Cumbersome-Intelligence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$8.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-17 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 100% +$114

Other

35% — —

Sports

22% 50% +$8

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770648300	42	$830	500	500	+0	open	—	02-09 15:00
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$400	514	0	+514	Yes	+$114	02-13 04:16
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	2	$320	604	0	+604	open	—	05-25 23:49
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	1	$300	376	0	+376	open	—	02-10 03:05
will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	3	$300	1,236	0	+1,236	open	—	02-20 16:21
wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	4	$278	199	199	+0	open	—	03-08 06:21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	1	$270	509	0	+509	open	—	05-30 08:33
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 215pt5	2	$270	509	0	+509	open	—	06-10 07:29
lol dk drx 2026 02 13	1	$250	298	0	+298	open	—	02-13 06:24
btc updown 15m 1773237600	2	$214	200	198	+2	open	—	03-11 14:14
will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	2	$200	2,274	0	+2,274	open	—	02-20 16:18
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	1	$200	377	0	+377	open	—	06-07 13:22
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$200	377	0	+377	open	—	06-15 15:59
will there be at least 1250 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	1	$200	807	0	+807	open	—	02-17 22:31
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 10 2026 35corbelow	1	$200	257	0	+257	open	—	02-10 03:15
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	1	$200	408	0	+408	Over	+$208	05-11 14:49
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	1	$200	417	0	+417	Cavaliers	$-200	05-13 22:55
will there be at least 1300 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	1	$200	1,044	0	+1,044	open	—	02-17 22:32
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	2	$200	377	0	+377	open	—	06-17 16:14
btc updown 15m 1773155700	1	$200	323	0	+323	open	—	03-10 15:24
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	2	$200	235	0	+235	open	—	02-15 14:01
btc updown 15m 1773241200	2	$160	119	117	+2	open	—	03-11 15:10
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	1	$160	308	0	+308	open	—	05-24 23:59
btc updown 15m 1772935200	2	$126	370	367	+4	open	—	03-08 02:12
btc updown 15m 1773154800	2	$116	193	190	+3	open	—	03-10 15:10
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-21 23:26
btc updown 15m 1772812800	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	03-06 16:10
btc updown 15m 1773236700	1	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	03-11 13:45
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-28 23:06
btc updown 15m 1770996600	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	02-13 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 16:14:08	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xcf2bac…
06-17 16:14:04	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x0405ad…
06-15 15:59:10	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x839c6e…
06-10 07:29:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0xebb026…
06-10 07:26:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	358	53¢	$190	0xa7415f…
06-07 13:22:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	Spurs	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xf7de54…
05-30 08:33:08	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	509	53¢	$270	0x74324c…
05-28 23:06:51	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa17101…
05-25 23:49:06	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	308	52¢	$160	0xd328a5…
05-25 17:24:43	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	296	54¢	$160	0xbacba8…
05-24 23:59:11	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	308	52¢	$160	0x3cac07…
05-23 03:06:38	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	SELL	385	5¢	$19	0x1ec7a3…
05-21 23:26:28	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf5b98f…
05-20 11:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x18a650…
05-13 22:55:04	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x9fb2f8…
05-11 14:49:07	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x254915…
03-11 15:26:01	btc updown 5m 1773242700	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x10eb94…
03-11 15:15:59	btc updown 5m 1773242100	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x10ce31…
03-11 15:10:45	btc updown 15m 1773241200	Down	SELL	117	94¢	$110	0xd82701…
03-11 15:01:09	btc updown 15m 1773241200	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x46b2b6…
03-11 14:52:59	btc updown 15m 1773240300	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xa4b47f…
03-11 14:40:55	btc updown 5m 1773240000	Up	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x64b630…
03-11 14:14:55	btc updown 15m 1773237600	Up	SELL	198	78¢	$154	0x83a975…
03-11 14:11:05	btc updown 15m 1773237600	Up	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xdbf5b1…
03-11 13:45:55	btc updown 15m 1773236700	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x6cad30…
03-10 15:24:29	btc updown 15m 1773155700	Up	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xfb1d77…
03-10 15:10:01	btc updown 15m 1773154800	Up	SELL	190	9¢	$16	0x091163…
03-10 15:09:45	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	139	35¢	$49	0x19666a…
03-10 15:01:51	btc updown 15m 1773154800	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x5363a8…
03-10 12:03:33	btc updown 15m 1773144000	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x303156…
03-10 11:36:43	btc updown 15m 1773142200	Up	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0xa9bfea…
03-10 11:18:29	btc updown 15m 1773141300	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x812db5…
03-10 05:23:29	btc updown 15m 1773119700	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xcdb2f1…
03-10 05:21:33	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x71f783…
