
04-04 04:44:09	mlb sea laa 2026 04 03	Seattle Mariners	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd10437…
04-04 04:44:09	mlb sea laa 2026 04 03	Seattle Mariners	SELL	112	78¢	$87	0x3aed8f…
04-04 04:39:09	mlb sea laa 2026 04 03	Seattle Mariners	BUY	217	53¢	$115	0x432af1…
03-09 20:26:55	will trump say joe or biden 7 times during miami address	No	BUY	63	66¢	$42	0xc90f71…
03-09 20:24:39	will trump say america first during miami address	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x12ab4f…
03-09 20:23:21	will trump say transgender during miami address	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xa75a91…
03-09 20:22:11	will trump say epic fury during miami address	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x93c0ab…
03-09 20:21:13	will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times during miami address	Yes	BUY	59	62¢	$37	0x2a37c0…
02-17 21:08:19	mwoh swe lat 2026 02 17	Sweden	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0xba6324…
02-13 22:25:53	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	171	86¢	$147	0x1c6e22…
01-24 09:20:58	btc updown 15m 1769246100	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9f510f…
01-24 07:45:38	btc updown 15m 1769240700	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xf687ae…
01-24 07:44:24	btc updown 15m 1769240700	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc49e11…
01-24 07:39:28	btc updown 15m 1769239800	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xa9ce41…
01-24 07:39:28	btc updown 15m 1769239800	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x2b51cb…
01-24 07:27:56	btc updown 15m 1769239800	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1e62f8…
01-24 07:16:26	btc updown 15m 1769238900	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x0f3336…
01-24 07:16:24	btc updown 15m 1769238900	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe1b4c0…
01-24 07:01:08	btc updown 15m 1769238000	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x87834c…
01-24 06:58:22	btc updown 15m 1769238000	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xb415cd…
01-24 06:45:32	btc updown 15m 1769237100	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x72d516…
01-24 06:44:46	btc updown 15m 1769237100	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xef4d63…
01-24 00:01:58	btc updown 15m 1769212800	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x8d488b…
01-24 00:01:58	btc updown 15m 1769212800	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x166ed2…
01-24 00:00:18	btc updown 15m 1769212800	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x0fb45e…
01-23 23:45:44	btc updown 15m 1769211900	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x0b5f2d…
01-23 23:45:44	btc updown 15m 1769211900	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x09af18…
01-23 23:44:24	btc updown 15m 1769211900	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x43bf0c…
01-23 23:32:12	btc updown 15m 1769211000	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x81df21…
01-23 23:32:12	btc updown 15m 1769211000	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x779cc3…
01-23 23:30:22	btc updown 15m 1769211000	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc8e738…
01-23 23:19:16	btc updown 15m 1769210100	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x76d3a8…
01-23 23:16:42	btc updown 15m 1769210100	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1c2978…
01-23 23:00:08	btc updown 15m 1769209200	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x21f94a…
01-23 23:00:06	btc updown 15m 1769209200	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x3b6140…
01-23 22:46:22	btc updown 15m 1769208300	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x113a69…
01-23 22:45:14	btc updown 15m 1769208300	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xfb5555…
01-23 22:45:12	btc updown 15m 1769208300	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x4c49ec…
01-23 22:30:16	btc updown 15m 1769207400	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x387d92…
01-23 22:29:56	btc updown 15m 1769207400	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xf8b73e…
01-23 22:29:56	btc updown 15m 1769207400	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x5aebca…
01-23 22:26:32	btc updown 15m 1769207400	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x009bc8…
01-23 21:57:02	btc updown 15m 1769205600	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x114e2f…
01-23 21:45:44	btc updown 15m 1769204700	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1f189f…
01-23 21:43:50	btc updown 15m 1769204700	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x60a23a…
01-23 20:12:16	bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	Up	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x621f0c…
01-23 20:12:14	bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x65f883…
01-23 20:00:38	bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xff84c6…
01-23 20:00:38	bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x6154f6…
01-23 20:00:38	bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x5d3316…