Realized P&L (30d)
-$73
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved (30d)
46
Trades (30d)
0
4,055 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$33.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$224
22 positions
First seen
2026-07-16
last 09-14 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
78% 6% -$736
Politics
12% 4% -$235
Crypto
4% 64% +$1
Sports
3% 9% -$45
Tech
2% 10% -$21
Pop-Culture
1% 10% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +28 $23 94¢ $26 +$3 08-02 00:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +21 $18 97¢ $20 +$2 08-05 07:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $9 98¢ $20 +$11 08-24 15:31
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$6 08-28 14:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +20 $2 98¢ $20 +$17 08-13 15:29
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 08-19 11:21
will donald trump attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221262 No +20 $17 91¢ $18 +$1 08-18 14:09
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 No +20 $16 81¢ $16 $0 08-18 14:33
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $0 08-17 17:30
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 Yes +20 $18 76¢ $15 -$3 08-20 08:32
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +15 $9 98¢ $15 +$6 07-30 00:36
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 No +20 $5 24¢ $5 $0 08-19 20:38
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 Yes +20 $4 22¢ $4 +$0 08-17 17:30
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 Yes +20 $6 19¢ $4 -$2 08-18 14:33
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +28 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 08-02 00:27
will donald trump attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221262 Yes +20 $3 9¢ $2 -$1 08-18 14:09
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +20 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 08-19 11:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +21 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 08-05 07:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $18 2¢ $0 -$17 08-13 15:29
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +20 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 08-28 14:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $11 2¢ $0 -$11 08-24 15:31
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +15 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 07-30 00:35