03-10 04:55:13	btc updown 15m 1773117900	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf4d390…
03-10 04:50:15	btc updown 5m 1773117900	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc5b5f4…
03-10 04:49:23	btc updown 5m 1773117900	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x8765ad…
03-09 15:28:39	btc updown 5m 1773069900	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbad40f…
03-09 15:05:45	btc updown 15m 1773068400	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xd50b4d…
03-09 14:56:53	btc updown 15m 1773067500	Up	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xba2d02…
03-09 14:50:35	btc updown 15m 1773067500	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xe5f4db…
03-09 14:42:39	btc updown 15m 1773066600	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf4067b…
03-09 14:15:49	btc updown 5m 1773065700	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xce604c…
03-08 15:50:45	btc updown 15m 1772984700	Down	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x336973…
03-08 15:34:47	btc updown 15m 1772983800	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x094d04…
03-08 12:12:47	wbc jap aus 2026 03 08	Australia	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0xfd780e…
03-08 12:03:01	wbc jap aus 2026 03 08	Australia	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc71743…
03-08 06:21:33	wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	Chinese Taipei	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x16c6b6…
03-08 05:31:03	wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	Chinese Taipei	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x3520a1…
03-08 05:26:49	wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	South Korea	SELL	125	67¢	$84	0x24c3b5…
03-08 03:16:55	wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	South Korea	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x3bcc12…
03-08 02:12:51	btc updown 15m 1772935200	Up	SELL	367	7¢	$26	0x6e1ccc…
03-08 02:05:33	btc updown 15m 1772935200	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x026b48…
03-08 01:55:27	btc updown 15m 1772934300	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x949379…
03-06 16:10:43	btc updown 15m 1772812800	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x4d136f…
03-06 15:43:09	btc updown 15m 1772811000	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x89b035…
02-20 16:21:48	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xe72c65…
02-20 16:18:10	will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	Yes	BUY	1,192	8¢	$100	0xf2d37a…
02-20 15:40:38	will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	Yes	BUY	1,082	9¢	$100	0x6e4e13…
02-17 22:32:15	will there be at least 1300 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1,044	19¢	$200	0xf39ed2…
02-17 22:31:57	will there be at least 1250 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	807	25¢	$200	0x20a3b8…
02-15 16:38:43	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x5f289d…
02-15 14:02:23	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	Yes	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0x7e1644…
02-15 14:01:09	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x0dc12c…
02-15 14:00:33	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x4218ac…
02-15 13:56:35	jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xf7b304…
02-13 15:42:45	btc updown 15m 1770996600	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3a598b…
02-13 06:38:13	lol dk drx 2026 02 13 game handicap away 1pt5	Dplus KIA	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb8cb69…
02-13 06:24:47	lol dk drx 2026 02 13	Dplus KIA	BUY	298	84¢	$250	0x12e153…
02-13 04:16:57	Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x2ac227…
02-13 03:55:35	Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x01a019…
02-13 02:47:11	Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x6b34c0…
02-12 10:16:27	highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x5b7408…
02-10 03:15:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on february 10 2026 35corbelow	Yes	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0x08eb16…
02-10 03:05:31	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	Yes	BUY	376	80¢	$300	0x5e2ec7…
02-09 15:00:31	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x1d454e…
02-09 14:53:27	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x171dd2…
02-09 14:53:27	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0x068e37…
02-09 14:53:17	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbca51b…
02-09 14:53:17	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xaef346…
02-09 14:53:17	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x98c317…
02-09 14:53:17	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4f6aaa…
02-09 14:53:17	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x482089…
02-09 14:53:15	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfc813a…
02-09 14:53:15	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9d5eb2…
02-09 14:53:15	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7e281c…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xefe0d7…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xef6479…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd40231…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0xcd37bb…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xba2f43…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb0164e…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9268fe…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x83446d…
02-09 14:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x24390f…
02-09 14:53:11	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdda9ed…
02-09 14:53:11	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xad05b0…
02-09 14:53:11	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa69b3f…
02-09 14:53:11	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xa4d9f1…
02-09 14:53:11	btc updown 15m 1770648300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x97ff59…